Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 11?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved NO 2025-07-17

voters

234

voted against

against share

5.1%

top wallet held

10.2%

total weight

23.1M

chain record #55

b11ca4215bbc8de8a6577b48823ece6dbad52e93b47b8362f144c8844e0d1134

previous record

4178b55e27071d939a862773e0d475dcc39e60421b2cde9da7468bccc1309f75

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1752379345:f0e2482d94f38c54

the judges

222 with · 12 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	NO	2.4M	10.2%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	NO	2.0M	8.8%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	NO	2.0M	8.7%	✓ with
4	0xfc20..1e1c	NO	1.5M	6.5%	✓ with
5	0xd2a7..9f7f	NO	1.4M	6.0%	✓ with
6	0x95cd..29b8	NO	955k	4.1%	✓ with
7	0xfec2..04a5	NO	938k	4.1%	✓ with
8	0x996d..aff1	NO	913k	4.0%	✓ with
9	0x05d1..f8c4	NO	901k	3.9%	✓ with
10	0x0afc..0b38	NO	649k	2.8%	✓ with
11	0x487a..2538	NO	610k	2.6%	✓ with
12	0x2488..7238	NO	411k	1.8%	✓ with
13	0xdb28..b80a	NO	394k	1.7%	✓ with
14	0x8548..e67e	YES	371k	1.6%	✗ against
15	0xbd4b..287d	NO	368k	1.6%	✓ with
16	0xbd9e..baa7	NO	356k	1.5%	✓ with
17	0x326c..4205	NO	353k	1.5%	✓ with
18	0x66ca..225a	NO	323k	1.4%	✓ with
19	0x9b8f..ed2f	NO	290k	1.3%	✓ with
20	0x20ec..56c0	TOO EARLY	261k	1.1%	✗ early
21	0xfe93..9c9d	NO	257k	1.1%	✓ with
22	0xb731..5790	NO	240k	1.0%	✓ with
23	0x840b..946f	NO	238k	1.0%	✓ with
24	0xf659..d48b	NO	233k	1.0%	✓ with
25	0x6c31..7d98	NO	217k	0.9%	✓ with
26	0x2bc1..a7e7	NO	217k	0.9%	✓ with
27	0xf002..bfb2	NO	196k	0.9%	✓ with
28	0x6573..8efe	NO	196k	0.8%	✓ with
29	0x2d51..6f52	NO	167k	0.7%	✓ with
30	0xb738..9472	NO	161k	0.7%	✓ with
31	0xfee5..5d78	NO	155k	0.7%	✓ with
32	0x89be..103a	NO	147k	0.6%	✓ with
33	0x92d7..6fc6	NO	145k	0.6%	✓ with
34	0x1a0d..f351	NO	136k	0.6%	✓ with
35	0x216a..92ba	NO	131k	0.6%	✓ with
36	0xc12f..39ee	NO	125k	0.5%	✓ with
37	0x30b2..be50	NO	124k	0.5%	✓ with
38	0xdf67..2de3	NO	122k	0.5%	✓ with
39	0x003a..0577	NO	119k	0.5%	✓ with
40	0xf018..4069	NO	112k	0.5%	✓ with
41	0x5b7e..78a8	NO	104k	0.4%	✓ with
42	0x8b64..96ee	NO	96k	0.4%	✓ with
43	0x8d61..27bc	NO	91k	0.4%	✓ with
44	0x6391..194a	NO	89k	0.4%	✓ with
45	0x53d0..d897	NO	83k	0.4%	✓ with
46	0x65af..2482	NO	83k	0.4%	✓ with
47	0xd4c1..6e2e	NO	81k	0.4%	✓ with
48	0x7baa..946a	NO	76k	0.3%	✓ with
49	0xa9b0..c344	NO	75k	0.3%	✓ with
50	0xd431..e9d9	NO	75k	0.3%	✓ with
51	0x89f9..2a45	NO	73k	0.3%	✓ with
52	0xd278..5a26	NO	71k	0.3%	✓ with
53	0x69d0..a819	NO	70k	0.3%	✓ with
54	0x5c2e..d55e	NO	70k	0.3%	✓ with
55	0xc9e8..8df5	NO	65k	0.3%	✓ with
56	0x04b8..db57	NO	62k	0.3%	✓ with
57	0xc337..0459	NO	60k	0.3%	✓ with
58	0x1515..490a	NO	56k	0.2%	✓ with
59	0x18f7..9222	NO	55k	0.2%	✓ with
60	0xd9f9..7598	NO	50k	0.2%	✓ with
61	0x3d59..baa2	NO	42k	0.2%	✓ with
62	0x403d..4490	NO	40k	0.2%	✓ with
63	0xa4ef..a5ea	NO	36k	0.2%	✓ with
64	0xa61b..88a5	NO	33k	0.1%	✓ with
65	0xa7b9..87d0	NO	31k	0.1%	✓ with
66	0x126d..c78e	NO	29k	0.1%	✓ with
67	0xab0c..8b3b	NO	28k	0.1%	✓ with
68	0x1921..efa9	NO	28k	0.1%	✓ with
69	0xa2e5..27f4	NO	28k	0.1%	✓ with
70	0x566f..d9f0	NO	27k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0x7b51..f56b	NO	26k	0.1%	✓ with
72	0x47a4..368b	NO	25k	0.1%	✓ with
73	0x69d0..586c	NO	22k	0.1%	✓ with
74	0x74e4..9053	NO	22k	0.1%	✓ with
75	0x4c0d..ff1d	NO	18k	0.1%	✓ with
76	0x1ab8..64f4	NO	16k	0.1%	✓ with
77	0x336b..d88f	NO	15k	0.1%	✓ with
78	0x2a6d..7e59	NO	13k	0.1%	✓ with
79	0xc29a..c1a6	NO	13k	0.1%	✓ with
80	0x9b6f..4ced	TOO EARLY	12k	0.1%	✗ early
81	0x4f49..8da9	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
82	0x9497..f769	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
83	0xe748..9a11	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
84	0x4ddd..0cb2	NO	10k	0.0%	✓ with
85	0xe637..9483	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
86	0xd17e..2b36	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
87	0x465c..d022	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
88	0x110f..f6fd	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
89	0x9928..8cee	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
90	0xdb4d..bb4d	NO	8k	0.0%	✓ with
91	0x3939..e4ce	TOO EARLY	7k	0.0%	✗ early
92	0x1a46..cbc4	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
93	0xcb8c..9937	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
94	0x37c5..6545	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
95	0x8c48..b938	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
96	0xea1e..4f9a	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
97	0x5d54..cc4b	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
98	0xa31c..6020	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
99	0x9baf..0a44	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
100	0xb483..28ab	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0x7e36..0c22	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x122b..8aee	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
103	0x21a7..bce1	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
104	0xc4eb..9946	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
105	0x1cc9..397e	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
106	0x55e0..c952	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
107	0xdf50..ffda	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
108	0x2a82..c9d8	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
109	0x519e..fb3b	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
110	0x9860..1316	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0xea8d..558a	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
112	0xa2cf..d7aa	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
113	0x6280..57bb	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
114	0x18fe..3f3b	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
115	0xde0a..75f5	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
116	0x1c80..d09a	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
117	0xd7e6..8b53	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
118	0x449f..d1c7	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
119	0x08bb..2be1	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
120	0xde26..dad7	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
121	0x99bc..2fd9	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
122	0x48c7..0f91	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
123	0xf8e9..6fe8	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
124	0xa851..7438	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
125	0xf33e..db10	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
126	0xbb1f..fba5	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
127	0xe3b0..1d12	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
128	0xb425..1d8e	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
129	0xb362..e683	YES	1k	0.0%	✗ against
130	0x5b01..2ed2	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
131	0x90b9..2464	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
132	0xf1de..7990	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
133	0x7c9c..76ed	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
134	0xa89f..b642	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
135	0x76cc..8829	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
136	0x7d8a..388c	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
137	0x0fad..ef15	YES	1k	0.0%	✗ against
138	0x8a74..5d7d	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
139	0x49b3..bd78	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
140	0x9a47..4246	NO	998	0.0%	✓ with
141	0x27b0..14d2	NO	997	0.0%	✓ with
142	0xcc50..da38	NO	990	0.0%	✓ with
143	0x0b02..9fee	NO	989	0.0%	✓ with
144	0x9101..dd9f	NO	988	0.0%	✓ with
145	0xac88..5757	NO	987	0.0%	✓ with
146	0xc84f..747b	NO	983	0.0%	✓ with
147	0x06ce..20ea	NO	983	0.0%	✓ with
148	0xa21c..1e3a	NO	982	0.0%	✓ with
149	0xf5df..d5ae	NO	979	0.0%	✓ with
150	0x1306..bc55	NO	972	0.0%	✓ with
151	0x2027..50ff	NO	964	0.0%	✓ with
152	0x50d2..31ef	NO	961	0.0%	✓ with
153	0x074f..9d52	NO	952	0.0%	✓ with
154	0x9c1f..0c09	NO	851	0.0%	✓ with
155	0xc39c..a14d	NO	830	0.0%	✓ with
156	0xd0d1..494d	NO	800	0.0%	✓ with
157	0x6fc5..daf1	NO	793	0.0%	✓ with
158	0xe6b5..f1fd	NO	750	0.0%	✓ with
159	0x7595..8027	NO	652	0.0%	✓ with
160	0x3b9f..c44f	NO	643	0.0%	✓ with
161	0xdc20..021d	NO	637	0.0%	✓ with
162	0x5071..ad7b	NO	621	0.0%	✓ with
163	0x5a7c..ee4c	NO	620	0.0%	✓ with
164	0x0b5d..4832	NO	612	0.0%	✓ with
165	0xd8d7..d24e	NO	600	0.0%	✓ with
166	0x0773..d139	NO	591	0.0%	✓ with
167	0x104d..e4e9	NO	591	0.0%	✓ with
168	0x3e1b..523e	NO	588	0.0%	✓ with
169	0x9fdb..0aea	NO	580	0.0%	✓ with
170	0x56d7..7226	NO	578	0.0%	✓ with
171	0x101a..b9e5	NO	575	0.0%	✓ with
172	0x3abe..817d	NO	574	0.0%	✓ with
173	0x2b37..83dc	NO	574	0.0%	✓ with
174	0x5ebc..d55d	NO	572	0.0%	✓ with
175	0xc573..09c1	NO	568	0.0%	✓ with
176	0xe5e7..2f19	NO	567	0.0%	✓ with
177	0x5689..82b0	NO	564	0.0%	✓ with
178	0xd8e4..9d15	NO	561	0.0%	✓ with
179	0xcfb3..400e	NO	560	0.0%	✓ with
180	0x87a7..c1b6	NO	559	0.0%	✓ with
181	0x16d1..597a	NO	559	0.0%	✓ with
182	0x0293..f77e	NO	557	0.0%	✓ with
183	0x1049..c8e5	NO	553	0.0%	✓ with
184	0x601f..7eb5	NO	552	0.0%	✓ with
185	0x6e86..2587	NO	551	0.0%	✓ with
186	0x785c..2de9	NO	550	0.0%	✓ with
187	0x6c87..ca76	NO	547	0.0%	✓ with
188	0xa8b8..b984	NO	546	0.0%	✓ with
189	0xacb4..dd18	NO	543	0.0%	✓ with
190	0xb67a..6122	NO	541	0.0%	✓ with
191	0x4821..bdcf	NO	540	0.0%	✓ with
192	0xcb4b..0caa	NO	539	0.0%	✓ with
193	0x36ce..5bc0	NO	538	0.0%	✓ with
194	0x349e..5168	NO	537	0.0%	✓ with
195	0x68c1..859a	NO	536	0.0%	✓ with
196	0xd521..7329	NO	536	0.0%	✓ with
197	0xc3ac..9d6b	NO	534	0.0%	✓ with
198	0xb538..8b0f	NO	534	0.0%	✓ with
199	0x8782..32db	NO	534	0.0%	✓ with
200	0x8e56..9e77	NO	533	0.0%	✓ with
201	0xf3c1..2329	NO	533	0.0%	✓ with
202	0x24eb..a05a	NO	531	0.0%	✓ with
203	0xaa9e..d624	NO	530	0.0%	✓ with
204	0xbd9d..98eb	NO	530	0.0%	✓ with
205	0x0182..399e	NO	529	0.0%	✓ with
206	0x90da..1a73	NO	528	0.0%	✓ with
207	0x9f9a..03be	NO	528	0.0%	✓ with
208	0xf0dc..fe78	NO	526	0.0%	✓ with
209	0xaef6..7b7c	NO	526	0.0%	✓ with
210	0x72b5..3236	NO	524	0.0%	✓ with
211	0xc6c3..d292	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
212	0x7a40..be8a	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
213	0x3745..650e	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
214	0xefbc..e22b	NO	520	0.0%	✓ with
215	0xfb1f..a12c	NO	520	0.0%	✓ with
216	0x57cb..0f3e	NO	519	0.0%	✓ with
217	0x8bc1..4230	TOO EARLY	519	0.0%	✗ early
218	0x73cd..af4d	NO	517	0.0%	✓ with
219	0x4be8..0604	NO	516	0.0%	✓ with
220	0x5784..a1ee	NO	516	0.0%	✓ with
221	0x80cc..ca98	NO	515	0.0%	✓ with
222	0xf3b6..99bf	NO	513	0.0%	✓ with
223	0x9e43..b563	NO	513	0.0%	✓ with
224	0xe321..d544	NO	512	0.0%	✓ with
225	0xf025..c7b1	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	✗ early
226	0x52b8..31f9	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	✗ early
227	0x0939..befb	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	✗ early
228	0x2947..32a5	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	✗ early
229	0xfb04..110c	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
230	0x34d4..6ab2	NO	509	0.0%	✓ with
231	0x3dd7..1345	TOO EARLY	506	0.0%	✗ early
232	0x0f44..60dc	NO	503	0.0%	✓ with
233	0xccd9..cef6	NO	468	0.0%	✓ with
234	0xf948..6032	NO	174	0.0%	✓ with