disputes / 2026-02-16

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved YES 2026-02-16
voters
418
voted against
3
against share
0.7%
top wallet held
11.8%
total weight
23.8M
chain record #1297
b3d66510970c4b16d29a6ec9ab47245b30b46cd4bdfb9e03992049401ff18632
previous record
5ed3910843081ce6afeeaae07b2fdc95d2a596eeded6a194ce401ca9984a48cd
recorded
2026-07-02T06:42:29z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1770972705:27c5e4d2008f5ecc

the judges

415 with · 3 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth
#walletvote weightsharevs outcome
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3790x217d..b312YES6080.0%✓ with
3800xeb20..5dd3YES5810.0%✓ with
3810x90da..1a73YES5260.0%✓ with
3820xf0dc..fe78YES5230.0%✓ with
3830xa6cf..4b68YES4730.0%✓ with
3840xfc79..45c8YES4680.0%✓ with
3850x172d..46a9YES4680.0%✓ with
3860xa847..c71cYES4600.0%✓ with
3870x0045..501dYES4010.0%✓ with
3880x2831..1ac5YES3840.0%✓ with
3890xccd9..cef6YES3710.0%✓ with
3900x8c59..3a3cYES2090.0%✓ with
3910xabac..ea56YES1930.0%✓ with
3920x20f9..4fa7YES1920.0%✓ with
3930xdc8d..c15dYES1710.0%✓ with
3940xeb01..eb75YES1680.0%✓ with
3950x2d6b..2719YES1640.0%✓ with
3960x1bda..5153NO1640.0%✗ against
3970xb404..06f4YES1620.0%✓ with
3980x3bf8..76adYES1600.0%✓ with
3990x2ba1..77a7YES1580.0%✓ with
4000xe367..6faaYES1500.0%✓ with
4010xd953..20d9YES1400.0%✓ with
4020xc337..3af8YES1370.0%✓ with
4030xf2a9..089dYES1280.0%✓ with
4040xce0a..4e4bYES1230.0%✓ with
4050xc164..566eYES1210.0%✓ with
4060x1571..e6d5YES1140.0%✓ with
4070xeea1..41b5YES1050.0%✓ with
4080xfaa9..b062YES970.0%✓ with
4090x6f31..6933YES170.0%✓ with
4100x4c5a..ad9bYES50.0%✓ with
4110x0672..b4a7YES40.0%✓ with
4120x8f8b..ed91YES30.0%✓ with
4130xf190..44c0YES30.0%✓ with
4140xfcaf..dc2aYES20.0%✓ with
4150xd39c..8923YES10.0%✓ with
4160xfd26..cb8bYES10.0%✓ with
4170xd1c4..e879YES10.0%✓ with
4180xbdf3..b42fYES10.0%✓ with