voters / rap sheet
0x216ac9372dc1f80e189a3d4b92f266a3599b92ba
uma dvm voter · ethereum mainnet etherscan →
votes revealed
206
graded
78
matched outcome
26
rate
33.3%
total weight
21.3M

voting history

correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth
resolvedmarketvoted outcomeweightvs outcome
2025-12-16Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?TOO EARLYYES79k✗ early
2025-12-16Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?TOO EARLYYES79k✗ early
2025-12-16ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21YESNO79k✗ against
2025-12-16UMIP-192 remove ASSERT_TRUTH identifierYESYES79k✓ with
2025-12-16ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21YESYES79k✓ with
2025-12-16Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Adobe say "3D" during earnings call?TOO EARLYYES79k✗ early
2025-12-14Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 4AM ETTOO EARLYYES79k✗ early
2025-12-14Will Demis Hassabis be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Vladimir Putin be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Elon Musk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Jerome Powell be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will ChatGPT be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Xi Jinping be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Maggie Kang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Sundar Pichai be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Geoffrey Hinton be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Zohran Mamdani be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or higher on December 10?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on December 11?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Giorgia Meloni be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Sam Altman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Ursula von der Leyen be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Mustafa Suleyman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Bad Bunny be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Dario Amodei be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Sanae Takaichi be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Ariana Grande be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Kendrick Lamar be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Christine Lagarde be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Shohei Ohtani be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will María Corina Machado be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Charlie Kirk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will JD Vance be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Javier Milei be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-12-14Will Benjamin Netanyahu be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?TOO EARLYearly?79kungraded
2025-11-28Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?TOO EARLYearly?87kungraded
2025-11-26Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?TOO EARLYNO87k✗ early
2025-11-26Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-23?TOO EARLYYES87k✗ early
2025-11-26Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?TOO EARLYearly?87kungraded
2025-11-26Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?87kungraded
2025-11-26Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?87kungraded
2025-11-26Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?87kungraded
2025-11-26Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?87kungraded
2025-11-26Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?87kungraded
2025-11-26Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?TOO EARLYearly?87kungraded
2025-11-26Will Franco Colapinto achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas GrandTOO EARLYearly?87kungraded
2025-11-22Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?TOO EARLYYES89k✗ early
2025-11-22Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?TOO EARLYYES89k✗ early
2025-11-22Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?TOO EARLYYES89k✗ early
2025-11-22Will at least 95 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?TOO EARLYYES89k✗ early
2025-11-22Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?TOO EARLYNO89k✗ early
2025-11-22Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?TOO EARLYNO89k✗ early
2025-11-22Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?TOO EARLYNO89k✗ early
2025-11-22FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Yi vs Erigaisi (Advances)TOO EARLYYES89k✗ early
2025-11-22Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?TOO EARLYNO89k✗ early
2025-11-22Games Total: O/U 2.5TOO EARLYNO89k✗ early
2025-11-22Games Total: O/U 2.5TOO EARLYNO89k✗ early
2025-11-22Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs K27 (BO3)TOO EARLYYES89k✗ early
2025-11-22Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?TOO EARLYNO89k✗ early
2025-11-22Will Lot 3 Pablo Picasso’s “Trois personnages” sell for 700k or more?TOO EARLYYES89k✗ early
2025-11-22Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED (BO3)TOO EARLYYES89k✗ early
2025-11-22George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Longwood Lancers (W)TOO EARLYNO89k✗ early
2025-11-22Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?TOO EARLYYES89k✗ early
2025-11-22Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs K27 (BO3)TOO EARLYearly?89kungraded
2025-11-22Games Total: O/U 2.5TOO EARLYearly?89kungraded
2025-11-22Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?89kungraded
2025-11-20MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 11-17?TOO EARLYYES89k✗ early
2025-11-20Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?TOO EARLYYES89k✗ early
2025-11-20Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 17?TOO EARLYearly?89kungraded
2025-11-20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 17?TOO EARLYearly?89kungraded
2025-11-20Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?TOO EARLYearly?89kungraded
2025-11-20Lee Jong-seop in jail by November 15?TOO EARLYearly?89kungraded
2025-11-20Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?TOO EARLYearly?89kungraded
2025-11-20Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?TOO EARLYearly?89kungraded
2025-11-20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 17?TOO EARLYearly?89kungraded
2025-10-31Grokipedia released by October 31?TOO EARLYYES96k✗ early
2025-10-31Grokipedia released by October 31?TOO EARLYYES96k✗ early
2025-10-31Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or below on October 27?TOO EARLYNO96k✗ early
2025-10-31Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on October 27?TOO EARLYNO96k✗ early
2025-10-31Grokipedia released by November 7?TOO EARLYYES96k✗ early
2025-10-31Buccaneers Team Total: O/U 25.5TOO EARLYNO96k✗ early
2025-10-31Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on October 28?TOO EARLYearly?96kungraded
2025-10-31Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?96kungraded
2025-10-31Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?TOO EARLYearly?96kungraded
2025-10-31Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?TOO EARLYearly?96kungraded
2025-10-31Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maddison Inglis vs Yafan WangTOO EARLYearly?96kungraded
2025-09-23Will Any Other Player win WNBA Sixth Player of the Year?TOO EARLYYES106k✗ early
2025-09-23Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-09-19?TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-23Will Göztepe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?50/50early?106kungraded
2025-09-23Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-09-19?TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?TOO EARLYYES106k✗ early
2025-09-21Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?TOO EARLYYES106k✗ early
2025-09-21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1PM ETTOO EARLYNO106k✗ early
2025-09-21Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 1PM ETTOO EARLYNO106k✗ early
2025-09-21Solana Up or Down - September 17, 1PM ETTOO EARLYNO106k✗ early
2025-09-21XRP Up or Down - September 17, 1PM ETTOO EARLYNO106k✗ early
2025-09-21Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?TOO EARLYYES106k✗ early
2025-09-21Will Solana reach $250 September 15-21?TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Will Trump say "King" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Braves vs. NationalsTOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Cubs vs. PiratesTOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Guardians vs. TigersTOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Athletics vs. Red SoxTOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conferenceTOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the dessert?TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the dessert?TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?TOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with UK Prime Minister on STOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-21Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with UK Prime Minister on STOO EARLYearly?106kungraded
2025-09-03Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on August 27?YESearly?115kungraded
2025-09-03Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on August 26?YESearly?115kungraded
2025-09-01Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?NONO115k✓ with
2025-09-01Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $112K on August 28 at 4PM ET?YESYES115k✓ with
2025-09-01Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $113K on August 28 at 4PM ET?TOO EARLYNO115k✗ early
2025-09-01UMIP 190: Whitelist and Fee Updates (Part 4/4)YESYES115k✓ with
2025-09-01UMIP 190: Whitelist and Fee Updates (Part 3/4)YESYES115k✓ with
2025-09-01UMIP 190: Whitelist and Fee Updates (Part 2/4)YESYES115k✓ with
2025-09-01UMIP 190: Whitelist and Fee Updates (Part 1/4)YESYES115k✓ with
2025-09-01US Open: Lloyd Harris vs Taylor FritzYESearly?115kungraded
2025-09-01Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?NONO115k✓ with
2025-09-01Will the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on August 28?TOO EARLYearly?115kungraded
2025-09-01Will the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on August 29?TOO EARLYearly?115kungraded
2025-08-26Will Elon tweet 210–224 times?TOO EARLYNO117k✗ early
2025-08-26ancillaryDataHash:1ef20c22b2fe88227b2569TOO EARLYNO117k✗ early
2025-08-26Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?TOO EARLYYES117k✗ early
2025-08-26Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?TOO EARLYYES117k✗ early
2025-08-26Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?TOO EARLYYES117k✗ early
2025-08-26Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?TOO EARLYYES117k✗ early
2025-08-26Solana Up or Down - August 23, 7AM ETTOO EARLYYES117k✗ early
2025-08-26Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?TOO EARLYYES117k✗ early
2025-08-26Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?TOO EARLYYES117k✗ early
2025-08-26Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?TOO EARLYYES117k✗ early
2025-08-26Will the highest temperature in London be 73°F or higher on August 21?TOO EARLYearly?117kungraded
2025-08-26UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. SterlingTOO EARLYearly?117kungraded
2025-08-26UFC Fight Night: Mingyang and OrtegaTOO EARLYearly?117kungraded
2025-08-26Trump approval Up or Down this week?TOO EARLYearly?117kungraded
2025-08-26Athletics vs. MarinersTOO EARLYearly?117kungraded
2025-08-04UMIP-189 register new contract 0x2C0367a9DB231dDeBd88a94b4f6461a6e47C58B1 on polygonYESYES123k✓ with
2025-08-04Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on July 31?TOO EARLYYES123k✗ early
2025-08-04Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?YESYES123k✓ with
2025-08-04Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?YESYES123k✓ with
2025-08-04Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?TOO EARLYearly?123kungraded
2025-08-04Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?TOO EARLYearly?123kungraded
2025-08-04Another successful Houthis attack shipping in July?TOO EARLYearly?123kungraded
2025-08-04Another successful Houthis attack shipping in July?YESearly?123kungraded
2025-07-31Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?YESYES125k✓ with
2025-07-31Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?YESYES125k✓ with
2025-07-29Israel strikes Syria by Friday?TOO EARLYearly?125kungraded
2025-07-29ATP Washington D.C – Shelton vs. TiafoeTOO EARLYearly?125kungraded
2025-07-23Israel x Syria security deal before September?TOO EARLYearly?131kungraded
2025-07-23Israel x Syria security deal before September?TOO EARLYearly?131kungraded
2025-07-23Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?TOO EARLYearly?131kungraded
2025-07-23Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?TOO EARLYearly?131kungraded
2025-07-21ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21NONO131k✓ with
2025-07-21Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?NONO131k✓ with
2025-07-21Will Andy Ogletree have the best finish at the 2025 Open Championship?NONO131k✓ with
2025-07-21Will Napheesa Collier win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best WNBA Player?NONO131k✓ with
2025-07-21Will David Puig have the best finish at the 2025 Open Championship?NONO131k✓ with
2025-07-21Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?TOO EARLYearly?131kungraded
2025-07-21Will Player B have the best finish at the 2025 Open Championship?TOO EARLYearly?131kungraded
2025-07-21Will Player E have the best finish at the 2025 Open Championship?TOO EARLYearly?131kungraded
2025-07-21Will Player D have the best finish at the 2025 Open Championship?TOO EARLYearly?131kungraded
2025-07-21Will Player C have the best finish at the 2025 Open Championship?TOO EARLYearly?131kungraded
2025-07-17Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 11?NONO131k✓ with
2025-07-17Will the highest temperature in London be between 80-81°F on July 12?TOO EARLYearly?131kungraded
2025-07-13Grok 4 released by September 30?YESYES132k✓ with
2025-07-13Will Rex Regum Qeon win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-132025 June hottest on record?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-13Marlins vs. RedsTOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will Bitcoin (BTC) drop below $102,000 from June 20 to 23 (London time)?YESYES132k✓ with
2025-07-11Will Bitcoin hit $107k or $109k first?NONO132k✓ with
2025-07-11Dogecoin Up or Down on July 8?YESYES132k✓ with
2025-07-11F1 British Grand Prix: Red Bull vs. MercedesYESYES132k✓ with
2025-07-11Leclerc vs. RussellNONO132k✓ with
2025-07-11Will the highest temperature in London be 75°F or higher on July 6?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on July 6?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on July 6?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on July 7?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or below on July 7?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 6?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 6?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will the highest temperature in New York City be 94°F or higher on July 6?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 6?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 7?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on July 7?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 7?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded
2025-07-11Will the highest temperature in London be 76°F or higher on July 7?TOO EARLYearly?132kungraded