Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved YES 2025-09-19

voters

301

voted against

against share

1.3%

top wallet held

12.4%

total weight

19.9M

chain record #301

3479a2b0f82be43094f29cabb1b34365c0a2e266d6571ec718e5adf89dfbfe61

previous record

f4ef98de3b389e21000fba6a19257dffe9a2dcf58a92d0fef5d0b15152cbd0d7

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1758025802:e7122d4c3e7261b3

the judges

297 with · 4 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	YES	2.5M	12.4%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	YES	2.1M	10.6%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	YES	2.1M	10.6%	✓ with
4	0xd2a7..9f7f	YES	1.4M	7.1%	✓ with
5	0x95cd..29b8	YES	965k	4.8%	✓ with
6	0x05d1..f8c4	YES	905k	4.5%	✓ with
7	0x996d..aff1	YES	887k	4.5%	✓ with
8	0x0afc..0b38	YES	680k	3.4%	✓ with
9	0x487a..2538	YES	631k	3.2%	✓ with
10	0x6564..340c	YES	421k	2.1%	✓ with
11	0xdb28..b80a	YES	384k	1.9%	✓ with
12	0x8548..e67e	YES	379k	1.9%	✓ with
13	0xbd9e..baa7	YES	375k	1.9%	✓ with
14	0x326c..4205	YES	370k	1.9%	✓ with
15	0x66ca..225a	YES	339k	1.7%	✓ with
16	0x4863..e44f	YES	268k	1.3%	✓ with
17	0x20ec..56c0	YES	262k	1.3%	✓ with
18	0xb731..5790	YES	250k	1.3%	✓ with
19	0xf659..d48b	YES	245k	1.2%	✓ with
20	0x840b..946f	YES	241k	1.2%	✓ with
21	0x2bc1..a7e7	YES	230k	1.2%	✓ with
22	0xfe93..9c9d	YES	224k	1.1%	✓ with
23	0xf002..bfb2	YES	206k	1.0%	✓ with
24	0x6573..8efe	YES	198k	1.0%	✓ with
25	0x9928..8cee	YES	185k	0.9%	✓ with
26	0x9e30..0d35	YES	184k	0.9%	✓ with
27	0x3504..ec2b	YES	178k	0.9%	✓ with
28	0x2d51..6f52	YES	174k	0.9%	✓ with
29	0x89be..103a	YES	151k	0.8%	✓ with
30	0x92d7..6fc6	YES	151k	0.8%	✓ with
31	0x1a0d..f351	YES	143k	0.7%	✓ with
32	0x30b2..be50	YES	129k	0.6%	✓ with
33	0xdf67..2de3	YES	128k	0.6%	✓ with
34	0x003a..0577	YES	125k	0.6%	✓ with
35	0xf018..4069	YES	116k	0.6%	✓ with
36	0x5b7e..78a8	YES	107k	0.5%	✓ with
37	0x8b64..96ee	YES	101k	0.5%	✓ with
38	0x8d61..27bc	YES	91k	0.5%	✓ with
39	0x53d0..d897	YES	86k	0.4%	✓ with
40	0x7baa..946a	YES	79k	0.4%	✓ with
41	0x5c2e..d55e	YES	73k	0.4%	✓ with
42	0xa0ff..3d3d	YES	70k	0.4%	✓ with
43	0xd278..5a26	YES	69k	0.3%	✓ with
44	0xc9e8..8df5	YES	68k	0.3%	✓ with
45	0x1515..490a	YES	59k	0.3%	✓ with
46	0xa9b0..c344	YES	58k	0.3%	✓ with
47	0xb738..9472	YES	50k	0.3%	✓ with
48	0x9b8f..ed2f	YES	45k	0.2%	✓ with
49	0xa4ef..a5ea	YES	37k	0.2%	✓ with
50	0xa61b..88a5	YES	34k	0.2%	✓ with
51	0xa7b9..87d0	YES	32k	0.2%	✓ with
52	0x126d..c78e	YES	30k	0.2%	✓ with
53	0x3d59..baa2	YES	29k	0.1%	✓ with
54	0x060b..81fa	YES	28k	0.1%	✓ with
55	0x7b51..f56b	YES	27k	0.1%	✓ with
56	0xa2e5..27f4	YES	26k	0.1%	✓ with
57	0x47a4..368b	YES	25k	0.1%	✓ with
58	0xa119..d55d	YES	25k	0.1%	✓ with
59	0x69d0..586c	YES	25k	0.1%	✓ with
60	0x4c0d..ff1d	YES	19k	0.1%	✓ with
61	0x6e86..2587	YES	18k	0.1%	✓ with
62	0x3939..e4ce	YES	15k	0.1%	✓ with
63	0x336b..d88f	YES	15k	0.1%	✓ with
64	0x2a6d..7e59	YES	14k	0.1%	✓ with
65	0xe748..9a11	YES	13k	0.1%	✓ with
66	0x4f49..8da9	YES	13k	0.1%	✓ with
67	0x9b6f..4ced	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
68	0x9497..f769	YES	11k	0.1%	✓ with
69	0x122b..8aee	YES	11k	0.1%	✓ with
70	0x4ddd..0cb2	YES	10k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0xe637..9483	YES	10k	0.0%	✓ with
72	0x110f..f6fd	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
73	0x465c..d022	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
74	0x23bb..183b	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
75	0xea1e..4f9a	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
76	0xdb4d..bb4d	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
77	0xc5af..a671	YES	8k	0.0%	✓ with
78	0xd7e6..8b53	YES	8k	0.0%	✓ with
79	0x1ab8..64f4	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
80	0x1a46..cbc4	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
81	0xcb8c..9937	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
82	0x5a01..e9e0	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
83	0x09ea..73fd	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
84	0xa31c..6020	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
85	0x5d54..cc4b	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
86	0x9baf..0a44	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
87	0xb483..28ab	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
88	0x7e36..0c22	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
89	0xc4eb..9946	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
90	0x1cc9..397e	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
91	0xf445..376e	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
92	0x55e0..c952	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
93	0x6280..57bb	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
94	0xdf50..ffda	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
95	0x2a82..c9d8	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
96	0x519e..fb3b	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
97	0xa2cf..d7aa	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
98	0x9860..1316	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
99	0x558c..4808	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
100	0xea8d..558a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0xde0a..75f5	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x18fe..3f3b	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
103	0x1c80..d09a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
104	0x449f..d1c7	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
105	0x08bb..2be1	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
106	0xf8e9..6fe8	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
107	0x99bc..2fd9	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
108	0x48c7..0f91	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
109	0xa851..7438	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
110	0xbb1f..fba5	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0xe3b0..1d12	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
112	0x2fbb..aefd	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
113	0x5870..b44c	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
114	0x49b3..bd78	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
115	0xdae5..746b	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
116	0x4846..e93c	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
117	0xd043..007e	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
118	0xf8c9..46cb	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
119	0x3800..e5fc	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
120	0xc56d..bb33	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
121	0x9b5d..877f	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
122	0x929c..f881	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
123	0x27b0..14d2	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
124	0xa65e..c3c6	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
125	0x00b6..22c7	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
126	0x4a19..c839	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
127	0x44c6..4df5	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
128	0xa363..0278	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
129	0x1306..bc55	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
130	0xa7a5..9c28	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
131	0x574c..86d7	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
132	0xe86a..8132	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
133	0x467c..f6b9	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
134	0x62a1..8f01	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
135	0x9a47..4246	YES	989	0.0%	✓ with
136	0xf882..c333	YES	964	0.0%	✓ with
137	0xd32e..bd3f	YES	883	0.0%	✓ with
138	0x9c1f..0c09	YES	880	0.0%	✓ with
139	0xc39c..a14d	YES	864	0.0%	✓ with
140	0x2c49..6ada	YES	849	0.0%	✓ with
141	0x6fc5..daf1	YES	829	0.0%	✓ with
142	0x1fd9..0ec8	YES	791	0.0%	✓ with
143	0xe6b5..f1fd	YES	776	0.0%	✓ with
144	0x2a1b..a08f	YES	731	0.0%	✓ with
145	0x9790..0f06	YES	729	0.0%	✓ with
146	0x86cc..273d	YES	721	0.0%	✓ with
147	0xaf1f..55e7	YES	691	0.0%	✓ with
148	0x7bae..cbdc	YES	683	0.0%	✓ with
149	0x7595..8027	YES	683	0.0%	✓ with
150	0x12be..a93c	YES	681	0.0%	✓ with
151	0x967b..1277	YES	678	0.0%	✓ with
152	0x3b9f..c44f	YES	676	0.0%	✓ with
153	0x28ec..1675	YES	674	0.0%	✓ with
154	0x95af..26fc	YES	666	0.0%	✓ with
155	0x5a7c..ee4c	YES	664	0.0%	✓ with
156	0x0ab3..ea53	YES	652	0.0%	✓ with
157	0x5071..ad7b	YES	650	0.0%	✓ with
158	0x0b5d..4832	YES	622	0.0%	✓ with
159	0x9fdb..0aea	YES	611	0.0%	✓ with
160	0xc0af..560d	YES	610	0.0%	✓ with
161	0xbd73..e578	YES	608	0.0%	✓ with
162	0x3e1b..523e	YES	606	0.0%	✓ with
163	0x37c5..6545	YES	603	0.0%	✓ with
164	0xf3e5..ab0a	YES	602	0.0%	✓ with
165	0x2b37..83dc	YES	602	0.0%	✓ with
166	0xc0c1..c9d4	YES	601	0.0%	✓ with
167	0x5ebc..d55d	YES	598	0.0%	✓ with
168	0x0773..d139	YES	595	0.0%	✓ with
169	0x3abe..817d	YES	595	0.0%	✓ with
170	0xe5e7..2f19	YES	590	0.0%	✓ with
171	0xc573..09c1	YES	588	0.0%	✓ with
172	0x16d1..597a	YES	583	0.0%	✓ with
173	0x0293..f77e	YES	578	0.0%	✓ with
174	0x104d..e4e9	YES	574	0.0%	✓ with
175	0xa02b..d6eb	YES	574	0.0%	✓ with
176	0x785c..2de9	YES	571	0.0%	✓ with
177	0x24eb..a05a	YES	571	0.0%	✓ with
178	0xb67a..6122	YES	571	0.0%	✓ with
179	0xd8e4..9d15	YES	570	0.0%	✓ with
180	0x87a7..c1b6	YES	570	0.0%	✓ with
181	0x7643..594b	YES	567	0.0%	✓ with
182	0xeb20..5dd3	YES	567	0.0%	✓ with
183	0xacb4..dd18	YES	563	0.0%	✓ with
184	0xa8b8..b984	YES	563	0.0%	✓ with
185	0x36ce..5bc0	YES	560	0.0%	✓ with
186	0x0f44..60dc	YES	558	0.0%	✓ with
187	0x7975..2c86	YES	558	0.0%	✓ with
188	0x0182..399e	YES	557	0.0%	✓ with
189	0xd521..7329	YES	556	0.0%	✓ with
190	0xc3ac..9d6b	YES	555	0.0%	✓ with
191	0x4821..bdcf	YES	551	0.0%	✓ with
192	0xfb04..110c	YES	550	0.0%	✓ with
193	0x8e56..9e77	YES	549	0.0%	✓ with
194	0xaef6..7b7c	YES	548	0.0%	✓ with
195	0x1d46..9dee	YES	548	0.0%	✓ with
196	0xcb4b..0caa	YES	547	0.0%	✓ with
197	0x1b96..c1e1	YES	546	0.0%	✓ with
198	0x349e..5168	YES	546	0.0%	✓ with
199	0x5784..a1ee	YES	545	0.0%	✓ with
200	0x8782..32db	YES	544	0.0%	✓ with
201	0x7c45..6af8	YES	543	0.0%	✓ with
202	0x340b..3740	YES	542	0.0%	✓ with
203	0xda6d..c4b3	YES	539	0.0%	✓ with
204	0x0fb0..5be0	YES	538	0.0%	✓ with
205	0x9f9a..03be	YES	537	0.0%	✓ with
206	0x73cd..af4d	YES	537	0.0%	✓ with
207	0xd0d1..494d	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
208	0x634a..0ebc	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
209	0x114d..3303	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
210	0x2071..390a	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
211	0x5022..df9e	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
212	0x3745..650e	YES	530	0.0%	✓ with
213	0x57cb..0f3e	YES	529	0.0%	✓ with
214	0x4be8..0604	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
215	0x34d4..6ab2	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
216	0x8bc1..4230	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
217	0x6c87..ca76	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
218	0x0215..3d40	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
219	0xd2ad..7dff	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
220	0x8b99..ee24	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
221	0xe321..d544	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
222	0xf025..c7b1	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
223	0xb568..f97e	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
224	0x2947..32a5	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
225	0x858f..c13c	YES	518	0.0%	✓ with
226	0xcfb3..400e	YES	517	0.0%	✓ with
227	0xc46b..33f8	YES	515	0.0%	✓ with
228	0x3dd7..1345	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
229	0x81bf..d4dd	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
230	0x332c..1a11	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
231	0x0dfe..4c77	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
232	0x4902..d39f	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
233	0x82af..c5fe	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
234	0x8cf9..43b3	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
235	0xf2f6..0dee	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
236	0x2e09..ebc2	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
237	0xccd9..cef6	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
238	0x226d..b034	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
239	0x799c..04f6	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
240	0x13d8..7165	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
241	0x5bbf..5ef6	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
242	0x9657..daae	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
243	0x87ef..045b	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
244	0x3cbc..e9a2	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
245	0x351c..084b	YES	510	0.0%	✓ with
246	0x41b8..9f74	YES	510	0.0%	✓ with
247	0x1a2a..62f8	YES	510	0.0%	✓ with
248	0x0bb8..3c7c	YES	510	0.0%	✓ with
249	0xa1df..f4a8	YES	510	0.0%	✓ with
250	0x43fc..0690	YES	510	0.0%	✓ with
251	0x5313..6fd9	YES	509	0.0%	✓ with
252	0xfbcb..e856	YES	509	0.0%	✓ with
253	0xe27e..4878	YES	509	0.0%	✓ with
254	0x075f..cf08	YES	509	0.0%	✓ with
255	0x5229..652b	YES	509	0.0%	✓ with
256	0xa679..0c21	YES	508	0.0%	✓ with
257	0x52b8..31f9	YES	508	0.0%	✓ with
258	0x70d2..6a9a	YES	507	0.0%	✓ with
259	0xfe1b..4974	YES	507	0.0%	✓ with
260	0x1290..3f5e	YES	507	0.0%	✓ with
261	0x79fb..6654	YES	507	0.0%	✓ with
262	0xcd6d..e2e0	YES	507	0.0%	✓ with
263	0xa1ef..e714	YES	507	0.0%	✓ with
264	0x007d..307b	YES	507	0.0%	✓ with
265	0x81b7..9330	YES	506	0.0%	✓ with
266	0x242d..33ca	YES	506	0.0%	✓ with
267	0xf08c..35f9	YES	506	0.0%	✓ with
268	0xdec6..3d01	YES	505	0.0%	✓ with
269	0xd88a..39a8	YES	505	0.0%	✓ with
270	0x3cb0..77d4	YES	505	0.0%	✓ with
271	0x0045..501d	YES	505	0.0%	✓ with
272	0x7112..004e	YES	505	0.0%	✓ with
273	0xb3f0..a22b	YES	505	0.0%	✓ with
274	0x5daa..cbec	YES	504	0.0%	✓ with
275	0x935e..f97f	YES	504	0.0%	✓ with
276	0x3b72..ad14	YES	503	0.0%	✓ with
277	0xb870..13b1	YES	502	0.0%	✓ with
278	0x9247..6a81	YES	500	0.0%	✓ with
279	0xd7c7..ff8f	YES	425	0.0%	✓ with
280	0xf548..da63	YES	109	0.0%	✓ with
281	0x2266..23d4	TOO EARLY	100	0.0%	✗ early
282	0x11ac..cb98	YES	94	0.0%	✓ with
283	0x3815..78d9	YES	54	0.0%	✓ with
284	0x3f3e..0919	YES	50	0.0%	✓ with
285	0x1ce5..e6bb	YES	30	0.0%	✓ with
286	0x2753..b0d3	YES	28	0.0%	✓ with
287	0x1927..5cc4	YES	26	0.0%	✓ with
288	0x4db7..3826	YES	25	0.0%	✓ with
289	0x94b5..5a1a	YES	24	0.0%	✓ with
290	0x6b20..991f	YES	24	0.0%	✓ with
291	0x4125..6242	YES	21	0.0%	✓ with
292	0x78ac..0494	YES	21	0.0%	✓ with
293	0x68bc..6ba8	YES	21	0.0%	✓ with
294	0x76c5..5f12	YES	20	0.0%	✓ with
295	0x0c80..795b	YES	20	0.0%	✓ with
296	0x1fed..54d0	YES	17	0.0%	✓ with
297	0x9c0b..f4e6	YES	16	0.0%	✓ with
298	0x1137..3e49	YES	14	0.0%	✓ with
299	0x1c97..2108	TOO EARLY	14	0.0%	✗ early
300	0xb76e..4ab9	TOO EARLY	11	0.0%	✗ early
301	0x7c61..0cf5	TOO EARLY	1	0.0%	✗ early