Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved early? 2025-08-04

voters

255

voted against

against share

0.0%

top wallet held

11.3%

total weight

21.1M

chain record #143

fee1b00b656ef0a81a425f1e0a8357ff1bee6dd96c144bc7ce3ad6f287e39976

previous record

860c969c282e6006393ab37db8b367e0cbe4fe84b1da07eeabc67ce0c06124ac

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1753942651:c9d8e532e04aea9a

the judges

255 with · 0 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	TOO EARLY	2.4M	11.3%	ungraded
2	0x8e34..c97a	TOO EARLY	2.0M	9.7%	ungraded
3	0xc60a..fea0	TOO EARLY	2.0M	9.6%	ungraded
4	0xfc20..1e1c	TOO EARLY	1.5M	7.1%	ungraded
5	0xd2a7..9f7f	TOO EARLY	1.4M	6.6%	ungraded
6	0x95cd..29b8	TOO EARLY	960k	4.5%	ungraded
7	0xfec2..04a5	TOO EARLY	939k	4.4%	ungraded
8	0x05d1..f8c4	TOO EARLY	906k	4.3%	ungraded
9	0x0afc..0b38	TOO EARLY	659k	3.1%	ungraded
10	0x487a..2538	TOO EARLY	617k	2.9%	ungraded
11	0x6564..340c	TOO EARLY	423k	2.0%	ungraded
12	0x8548..e67e	TOO EARLY	375k	1.8%	ungraded
13	0xbd4b..287d	TOO EARLY	373k	1.8%	ungraded
14	0xbd9e..baa7	TOO EARLY	366k	1.7%	ungraded
15	0x326c..4205	TOO EARLY	358k	1.7%	ungraded
16	0x66ca..225a	TOO EARLY	327k	1.5%	ungraded
17	0x9b8f..ed2f	TOO EARLY	292k	1.4%	ungraded
18	0x4863..e44f	TOO EARLY	268k	1.3%	ungraded
19	0x840b..946f	TOO EARLY	241k	1.1%	ungraded
20	0xf659..d48b	TOO EARLY	239k	1.1%	ungraded
21	0xfe93..9c9d	TOO EARLY	238k	1.1%	ungraded
22	0xdc86..821a	TOO EARLY	230k	1.1%	ungraded
23	0x2bc1..a7e7	TOO EARLY	225k	1.1%	ungraded
24	0xf002..bfb2	TOO EARLY	199k	0.9%	ungraded
25	0x6573..8efe	TOO EARLY	197k	0.9%	ungraded
26	0x3504..ec2b	TOO EARLY	174k	0.8%	ungraded
27	0x2d51..6f52	TOO EARLY	169k	0.8%	ungraded
28	0x89be..103a	TOO EARLY	147k	0.7%	ungraded
29	0x92d7..6fc6	TOO EARLY	146k	0.7%	ungraded
30	0x1a0d..f351	TOO EARLY	136k	0.6%	ungraded
31	0xc12f..39ee	TOO EARLY	127k	0.6%	ungraded
32	0x9928..8cee	TOO EARLY	126k	0.6%	ungraded
33	0xdf67..2de3	TOO EARLY	124k	0.6%	ungraded
34	0x216a..92ba	TOO EARLY	123k	0.6%	ungraded
35	0x003a..0577	TOO EARLY	120k	0.6%	ungraded
36	0xf018..4069	TOO EARLY	112k	0.5%	ungraded
37	0x5b7e..78a8	TOO EARLY	104k	0.5%	ungraded
38	0xb738..9472	TOO EARLY	101k	0.5%	ungraded
39	0x8b64..96ee	TOO EARLY	98k	0.5%	ungraded
40	0x8d61..27bc	TOO EARLY	90k	0.4%	ungraded
41	0x53d0..d897	TOO EARLY	83k	0.4%	ungraded
42	0x65af..2482	TOO EARLY	83k	0.4%	ungraded
43	0x7baa..946a	TOO EARLY	77k	0.4%	ungraded
44	0x5c2e..d55e	TOO EARLY	70k	0.3%	ungraded
45	0xd278..5a26	TOO EARLY	70k	0.3%	ungraded
46	0x69d0..a819	TOO EARLY	67k	0.3%	ungraded
47	0xc9e8..8df5	TOO EARLY	66k	0.3%	ungraded
48	0xd4c1..6e2e	TOO EARLY	61k	0.3%	ungraded
49	0xa9b0..c344	TOO EARLY	58k	0.3%	ungraded
50	0x1515..490a	TOO EARLY	57k	0.3%	ungraded
51	0x18f7..9222	TOO EARLY	56k	0.3%	ungraded
52	0x3d59..baa2	TOO EARLY	40k	0.2%	ungraded
53	0x403d..4490	TOO EARLY	39k	0.2%	ungraded
54	0xa4ef..a5ea	TOO EARLY	36k	0.2%	ungraded
55	0xa61b..88a5	TOO EARLY	33k	0.2%	ungraded
56	0xa7b9..87d0	TOO EARLY	33k	0.2%	ungraded
57	0x126d..c78e	TOO EARLY	30k	0.1%	ungraded
58	0x1921..efa9	TOO EARLY	28k	0.1%	ungraded
59	0xa2e5..27f4	TOO EARLY	26k	0.1%	ungraded
60	0x7b51..f56b	TOO EARLY	26k	0.1%	ungraded
61	0x47a4..368b	TOO EARLY	25k	0.1%	ungraded
62	0x69d0..586c	TOO EARLY	23k	0.1%	ungraded
63	0x4c0d..ff1d	TOO EARLY	18k	0.1%	ungraded
64	0x3939..e4ce	TOO EARLY	15k	0.1%	ungraded
65	0x336b..d88f	TOO EARLY	15k	0.1%	ungraded
66	0x2a6d..7e59	TOO EARLY	13k	0.1%	ungraded
67	0x1ab8..64f4	TOO EARLY	12k	0.1%	ungraded
68	0x4f49..8da9	TOO EARLY	12k	0.1%	ungraded
69	0x9b6f..4ced	TOO EARLY	12k	0.1%	ungraded
70	0x9497..f769	TOO EARLY	11k	0.1%	ungraded
71	0x122b..8aee	TOO EARLY	11k	0.1%	ungraded
72	0xe748..9a11	TOO EARLY	11k	0.1%	ungraded
73	0x4ddd..0cb2	TOO EARLY	10k	0.0%	ungraded
74	0xe637..9483	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
75	0x465c..d022	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
76	0x110f..f6fd	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
77	0xdb4d..bb4d	TOO EARLY	8k	0.0%	ungraded
78	0x1a46..cbc4	TOO EARLY	7k	0.0%	ungraded
79	0xcb8c..9937	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
80	0x09ea..73fd	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
81	0x5d54..cc4b	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
82	0xa31c..6020	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
83	0x9baf..0a44	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
84	0xb483..28ab	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
85	0x7e36..0c22	TOO EARLY	4k	0.0%	ungraded
86	0xc4eb..9946	TOO EARLY	4k	0.0%	ungraded
87	0x6e86..2587	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
88	0x1cc9..397e	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
89	0x55e0..c952	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
90	0xdf50..ffda	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
91	0x2a82..c9d8	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
92	0x519e..fb3b	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
93	0xd7e6..8b53	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
94	0x9860..1316	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
95	0xea8d..558a	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
96	0xa2cf..d7aa	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
97	0x6280..57bb	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
98	0xde0a..75f5	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
99	0x18fe..3f3b	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
100	0x1c80..d09a	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
101	0x449f..d1c7	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
102	0x08bb..2be1	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
103	0x99bc..2fd9	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
104	0x48c7..0f91	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
105	0xf8e9..6fe8	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
106	0xa851..7438	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
107	0xbb1f..fba5	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
108	0x93a6..ced4	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
109	0xe3b0..1d12	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
110	0x27b0..14d2	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
111	0x49b3..bd78	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
112	0x5f4f..39d1	TOO EARLY	996	0.0%	ungraded
113	0x1306..bc55	TOO EARLY	977	0.0%	ungraded
114	0xd0d1..494d	TOO EARLY	910	0.0%	ungraded
115	0x9c1f..0c09	TOO EARLY	852	0.0%	ungraded
116	0xc39c..a14d	TOO EARLY	842	0.0%	ungraded
117	0x2c49..6ada	TOO EARLY	814	0.0%	ungraded
118	0x6fc5..daf1	TOO EARLY	797	0.0%	ungraded
119	0xe6b5..f1fd	TOO EARLY	768	0.0%	ungraded
120	0x86cc..273d	TOO EARLY	714	0.0%	ungraded
121	0x28ec..1675	TOO EARLY	688	0.0%	ungraded
122	0x95af..26fc	TOO EARLY	680	0.0%	ungraded
123	0x7595..8027	TOO EARLY	655	0.0%	ungraded
124	0x5a7c..ee4c	TOO EARLY	648	0.0%	ungraded
125	0x3b9f..c44f	TOO EARLY	646	0.0%	ungraded
126	0x5071..ad7b	TOO EARLY	624	0.0%	ungraded
127	0x0b5d..4832	TOO EARLY	615	0.0%	ungraded
128	0x0773..d139	TOO EARLY	598	0.0%	ungraded
129	0x37c5..6545	TOO EARLY	596	0.0%	ungraded
130	0x9fdb..0aea	TOO EARLY	594	0.0%	ungraded
131	0x3e1b..523e	TOO EARLY	591	0.0%	ungraded
132	0xbd73..e578	TOO EARLY	589	0.0%	ungraded
133	0x5ebc..d55d	TOO EARLY	585	0.0%	ungraded
134	0x56d7..7226	TOO EARLY	580	0.0%	ungraded
135	0x3abe..817d	TOO EARLY	578	0.0%	ungraded
136	0x2b37..83dc	TOO EARLY	577	0.0%	ungraded
137	0x101a..b9e5	TOO EARLY	576	0.0%	ungraded
138	0x16d1..597a	TOO EARLY	573	0.0%	ungraded
139	0xc573..09c1	TOO EARLY	571	0.0%	ungraded
140	0xe5e7..2f19	TOO EARLY	571	0.0%	ungraded
141	0x0293..f77e	TOO EARLY	571	0.0%	ungraded
142	0x68c1..859a	TOO EARLY	570	0.0%	ungraded
143	0x5689..82b0	TOO EARLY	566	0.0%	ungraded
144	0xd8e4..9d15	TOO EARLY	564	0.0%	ungraded
145	0x87a7..c1b6	TOO EARLY	562	0.0%	ungraded
146	0x785c..2de9	TOO EARLY	558	0.0%	ungraded
147	0x1049..c8e5	TOO EARLY	555	0.0%	ungraded
148	0xb67a..6122	TOO EARLY	554	0.0%	ungraded
149	0x7c45..6af8	TOO EARLY	552	0.0%	ungraded
150	0xa8b8..b984	TOO EARLY	549	0.0%	ungraded
151	0x6c87..ca76	TOO EARLY	547	0.0%	ungraded
152	0xacb4..dd18	TOO EARLY	546	0.0%	ungraded
153	0x4821..bdcf	TOO EARLY	543	0.0%	ungraded
154	0x5d21..36a5	TOO EARLY	543	0.0%	ungraded
155	0x36ce..5bc0	TOO EARLY	541	0.0%	ungraded
156	0x349e..5168	TOO EARLY	540	0.0%	ungraded
157	0xcb4b..0caa	TOO EARLY	540	0.0%	ungraded
158	0x5784..a1ee	TOO EARLY	538	0.0%	ungraded
159	0xc3ac..9d6b	TOO EARLY	537	0.0%	ungraded
160	0x8782..32db	TOO EARLY	537	0.0%	ungraded
161	0xd521..7329	TOO EARLY	537	0.0%	ungraded
162	0x8e56..9e77	TOO EARLY	536	0.0%	ungraded
163	0xb538..8b0f	TOO EARLY	534	0.0%	ungraded
164	0x24eb..a05a	TOO EARLY	534	0.0%	ungraded
165	0x8e5f..1e4a	TOO EARLY	534	0.0%	ungraded
166	0xf3c1..2329	TOO EARLY	534	0.0%	ungraded
167	0x590a..43f6	TOO EARLY	533	0.0%	ungraded
168	0x0bb9..b81d	TOO EARLY	533	0.0%	ungraded
169	0x0182..399e	TOO EARLY	532	0.0%	ungraded
170	0x4876..0a9b	TOO EARLY	532	0.0%	ungraded
171	0xc4e7..b4d9	TOO EARLY	531	0.0%	ungraded
172	0xd273..e3c6	TOO EARLY	531	0.0%	ungraded
173	0x9f9a..03be	TOO EARLY	531	0.0%	ungraded
174	0x430c..2e5f	TOO EARLY	531	0.0%	ungraded
175	0x4151..097c	TOO EARLY	531	0.0%	ungraded
176	0xc590..d510	TOO EARLY	531	0.0%	ungraded
177	0xbd9d..98eb	TOO EARLY	530	0.0%	ungraded
178	0x90da..1a73	TOO EARLY	530	0.0%	ungraded
179	0xaef6..7b7c	TOO EARLY	529	0.0%	ungraded
180	0x3b84..a587	TOO EARLY	529	0.0%	ungraded
181	0x4913..d50a	TOO EARLY	528	0.0%	ungraded
182	0x9cf0..f4c8	TOO EARLY	528	0.0%	ungraded
183	0x63d4..959e	TOO EARLY	528	0.0%	ungraded
184	0x2f55..5866	TOO EARLY	528	0.0%	ungraded
185	0xf0dc..fe78	TOO EARLY	528	0.0%	ungraded
186	0x7ca4..619c	TOO EARLY	527	0.0%	ungraded
187	0x1edb..ca66	TOO EARLY	527	0.0%	ungraded
188	0x5bc3..3942	TOO EARLY	527	0.0%	ungraded
189	0xfa8c..97f6	TOO EARLY	527	0.0%	ungraded
190	0xec2b..4e9c	TOO EARLY	527	0.0%	ungraded
191	0xc0dc..9fb4	TOO EARLY	527	0.0%	ungraded
192	0xca64..c51b	TOO EARLY	527	0.0%	ungraded
193	0x3895..9f79	TOO EARLY	527	0.0%	ungraded
194	0xb4c9..9d09	TOO EARLY	526	0.0%	ungraded
195	0x3b59..4444	TOO EARLY	526	0.0%	ungraded
196	0x09a1..2913	TOO EARLY	526	0.0%	ungraded
197	0xd1cd..6df1	TOO EARLY	526	0.0%	ungraded
198	0x72b5..3236	TOO EARLY	525	0.0%	ungraded
199	0xc6c3..d292	TOO EARLY	524	0.0%	ungraded
200	0x4010..2528	TOO EARLY	524	0.0%	ungraded
201	0x5060..8cb7	TOO EARLY	524	0.0%	ungraded
202	0xf3c1..cf9c	TOO EARLY	524	0.0%	ungraded
203	0xa463..d01c	TOO EARLY	524	0.0%	ungraded
204	0x1f12..f16e	TOO EARLY	524	0.0%	ungraded
205	0x40bf..389b	TOO EARLY	524	0.0%	ungraded
206	0x3745..650e	TOO EARLY	524	0.0%	ungraded
207	0x28cc..7c61	TOO EARLY	523	0.0%	ungraded
208	0xc428..867c	TOO EARLY	523	0.0%	ungraded
209	0x4241..f563	TOO EARLY	523	0.0%	ungraded
210	0xbb68..3e3c	TOO EARLY	523	0.0%	ungraded
211	0x3367..02c4	TOO EARLY	523	0.0%	ungraded
212	0xde72..82d9	TOO EARLY	523	0.0%	ungraded
213	0x630a..42f5	TOO EARLY	522	0.0%	ungraded
214	0xfb1f..a12c	TOO EARLY	522	0.0%	ungraded
215	0x57cb..0f3e	TOO EARLY	522	0.0%	ungraded
216	0xcfb3..400e	TOO EARLY	522	0.0%	ungraded
217	0x92bd..20ea	TOO EARLY	522	0.0%	ungraded
218	0x54d6..ae04	TOO EARLY	521	0.0%	ungraded
219	0x7a40..be8a	TOO EARLY	521	0.0%	ungraded
220	0xab0e..a340	TOO EARLY	521	0.0%	ungraded
221	0x8bc1..4230	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
222	0xd8c3..30f6	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
223	0x73cd..af4d	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
224	0x3bd0..2f8e	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
225	0x216b..d812	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
226	0xe7ff..6f47	TOO EARLY	519	0.0%	ungraded
227	0x6748..2d1b	TOO EARLY	519	0.0%	ungraded
228	0x4289..9bdc	TOO EARLY	519	0.0%	ungraded
229	0x26fd..ebf5	TOO EARLY	519	0.0%	ungraded
230	0x58cf..5ba9	TOO EARLY	519	0.0%	ungraded
231	0x80cc..ca98	TOO EARLY	517	0.0%	ungraded
232	0x2f96..e491	TOO EARLY	517	0.0%	ungraded
233	0x6137..5467	TOO EARLY	517	0.0%	ungraded
234	0xdb6d..a527	TOO EARLY	516	0.0%	ungraded
235	0xe321..d544	TOO EARLY	515	0.0%	ungraded
236	0x4af8..cb7c	TOO EARLY	515	0.0%	ungraded
237	0x9e43..b563	TOO EARLY	514	0.0%	ungraded
238	0xf025..c7b1	TOO EARLY	514	0.0%	ungraded
239	0xf3b6..99bf	TOO EARLY	514	0.0%	ungraded
240	0x34d4..6ab2	TOO EARLY	513	0.0%	ungraded
241	0x52b8..31f9	TOO EARLY	513	0.0%	ungraded
242	0x2947..32a5	TOO EARLY	513	0.0%	ungraded
243	0x0939..befb	TOO EARLY	513	0.0%	ungraded
244	0xfb04..110c	TOO EARLY	511	0.0%	ungraded
245	0x0f44..60dc	TOO EARLY	510	0.0%	ungraded
246	0x4be8..0604	TOO EARLY	510	0.0%	ungraded
247	0x3dd7..1345	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
248	0xb568..f97e	TOO EARLY	502	0.0%	ungraded
249	0x3b45..3008	TOO EARLY	492	0.0%	ungraded
250	0xf08c..35f9	TOO EARLY	489	0.0%	ungraded
251	0xd7c7..ff8f	TOO EARLY	407	0.0%	ungraded
252	0x5b82..14e9	TOO EARLY	336	0.0%	ungraded
253	0xf548..da63	TOO EARLY	107	0.0%	ungraded
254	0xc64e..ef3e	TOO EARLY	99	0.0%	ungraded
255	0x2071..390a	TOO EARLY	78	0.0%	ungraded