Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved NO 2025-09-01

voters

255

voted against

against share

21.6%

top wallet held

10.7%

total weight

22.7M

chain record #219

a4459ca916005e64c32261eb069bde002f3f2d55708e8757eb9b07472a470b94

previous record

f1e2c8d4aa87b600626f81cd82720a3abda3104895f671d9f44157f19836ec69

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1756423867:bb2b8df465158c50

the judges

200 with · 55 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	NO	2.4M	10.7%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	NO	2.1M	9.2%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	NO	2.1M	9.1%	✓ with
4	0xfc20..1e1c	NO	1.4M	6.3%	✓ with
5	0xd2a7..9f7f	NO	1.4M	6.2%	✓ with
6	0x95cd..29b8	NO	959k	4.2%	✓ with
7	0xfec2..04a5	NO	947k	4.2%	✓ with
8	0x05d1..f8c4	NO	900k	4.0%	✓ with
9	0x996d..aff1	NO	892k	3.9%	✓ with
10	0x0afc..0b38	NO	672k	3.0%	✓ with
11	0x487a..2538	NO	623k	2.7%	✓ with
12	0x6564..340c	NO	425k	1.9%	✓ with
13	0xdb28..b80a	NO	384k	1.7%	✓ with
14	0x8548..e67e	NO	384k	1.7%	✓ with
15	0xbd9e..baa7	NO	374k	1.6%	✓ with
16	0x326c..4205	NO	364k	1.6%	✓ with
17	0x66ca..225a	NO	334k	1.5%	✓ with
18	0x9b8f..ed2f	NO	294k	1.3%	✓ with
19	0x4863..e44f	NO	269k	1.2%	✓ with
20	0x20ec..56c0	NO	263k	1.2%	✓ with
21	0xb731..5790	NO	246k	1.1%	✓ with
22	0x840b..946f	NO	245k	1.1%	✓ with
23	0xf659..d48b	NO	244k	1.1%	✓ with
24	0x2bc1..a7e7	NO	225k	1.0%	✓ with
25	0xfe93..9c9d	NO	222k	1.0%	✓ with
26	0xf002..bfb2	NO	203k	0.9%	✓ with
27	0x6573..8efe	NO	197k	0.9%	✓ with
28	0x9928..8cee	NO	182k	0.8%	✓ with
29	0x9e30..0d35	NO	182k	0.8%	✓ with
30	0x3504..ec2b	NO	177k	0.8%	✓ with
31	0x2d51..6f52	NO	172k	0.8%	✓ with
32	0x89be..103a	NO	150k	0.7%	✓ with
33	0x92d7..6fc6	NO	149k	0.7%	✓ with
34	0x1a0d..f351	NO	141k	0.6%	✓ with
35	0x30b2..be50	NO	127k	0.6%	✓ with
36	0xdf67..2de3	NO	126k	0.6%	✓ with
37	0x003a..0577	NO	123k	0.5%	✓ with
38	0x216a..92ba	NO	115k	0.5%	✓ with
39	0xf018..4069	NO	114k	0.5%	✓ with
40	0x5b7e..78a8	NO	106k	0.5%	✓ with
41	0x8b64..96ee	NO	100k	0.4%	✓ with
42	0xb738..9472	NO	100k	0.4%	✓ with
43	0x8d61..27bc	NO	91k	0.4%	✓ with
44	0x53d0..d897	NO	85k	0.4%	✓ with
45	0x65af..2482	NO	85k	0.4%	✓ with
46	0x7baa..946a	NO	78k	0.3%	✓ with
47	0x5c2e..d55e	NO	72k	0.3%	✓ with
48	0xa0ff..3d3d	NO	70k	0.3%	✓ with
49	0x69d0..a819	NO	69k	0.3%	✓ with
50	0xc9e8..8df5	NO	67k	0.3%	✓ with
51	0xd4c1..6e2e	NO	61k	0.3%	✓ with
52	0x1515..490a	NO	58k	0.3%	✓ with
53	0xa9b0..c344	NO	58k	0.3%	✓ with
54	0x4431..9080	NO	52k	0.2%	✓ with
55	0xa4ef..a5ea	NO	37k	0.2%	✓ with
56	0xa61b..88a5	NO	34k	0.1%	✓ with
57	0xa7b9..87d0	NO	32k	0.1%	✓ with
58	0x126d..c78e	NO	30k	0.1%	✓ with
59	0x3d59..baa2	NO	29k	0.1%	✓ with
60	0x1921..efa9	NO	29k	0.1%	✓ with
61	0x060b..81fa	NO	27k	0.1%	✓ with
62	0x7b51..f56b	NO	26k	0.1%	✓ with
63	0xa2e5..27f4	NO	26k	0.1%	✓ with
64	0x47a4..368b	NO	25k	0.1%	✓ with
65	0xa119..d55d	NO	25k	0.1%	✓ with
66	0x69d0..586c	NO	24k	0.1%	✓ with
67	0x4c0d..ff1d	NO	19k	0.1%	✓ with
68	0x3939..e4ce	NO	15k	0.1%	✓ with
69	0x336b..d88f	NO	15k	0.1%	✓ with
70	0x2a6d..7e59	NO	14k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0x4f49..8da9	NO	12k	0.1%	✓ with
72	0xe748..9a11	NO	12k	0.1%	✓ with
73	0x9b6f..4ced	NO	12k	0.1%	✓ with
74	0x9497..f769	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
75	0x122b..8aee	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
76	0x4ddd..0cb2	NO	10k	0.0%	✓ with
77	0xe637..9483	NO	10k	0.0%	✓ with
78	0x465c..d022	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
79	0x110f..f6fd	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
80	0x23bb..183b	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
81	0xdb4d..bb4d	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
82	0xd7e6..8b53	NO	7k	0.0%	✓ with
83	0x1a46..cbc4	NO	7k	0.0%	✓ with
84	0xcb8c..9937	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
85	0x09ea..73fd	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
86	0xa31c..6020	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
87	0x5d54..cc4b	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
88	0xea1e..4f9a	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
89	0x9baf..0a44	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
90	0xb483..28ab	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
91	0x7e36..0c22	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
92	0xc4eb..9946	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
93	0x6e86..2587	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
94	0xf445..376e	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
95	0x55e0..c952	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
96	0x1cc9..397e	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
97	0x6280..57bb	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
98	0xdf50..ffda	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
99	0x2a82..c9d8	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
100	0x519e..fb3b	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0xa2cf..d7aa	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x9860..1316	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
103	0x558c..4808	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
104	0xea8d..558a	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
105	0xde0a..75f5	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
106	0x18fe..3f3b	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
107	0x1c80..d09a	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
108	0x449f..d1c7	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
109	0x08bb..2be1	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
110	0xf8e9..6fe8	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0x99bc..2fd9	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
112	0xa851..7438	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
113	0xbb1f..fba5	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
114	0xe3b0..1d12	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
115	0x27b0..14d2	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
116	0x49b3..bd78	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
117	0x9a47..4246	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
118	0x1306..bc55	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
119	0xd32e..bd3f	NO	908	0.0%	✓ with
120	0x9c1f..0c09	NO	859	0.0%	✓ with
121	0xc39c..a14d	NO	859	0.0%	✓ with
122	0x6fc5..daf1	NO	813	0.0%	✓ with
123	0xe6b5..f1fd	NO	773	0.0%	✓ with
124	0x86cc..273d	NO	718	0.0%	✓ with
125	0x967b..1277	NO	674	0.0%	✓ with
126	0x7595..8027	NO	672	0.0%	✓ with
127	0x3b9f..c44f	NO	663	0.0%	✓ with
128	0x5a7c..ee4c	NO	660	0.0%	✓ with
129	0x0ab3..ea53	NO	648	0.0%	✓ with
130	0x5071..ad7b	NO	641	0.0%	✓ with
131	0x0b5d..4832	NO	620	0.0%	✓ with
132	0xc0af..560d	NO	607	0.0%	✓ with
133	0x3e1b..523e	NO	602	0.0%	✓ with
134	0x9fdb..0aea	NO	602	0.0%	✓ with
135	0x37c5..6545	NO	600	0.0%	✓ with
136	0x5ebc..d55d	NO	597	0.0%	✓ with
137	0x3abe..817d	NO	594	0.0%	✓ with
138	0x2b37..83dc	NO	592	0.0%	✓ with
139	0xc573..09c1	NO	587	0.0%	✓ with
140	0xe5e7..2f19	NO	586	0.0%	✓ with
141	0x16d1..597a	NO	577	0.0%	✓ with
142	0x0293..f77e	NO	575	0.0%	✓ with
143	0xa02b..d6eb	NO	571	0.0%	✓ with
144	0xd8e4..9d15	NO	568	0.0%	✓ with
145	0xb67a..6122	NO	567	0.0%	✓ with
146	0x87a7..c1b6	NO	566	0.0%	✓ with
147	0x7643..594b	NO	564	0.0%	✓ with
148	0x785c..2de9	NO	563	0.0%	✓ with
149	0xeb20..5dd3	NO	560	0.0%	✓ with
150	0xacb4..dd18	NO	560	0.0%	✓ with
151	0xa8b8..b984	NO	559	0.0%	✓ with
152	0x36ce..5bc0	NO	556	0.0%	✓ with
153	0x0f44..60dc	NO	555	0.0%	✓ with
154	0x7975..2c86	NO	554	0.0%	✓ with
155	0xc3ac..9d6b	NO	552	0.0%	✓ with
156	0xb538..8b0f	NO	552	0.0%	✓ with
157	0x8e56..9e77	NO	550	0.0%	✓ with
158	0xd521..7329	NO	548	0.0%	✓ with
159	0x4821..bdcf	NO	547	0.0%	✓ with
160	0xfb04..110c	NO	546	0.0%	✓ with
161	0xaef6..7b7c	NO	545	0.0%	✓ with
162	0x349e..5168	NO	544	0.0%	✓ with
163	0x1d46..9dee	NO	544	0.0%	✓ with
164	0xcb4b..0caa	NO	543	0.0%	✓ with
165	0x0182..399e	NO	543	0.0%	✓ with
166	0x5784..a1ee	NO	542	0.0%	✓ with
167	0xf833..39b1	NO	541	0.0%	✓ with
168	0x8782..32db	NO	541	0.0%	✓ with
169	0x340b..3740	NO	539	0.0%	✓ with
170	0x5d21..36a5	YES	537	0.0%	✗ against
171	0x24eb..a05a	NO	536	0.0%	✓ with
172	0xda6d..c4b3	NO	535	0.0%	✓ with
173	0x0fb0..5be0	NO	534	0.0%	✓ with
174	0x9f9a..03be	NO	534	0.0%	✓ with
175	0x73cd..af4d	NO	533	0.0%	✓ with
176	0x90da..1a73	NO	531	0.0%	✓ with
177	0xf0dc..fe78	NO	529	0.0%	✓ with
178	0x8e5f..1e4a	YES	528	0.0%	✗ against
179	0x114d..3303	NO	528	0.0%	✓ with
180	0x3745..650e	NO	528	0.0%	✓ with
181	0x5022..df9e	NO	528	0.0%	✓ with
182	0x0bb9..b81d	YES	527	0.0%	✗ against
183	0x590a..43f6	YES	527	0.0%	✗ against
184	0x4876..0a9b	YES	527	0.0%	✗ against
185	0x57cb..0f3e	NO	526	0.0%	✓ with
186	0x430c..2e5f	YES	526	0.0%	✗ against
187	0xc4e7..b4d9	YES	526	0.0%	✗ against
188	0xd273..e3c6	YES	525	0.0%	✗ against
189	0x4151..097c	YES	525	0.0%	✗ against
190	0xc590..d510	YES	525	0.0%	✗ against
191	0x8bc1..4230	NO	525	0.0%	✓ with
192	0x3b84..a587	YES	523	0.0%	✗ against
193	0x4913..d50a	YES	523	0.0%	✗ against
194	0x9cf0..f4c8	YES	523	0.0%	✗ against
195	0x0215..3d40	NO	523	0.0%	✓ with
196	0x2f55..5866	YES	522	0.0%	✗ against
197	0x63d4..959e	YES	522	0.0%	✗ against
198	0x7ca4..619c	YES	522	0.0%	✗ against
199	0x1edb..ca66	YES	521	0.0%	✗ against
200	0xca64..c51b	YES	521	0.0%	✗ against
201	0x5bc3..3942	YES	521	0.0%	✗ against
202	0xfa8c..97f6	YES	521	0.0%	✗ against
203	0xec2b..4e9c	YES	521	0.0%	✗ against
204	0xc0dc..9fb4	YES	521	0.0%	✗ against
205	0x3895..9f79	YES	521	0.0%	✗ against
206	0xcfb3..400e	NO	520	0.0%	✓ with
207	0xb4c9..9d09	YES	520	0.0%	✗ against
208	0x3b59..4444	YES	520	0.0%	✗ against
209	0x09a1..2913	YES	520	0.0%	✗ against
210	0x34d4..6ab2	NO	520	0.0%	✓ with
211	0xd1cd..6df1	YES	520	0.0%	✗ against
212	0xe321..d544	NO	519	0.0%	✓ with
213	0xd2ad..7dff	NO	519	0.0%	✓ with
214	0x8b99..ee24	NO	519	0.0%	✓ with
215	0x4010..2528	YES	518	0.0%	✗ against
216	0x5060..8cb7	YES	518	0.0%	✗ against
217	0xf3c1..cf9c	YES	518	0.0%	✗ against
218	0xf025..c7b1	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
219	0xa463..d01c	YES	518	0.0%	✗ against
220	0x1f12..f16e	YES	518	0.0%	✗ against
221	0x40bf..389b	YES	518	0.0%	✗ against
222	0xbb68..3e3c	YES	518	0.0%	✗ against
223	0x28cc..7c61	YES	518	0.0%	✗ against
224	0xc428..867c	YES	518	0.0%	✗ against
225	0x2947..32a5	NO	517	0.0%	✓ with
226	0x4241..f563	YES	517	0.0%	✗ against
227	0xde72..82d9	YES	517	0.0%	✗ against
228	0x630a..42f5	YES	517	0.0%	✗ against
229	0x3367..02c4	YES	516	0.0%	✗ against
230	0x92bd..20ea	YES	516	0.0%	✗ against
231	0x54d6..ae04	YES	516	0.0%	✗ against
232	0xab0e..a340	YES	515	0.0%	✗ against
233	0xd8c3..30f6	YES	515	0.0%	✗ against
234	0x3bd0..2f8e	YES	514	0.0%	✗ against
235	0x216b..d812	YES	514	0.0%	✗ against
236	0xe7ff..6f47	YES	514	0.0%	✗ against
237	0x6748..2d1b	YES	513	0.0%	✗ against
238	0x4289..9bdc	YES	513	0.0%	✗ against
239	0x26fd..ebf5	YES	513	0.0%	✗ against
240	0x58cf..5ba9	YES	513	0.0%	✗ against
241	0x3b45..3008	NO	513	0.0%	✓ with
242	0x3dd7..1345	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
243	0x2f96..e491	YES	511	0.0%	✗ against
244	0x6137..5467	YES	511	0.0%	✗ against
245	0xdb6d..a527	YES	510	0.0%	✗ against
246	0x4af8..cb7c	YES	509	0.0%	✗ against
247	0x858f..c13c	NO	509	0.0%	✓ with
248	0x52b8..31f9	NO	508	0.0%	✓ with
249	0xa1df..f4a8	NO	507	0.0%	✓ with
250	0xccd9..cef6	NO	506	0.0%	✓ with
251	0xcd6d..e2e0	NO	504	0.0%	✓ with
252	0x0045..501d	NO	501	0.0%	✓ with
253	0xf548..da63	NO	107	0.0%	✓ with
254	0x2071..390a	NO	78	0.0%	✓ with
255	0xd120..5afc	NO	9	0.0%	✓ with