Will Bitcoin hit $107k or $109k first?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved NO 2025-07-11

voters

288

voted against

against share

1.0%

top wallet held

10.3%

total weight

22.7M

chain record #26

3f699a0ee4d2b3a91df59fb29c79e81151e981296e3c587f34f5e58929e70296

previous record

832f404caec919deed51d82cc53faa6576c60508c2382692885ba8b416e8fef7

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1751973343:be769c799f8b0911

the judges

285 with · 3 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	NO	2.3M	10.3%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	NO	2.0M	8.8%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	NO	2.0M	8.8%	✓ with
4	0xfc20..1e1c	NO	1.5M	6.6%	✓ with
5	0xd2a7..9f7f	NO	1.4M	6.1%	✓ with
6	0x95cd..29b8	NO	951k	4.2%	✓ with
7	0xfec2..04a5	NO	935k	4.1%	✓ with
8	0x996d..aff1	NO	917k	4.0%	✓ with
9	0x05d1..f8c4	NO	898k	4.0%	✓ with
10	0x0afc..0b38	NO	645k	2.8%	✓ with
11	0x487a..2538	NO	603k	2.7%	✓ with
12	0x6564..340c	NO	418k	1.8%	✓ with
13	0x2488..7238	NO	409k	1.8%	✓ with
14	0xdb28..b80a	YES	395k	1.7%	✗ against
15	0xbd4b..287d	NO	366k	1.6%	✓ with
16	0xbd9e..baa7	NO	355k	1.6%	✓ with
17	0x66ca..225a	NO	321k	1.4%	✓ with
18	0x20ec..56c0	NO	299k	1.3%	✓ with
19	0x9b8f..ed2f	NO	289k	1.3%	✓ with
20	0xfe93..9c9d	NO	255k	1.1%	✓ with
21	0xb731..5790	NO	239k	1.1%	✓ with
22	0xf659..d48b	NO	233k	1.0%	✓ with
23	0xdc86..821a	NO	225k	1.0%	✓ with
24	0x6c31..7d98	NO	217k	1.0%	✓ with
25	0x2bc1..a7e7	NO	216k	1.0%	✓ with
26	0x6573..8efe	NO	197k	0.9%	✓ with
27	0xf002..bfb2	NO	195k	0.9%	✓ with
28	0x3504..ec2b	NO	173k	0.8%	✓ with
29	0x2d51..6f52	NO	166k	0.7%	✓ with
30	0xb738..9472	NO	160k	0.7%	✓ with
31	0xfee5..5d78	NO	154k	0.7%	✓ with
32	0x89be..103a	NO	146k	0.6%	✓ with
33	0x92d7..6fc6	NO	144k	0.6%	✓ with
34	0x1a0d..f351	NO	135k	0.6%	✓ with
35	0x216a..92ba	NO	132k	0.6%	✓ with
36	0xc12f..39ee	NO	125k	0.6%	✓ with
37	0x30b2..be50	NO	123k	0.5%	✓ with
38	0xdf67..2de3	NO	121k	0.5%	✓ with
39	0x003a..0577	NO	118k	0.5%	✓ with
40	0xf018..4069	NO	111k	0.5%	✓ with
41	0x5b7e..78a8	NO	103k	0.5%	✓ with
42	0x8b64..96ee	NO	95k	0.4%	✓ with
43	0x8d61..27bc	NO	91k	0.4%	✓ with
44	0x53d0..d897	NO	82k	0.4%	✓ with
45	0x65af..2482	NO	82k	0.4%	✓ with
46	0xd4c1..6e2e	NO	80k	0.4%	✓ with
47	0x7baa..946a	NO	76k	0.3%	✓ with
48	0xa9b0..c344	NO	75k	0.3%	✓ with
49	0xd431..e9d9	NO	75k	0.3%	✓ with
50	0x89f9..2a45	NO	73k	0.3%	✓ with
51	0xd278..5a26	NO	72k	0.3%	✓ with
52	0x69d0..a819	NO	70k	0.3%	✓ with
53	0x5c2e..d55e	NO	69k	0.3%	✓ with
54	0xc9e8..8df5	NO	65k	0.3%	✓ with
55	0xc337..0459	NO	60k	0.3%	✓ with
56	0x1515..490a	NO	56k	0.2%	✓ with
57	0x18f7..9222	NO	55k	0.2%	✓ with
58	0x4431..9080	NO	52k	0.2%	✓ with
59	0xd9f9..7598	NO	50k	0.2%	✓ with
60	0x403d..4490	NO	40k	0.2%	✓ with
61	0xa4ef..a5ea	NO	36k	0.2%	✓ with
62	0xa61b..88a5	NO	33k	0.1%	✓ with
63	0xa7b9..87d0	NO	31k	0.1%	✓ with
64	0x126d..c78e	NO	29k	0.1%	✓ with
65	0xab0c..8b3b	NO	28k	0.1%	✓ with
66	0x1921..efa9	NO	28k	0.1%	✓ with
67	0xa2e5..27f4	TOO EARLY	28k	0.1%	✗ early
68	0x7b51..f56b	NO	25k	0.1%	✓ with
69	0x47a4..368b	NO	25k	0.1%	✓ with
70	0x69d0..586c	NO	22k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0x74e4..9053	NO	22k	0.1%	✓ with
72	0x4c0d..ff1d	NO	18k	0.1%	✓ with
73	0x1ab8..64f4	NO	16k	0.1%	✓ with
74	0x336b..d88f	NO	15k	0.1%	✓ with
75	0x9b6f..4ced	NO	12k	0.1%	✓ with
76	0x4f49..8da9	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
77	0x9497..f769	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
78	0xe748..9a11	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
79	0x4ddd..0cb2	NO	10k	0.0%	✓ with
80	0x196f..7ff6	NO	10k	0.0%	✓ with
81	0xe637..9483	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
82	0xd17e..2b36	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
83	0x465c..d022	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
84	0xc5af..a671	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
85	0x110f..f6fd	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
86	0xdb4d..bb4d	NO	8k	0.0%	✓ with
87	0x3939..e4ce	NO	7k	0.0%	✓ with
88	0x1a46..cbc4	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
89	0x37c5..6545	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
90	0xcb8c..9937	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
91	0x8c48..b938	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
92	0xea1e..4f9a	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
93	0x5d54..cc4b	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
94	0xa31c..6020	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
95	0x9baf..0a44	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
96	0xb483..28ab	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
97	0x7e36..0c22	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
98	0x21a7..bce1	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
99	0xc4eb..9946	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
100	0x1cc9..397e	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0xdf50..ffda	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x9928..8cee	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
103	0x2a82..c9d8	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
104	0x519e..fb3b	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
105	0x55e0..c952	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
106	0x9860..1316	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
107	0xea8d..558a	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
108	0x6280..57bb	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
109	0x18fe..3f3b	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
110	0xde0a..75f5	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0x1c80..d09a	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
112	0x449f..d1c7	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
113	0x08bb..2be1	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
114	0xde26..dad7	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
115	0x99bc..2fd9	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
116	0xf8e9..6fe8	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
117	0xa851..7438	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
118	0xf33e..db10	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
119	0xbb1f..fba5	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
120	0xe3b0..1d12	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
121	0xb362..e683	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
122	0x5b01..2ed2	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
123	0xf1de..7990	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
124	0x90b9..2464	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
125	0x7c9c..76ed	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
126	0xa89f..b642	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
127	0x76cc..8829	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
128	0x122b..8aee	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
129	0x7d8a..388c	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
130	0x0fad..ef15	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
131	0x8a74..5d7d	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
132	0x27b0..14d2	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
133	0x49b3..bd78	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
134	0xcc50..da38	NO	987	0.0%	✓ with
135	0x0b02..9fee	NO	985	0.0%	✓ with
136	0x9101..dd9f	NO	984	0.0%	✓ with
137	0xac88..5757	NO	984	0.0%	✓ with
138	0xc84f..747b	NO	980	0.0%	✓ with
139	0x06ce..20ea	NO	979	0.0%	✓ with
140	0xa21c..1e3a	NO	979	0.0%	✓ with
141	0xf5df..d5ae	NO	975	0.0%	✓ with
142	0x1306..bc55	NO	969	0.0%	✓ with
143	0x2027..50ff	NO	961	0.0%	✓ with
144	0x50d2..31ef	NO	957	0.0%	✓ with
145	0x074f..9d52	NO	949	0.0%	✓ with
146	0x9c1f..0c09	NO	848	0.0%	✓ with
147	0xd0d1..494d	NO	798	0.0%	✓ with
148	0x6fc5..daf1	NO	774	0.0%	✓ with
149	0x2a1b..a08f	NO	749	0.0%	✓ with
150	0xe6b5..f1fd	NO	747	0.0%	✓ with
151	0x28ec..1675	NO	684	0.0%	✓ with
152	0x86cc..273d	NO	681	0.0%	✓ with
153	0x95af..26fc	NO	676	0.0%	✓ with
154	0x7595..8027	NO	649	0.0%	✓ with
155	0x3b9f..c44f	NO	640	0.0%	✓ with
156	0x0dc8..8c11	NO	639	0.0%	✓ with
157	0xdc20..021d	NO	635	0.0%	✓ with
158	0x5071..ad7b	NO	619	0.0%	✓ with
159	0x5a7c..ee4c	NO	618	0.0%	✓ with
160	0x0b5d..4832	NO	610	0.0%	✓ with
161	0xd8d7..d24e	NO	596	0.0%	✓ with
162	0x104d..e4e9	NO	589	0.0%	✓ with
163	0x3e1b..523e	NO	585	0.0%	✓ with
164	0x9fdb..0aea	NO	578	0.0%	✓ with
165	0x56d7..7226	NO	577	0.0%	✓ with
166	0x101a..b9e5	NO	573	0.0%	✓ with
167	0x3abe..817d	NO	572	0.0%	✓ with
168	0x2b37..83dc	NO	572	0.0%	✓ with
169	0xc573..09c1	NO	566	0.0%	✓ with
170	0xe5e7..2f19	NO	565	0.0%	✓ with
171	0x5689..82b0	NO	562	0.0%	✓ with
172	0xd8e4..9d15	NO	559	0.0%	✓ with
173	0xcfb3..400e	NO	558	0.0%	✓ with
174	0x16d1..597a	NO	557	0.0%	✓ with
175	0x87a7..c1b6	NO	557	0.0%	✓ with
176	0x0293..f77e	NO	555	0.0%	✓ with
177	0x9236..6148	NO	552	0.0%	✓ with
178	0x1049..c8e5	NO	551	0.0%	✓ with
179	0x6e86..2587	NO	549	0.0%	✓ with
180	0x6c87..ca76	NO	549	0.0%	✓ with
181	0x7c45..6af8	NO	548	0.0%	✓ with
182	0xacb4..dd18	NO	541	0.0%	✓ with
183	0xb67a..6122	NO	539	0.0%	✓ with
184	0x4821..bdcf	NO	538	0.0%	✓ with
185	0xa8b8..b984	NO	538	0.0%	✓ with
186	0xcb4b..0caa	NO	537	0.0%	✓ with
187	0x349e..5168	NO	535	0.0%	✓ with
188	0x68c1..859a	NO	535	0.0%	✓ with
189	0xb538..8b0f	NO	533	0.0%	✓ with
190	0xc3ac..9d6b	NO	532	0.0%	✓ with
191	0x8782..32db	NO	532	0.0%	✓ with
192	0x8e56..9e77	NO	531	0.0%	✓ with
193	0xf3c1..2329	NO	531	0.0%	✓ with
194	0x24eb..a05a	NO	530	0.0%	✓ with
195	0x90da..1a73	NO	530	0.0%	✓ with
196	0xaa9e..d624	NO	529	0.0%	✓ with
197	0xbd9d..98eb	NO	529	0.0%	✓ with
198	0x0182..399e	NO	528	0.0%	✓ with
199	0xf0dc..fe78	NO	528	0.0%	✓ with
200	0x9f9a..03be	NO	527	0.0%	✓ with
201	0x3b45..3008	NO	527	0.0%	✓ with
202	0xaef6..7b7c	NO	524	0.0%	✓ with
203	0x5d21..36a5	NO	524	0.0%	✓ with
204	0x72b5..3236	NO	523	0.0%	✓ with
205	0xc6c3..d292	NO	520	0.0%	✓ with
206	0x7a40..be8a	NO	519	0.0%	✓ with
207	0x3745..650e	NO	519	0.0%	✓ with
208	0xfb1f..a12c	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
209	0x57cb..0f3e	NO	517	0.0%	✓ with
210	0x8bc1..4230	NO	517	0.0%	✓ with
211	0x4be8..0604	NO	517	0.0%	✓ with
212	0x80cc..ca98	NO	514	0.0%	✓ with
213	0x5784..a1ee	NO	514	0.0%	✓ with
214	0xd1cd..6df1	NO	512	0.0%	✓ with
215	0x1f12..f16e	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
216	0xab0e..a340	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
217	0x0939..befb	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
218	0xf3b6..99bf	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
219	0xc0dc..9fb4	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
220	0xc4e7..b4d9	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
221	0x9e43..b563	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
222	0xe321..d544	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
223	0xf025..c7b1	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
224	0x1edb..ca66	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
225	0x4241..f563	NO	510	0.0%	✓ with
226	0x52b8..31f9	NO	510	0.0%	✓ with
227	0x2947..32a5	NO	510	0.0%	✓ with
228	0xb4c9..9d09	NO	510	0.0%	✓ with
229	0xde72..82d9	NO	510	0.0%	✓ with
230	0x430c..2e5f	NO	510	0.0%	✓ with
231	0x54d6..ae04	NO	510	0.0%	✓ with
232	0x3b59..4444	NO	510	0.0%	✓ with
233	0xfb04..110c	NO	510	0.0%	✓ with
234	0xd8c3..30f6	NO	509	0.0%	✓ with
235	0xd273..e3c6	NO	509	0.0%	✓ with
236	0x4151..097c	NO	509	0.0%	✓ with
237	0x09a1..2913	NO	508	0.0%	✓ with
238	0x630a..42f5	NO	508	0.0%	✓ with
239	0x3bd0..2f8e	NO	508	0.0%	✓ with
240	0x4876..0a9b	NO	507	0.0%	✓ with
241	0x3895..9f79	NO	507	0.0%	✓ with
242	0x5060..8cb7	NO	507	0.0%	✓ with
243	0x28cc..7c61	NO	507	0.0%	✓ with
244	0x6748..2d1b	NO	507	0.0%	✓ with
245	0x92bd..20ea	NO	507	0.0%	✓ with
246	0xbb68..3e3c	NO	507	0.0%	✓ with
247	0x40bf..389b	NO	507	0.0%	✓ with
248	0x58cf..5ba9	NO	506	0.0%	✓ with
249	0x63d4..959e	NO	506	0.0%	✓ with
250	0x26fd..ebf5	NO	506	0.0%	✓ with
251	0x4af8..cb7c	NO	506	0.0%	✓ with
252	0xe7ff..6f47	NO	506	0.0%	✓ with
253	0x6137..5467	NO	505	0.0%	✓ with
254	0xdb6d..a527	NO	505	0.0%	✓ with
255	0x4010..2528	NO	505	0.0%	✓ with
256	0x9cf0..f4c8	NO	505	0.0%	✓ with
257	0x3dd7..1345	NO	504	0.0%	✓ with
258	0x4289..9bdc	NO	504	0.0%	✓ with
259	0xf3c1..cf9c	NO	503	0.0%	✓ with
260	0x4913..d50a	NO	503	0.0%	✓ with
261	0xc590..d510	NO	503	0.0%	✓ with
262	0x216b..d812	NO	503	0.0%	✓ with
263	0xc428..867c	NO	502	0.0%	✓ with
264	0x2f55..5866	NO	502	0.0%	✓ with
265	0x5bc3..3942	NO	502	0.0%	✓ with
266	0x0f44..60dc	NO	502	0.0%	✓ with
267	0x0bb9..b81d	NO	502	0.0%	✓ with
268	0xfa8c..97f6	NO	502	0.0%	✓ with
269	0xec2b..4e9c	NO	501	0.0%	✓ with
270	0x2f96..e491	NO	501	0.0%	✓ with
271	0xa463..d01c	NO	501	0.0%	✓ with
272	0x3367..02c4	NO	501	0.0%	✓ with
273	0xca64..c51b	NO	501	0.0%	✓ with
274	0x8e5f..1e4a	NO	501	0.0%	✓ with
275	0x590a..43f6	NO	501	0.0%	✓ with
276	0x7ca4..619c	NO	500	0.0%	✓ with
277	0x3b84..a587	NO	500	0.0%	✓ with
278	0x5a94..97ee	NO	410	0.0%	✓ with
279	0x4fe9..defe	NO	178	0.0%	✓ with
280	0xd1fc..639f	NO	100	0.0%	✓ with
281	0xed3a..54fa	NO	96	0.0%	✓ with
282	0x2071..390a	TOO EARLY	80	0.0%	✗ early
283	0xff07..b8cd	NO	64	0.0%	✓ with
284	0x5794..9f6f	NO	18	0.0%	✓ with
285	0x29b0..5cfc	NO	0	0.0%	✓ with
286	0x4eac..ad50	NO	0	0.0%	✓ with
287	0x84dd..a32f	NO	0	0.0%	✓ with
288	0x224c..ae4d	NO	0	0.0%	✓ with