Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved NO 2025-09-05

voters

303

voted against

against share

0.7%

top wallet held

11.2%

total weight

21.9M

chain record #241

f2f04a90cdfbe106f8ea1691b2b5172fd026908f6b0cb0a80cc53c68b49d63c9

previous record

47676e629b957ca04dc5f18b1f8831875cea2f7e83a72bae3cd39e8359ec81ed

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1756793135:686a8e0352be567f

the judges

301 with · 2 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	NO	2.5M	11.2%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	NO	2.1M	9.6%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	NO	2.1M	9.5%	✓ with
4	0xd2a7..9f7f	NO	1.4M	6.4%	✓ with
5	0xfc20..1e1c	NO	1.3M	6.0%	✓ with
6	0x95cd..29b8	NO	961k	4.4%	✓ with
7	0xfec2..04a5	NO	948k	4.3%	✓ with
8	0x05d1..f8c4	NO	901k	4.1%	✓ with
9	0x996d..aff1	NO	885k	4.0%	✓ with
10	0x0afc..0b38	NO	673k	3.1%	✓ with
11	0x487a..2538	NO	624k	2.9%	✓ with
12	0xdb28..b80a	NO	385k	1.8%	✓ with
13	0x8548..e67e	NO	385k	1.8%	✓ with
14	0xbd9e..baa7	NO	374k	1.7%	✓ with
15	0x326c..4205	NO	367k	1.7%	✓ with
16	0x66ca..225a	NO	335k	1.5%	✓ with
17	0x9b8f..ed2f	NO	294k	1.3%	✓ with
18	0x4863..e44f	NO	267k	1.2%	✓ with
19	0xb731..5790	NO	247k	1.1%	✓ with
20	0xf659..d48b	NO	244k	1.1%	✓ with
21	0x2bc1..a7e7	NO	225k	1.0%	✓ with
22	0xfe93..9c9d	NO	222k	1.0%	✓ with
23	0xf002..bfb2	NO	204k	0.9%	✓ with
24	0x6573..8efe	NO	198k	0.9%	✓ with
25	0x9928..8cee	NO	184k	0.8%	✓ with
26	0x9e30..0d35	NO	182k	0.8%	✓ with
27	0x3504..ec2b	NO	177k	0.8%	✓ with
28	0x2d51..6f52	NO	172k	0.8%	✓ with
29	0x89be..103a	NO	151k	0.7%	✓ with
30	0x92d7..6fc6	NO	149k	0.7%	✓ with
31	0x1a0d..f351	NO	141k	0.6%	✓ with
32	0x30b2..be50	NO	128k	0.6%	✓ with
33	0xc12f..39ee	NO	127k	0.6%	✓ with
34	0xdf67..2de3	NO	127k	0.6%	✓ with
35	0x003a..0577	NO	123k	0.6%	✓ with
36	0xf018..4069	NO	115k	0.5%	✓ with
37	0x5b7e..78a8	NO	106k	0.5%	✓ with
38	0xb738..9472	NO	101k	0.5%	✓ with
39	0x8b64..96ee	NO	101k	0.5%	✓ with
40	0x8d61..27bc	NO	90k	0.4%	✓ with
41	0x6391..194a	NO	88k	0.4%	✓ with
42	0x53d0..d897	NO	85k	0.4%	✓ with
43	0x65af..2482	NO	85k	0.4%	✓ with
44	0x7baa..946a	NO	78k	0.4%	✓ with
45	0x5c2e..d55e	NO	72k	0.3%	✓ with
46	0xa0ff..3d3d	NO	70k	0.3%	✓ with
47	0x69d0..a819	NO	69k	0.3%	✓ with
48	0xc9e8..8df5	NO	67k	0.3%	✓ with
49	0x04b8..db57	NO	62k	0.3%	✓ with
50	0x1515..490a	NO	59k	0.3%	✓ with
51	0xa9b0..c344	NO	58k	0.3%	✓ with
52	0x18f7..9222	NO	56k	0.3%	✓ with
53	0xa4ef..a5ea	NO	37k	0.2%	✓ with
54	0xa61b..88a5	NO	34k	0.2%	✓ with
55	0xa7b9..87d0	NO	32k	0.1%	✓ with
56	0x126d..c78e	NO	30k	0.1%	✓ with
57	0x3d59..baa2	NO	29k	0.1%	✓ with
58	0x1921..efa9	NO	29k	0.1%	✓ with
59	0x060b..81fa	NO	27k	0.1%	✓ with
60	0x566f..d9f0	NO	27k	0.1%	✓ with
61	0x7b51..f56b	NO	26k	0.1%	✓ with
62	0xa2e5..27f4	NO	26k	0.1%	✓ with
63	0x47a4..368b	NO	25k	0.1%	✓ with
64	0xa119..d55d	NO	25k	0.1%	✓ with
65	0x69d0..586c	NO	24k	0.1%	✓ with
66	0x4c0d..ff1d	NO	19k	0.1%	✓ with
67	0x336b..d88f	NO	15k	0.1%	✓ with
68	0x3939..e4ce	NO	15k	0.1%	✓ with
69	0x2a6d..7e59	NO	14k	0.1%	✓ with
70	0xe748..9a11	NO	13k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0x4f49..8da9	NO	12k	0.1%	✓ with
72	0x9b6f..4ced	NO	12k	0.1%	✓ with
73	0x9497..f769	NO	11k	0.1%	✓ with
74	0x122b..8aee	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
75	0x4ddd..0cb2	NO	10k	0.0%	✓ with
76	0xe637..9483	NO	10k	0.0%	✓ with
77	0x465c..d022	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
78	0x110f..f6fd	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
79	0x23bb..183b	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
80	0xdb4d..bb4d	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
81	0xd17e..2b36	NO	8k	0.0%	✓ with
82	0xd7e6..8b53	NO	7k	0.0%	✓ with
83	0x8ce7..0337	NO	7k	0.0%	✓ with
84	0x1a46..cbc4	NO	7k	0.0%	✓ with
85	0xcb8c..9937	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
86	0x09ea..73fd	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
87	0xa31c..6020	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
88	0x5d54..cc4b	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
89	0xea1e..4f9a	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
90	0x9baf..0a44	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
91	0xb483..28ab	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
92	0x7e36..0c22	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
93	0xc4eb..9946	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
94	0x6e86..2587	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
95	0x1cc9..397e	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
96	0x55e0..c952	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
97	0x6280..57bb	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
98	0xdf50..ffda	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
99	0x2a82..c9d8	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
100	0x519e..fb3b	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0xa2cf..d7aa	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x9860..1316	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
103	0x558c..4808	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
104	0xea8d..558a	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
105	0xde0a..75f5	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
106	0x1c80..d09a	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
107	0x449f..d1c7	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
108	0x08bb..2be1	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
109	0xf8e9..6fe8	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
110	0x99bc..2fd9	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0x48c7..0f91	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
112	0xa851..7438	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
113	0xbb1f..fba5	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
114	0xe3b0..1d12	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
115	0x2fbb..aefd	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
116	0x5870..b44c	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
117	0xdae5..746b	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
118	0x4846..e93c	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
119	0xd043..007e	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
120	0xf8c9..46cb	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
121	0x3800..e5fc	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
122	0xc56d..bb33	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
123	0x9b5d..877f	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
124	0x929c..f881	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
125	0x27b0..14d2	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
126	0x49b3..bd78	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
127	0xa65e..c3c6	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
128	0x00b6..22c7	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
129	0x9a47..4246	YES	1k	0.0%	✗ against
130	0x4a19..c839	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
131	0x44c6..4df5	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
132	0xa363..0278	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
133	0x1306..bc55	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
134	0xa7a5..9c28	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
135	0x574c..86d7	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
136	0xe86a..8132	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
137	0x467c..f6b9	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
138	0x62a1..8f01	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
139	0xf882..c333	NO	960	0.0%	✓ with
140	0xd32e..bd3f	NO	901	0.0%	✓ with
141	0x2c49..6ada	NO	883	0.0%	✓ with
142	0x9c1f..0c09	NO	861	0.0%	✓ with
143	0xc39c..a14d	NO	860	0.0%	✓ with
144	0x6fc5..daf1	NO	815	0.0%	✓ with
145	0x1fd9..0ec8	NO	787	0.0%	✓ with
146	0xe6b5..f1fd	NO	774	0.0%	✓ with
147	0x2a1b..a08f	YES	731	0.0%	✗ against
148	0x86cc..273d	NO	719	0.0%	✓ with
149	0x7bae..cbdc	NO	701	0.0%	✓ with
150	0x7595..8027	NO	680	0.0%	✓ with
151	0x28ec..1675	NO	677	0.0%	✓ with
152	0x967b..1277	NO	675	0.0%	✓ with
153	0x95af..26fc	NO	669	0.0%	✓ with
154	0x3b9f..c44f	NO	664	0.0%	✓ with
155	0x5a7c..ee4c	NO	661	0.0%	✓ with
156	0x0ab3..ea53	NO	650	0.0%	✓ with
157	0x5071..ad7b	NO	642	0.0%	✓ with
158	0xbd73..e578	NO	632	0.0%	✓ with
159	0x0b5d..4832	NO	620	0.0%	✓ with
160	0xc0af..560d	NO	608	0.0%	✓ with
161	0x3e1b..523e	NO	603	0.0%	✓ with
162	0x9fdb..0aea	NO	603	0.0%	✓ with
163	0x37c5..6545	NO	601	0.0%	✓ with
164	0x5ebc..d55d	NO	598	0.0%	✓ with
165	0x3abe..817d	NO	595	0.0%	✓ with
166	0x0773..d139	NO	594	0.0%	✓ with
167	0x2b37..83dc	NO	593	0.0%	✓ with
168	0xc573..09c1	NO	588	0.0%	✓ with
169	0xe5e7..2f19	NO	587	0.0%	✓ with
170	0x16d1..597a	NO	578	0.0%	✓ with
171	0x0293..f77e	NO	576	0.0%	✓ with
172	0x104d..e4e9	NO	573	0.0%	✓ with
173	0xa02b..d6eb	NO	572	0.0%	✓ with
174	0xb67a..6122	NO	568	0.0%	✓ with
175	0xd8e4..9d15	NO	568	0.0%	✓ with
176	0x87a7..c1b6	NO	567	0.0%	✓ with
177	0x7643..594b	NO	565	0.0%	✓ with
178	0xeb20..5dd3	NO	564	0.0%	✓ with
179	0x785c..2de9	NO	564	0.0%	✓ with
180	0xacb4..dd18	NO	561	0.0%	✓ with
181	0xa8b8..b984	NO	560	0.0%	✓ with
182	0x36ce..5bc0	NO	557	0.0%	✓ with
183	0x0f44..60dc	NO	556	0.0%	✓ with
184	0x7975..2c86	NO	555	0.0%	✓ with
185	0xc3ac..9d6b	NO	553	0.0%	✓ with
186	0x8e56..9e77	NO	551	0.0%	✓ with
187	0xd521..7329	NO	549	0.0%	✓ with
188	0x4821..bdcf	NO	548	0.0%	✓ with
189	0xb538..8b0f	NO	548	0.0%	✓ with
190	0xfb04..110c	NO	547	0.0%	✓ with
191	0xaef6..7b7c	NO	545	0.0%	✓ with
192	0x1d46..9dee	NO	545	0.0%	✓ with
193	0xcb4b..0caa	NO	544	0.0%	✓ with
194	0x0182..399e	NO	544	0.0%	✓ with
195	0x349e..5168	NO	544	0.0%	✓ with
196	0x7c45..6af8	NO	543	0.0%	✓ with
197	0x5784..a1ee	NO	543	0.0%	✓ with
198	0x8782..32db	NO	542	0.0%	✓ with
199	0xb568..f97e	NO	541	0.0%	✓ with
200	0x340b..3740	NO	540	0.0%	✓ with
201	0x5d21..36a5	NO	537	0.0%	✓ with
202	0x24eb..a05a	NO	536	0.0%	✓ with
203	0xda6d..c4b3	NO	536	0.0%	✓ with
204	0x0fb0..5be0	NO	535	0.0%	✓ with
205	0x6c87..ca76	NO	535	0.0%	✓ with
206	0x9f9a..03be	NO	535	0.0%	✓ with
207	0x73cd..af4d	NO	534	0.0%	✓ with
208	0x90da..1a73	NO	532	0.0%	✓ with
209	0xf0dc..fe78	NO	530	0.0%	✓ with
210	0x114d..3303	NO	529	0.0%	✓ with
211	0x8e5f..1e4a	NO	529	0.0%	✓ with
212	0x5022..df9e	NO	528	0.0%	✓ with
213	0x0bb9..b81d	NO	528	0.0%	✓ with
214	0x590a..43f6	NO	527	0.0%	✓ with
215	0x3745..650e	NO	527	0.0%	✓ with
216	0x57cb..0f3e	NO	527	0.0%	✓ with
217	0x4876..0a9b	NO	527	0.0%	✓ with
218	0x4be8..0604	NO	527	0.0%	✓ with
219	0xf08c..35f9	NO	526	0.0%	✓ with
220	0x430c..2e5f	NO	526	0.0%	✓ with
221	0xc4e7..b4d9	NO	526	0.0%	✓ with
222	0xd273..e3c6	NO	525	0.0%	✓ with
223	0x8bc1..4230	NO	525	0.0%	✓ with
224	0xc590..d510	NO	525	0.0%	✓ with
225	0x4151..097c	NO	525	0.0%	✓ with
226	0x0215..3d40	NO	523	0.0%	✓ with
227	0x3b84..a587	NO	523	0.0%	✓ with
228	0x4913..d50a	NO	523	0.0%	✓ with
229	0x9cf0..f4c8	NO	523	0.0%	✓ with
230	0x2f55..5866	NO	523	0.0%	✓ with
231	0x63d4..959e	NO	522	0.0%	✓ with
232	0x7ca4..619c	NO	522	0.0%	✓ with
233	0x1edb..ca66	NO	522	0.0%	✓ with
234	0xca64..c51b	NO	522	0.0%	✓ with
235	0x5bc3..3942	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
236	0xfa8c..97f6	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
237	0xec2b..4e9c	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
238	0xc0dc..9fb4	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
239	0xcfb3..400e	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
240	0x3895..9f79	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
241	0x34d4..6ab2	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
242	0xb4c9..9d09	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
243	0x3b59..4444	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
244	0x09a1..2913	NO	520	0.0%	✓ with
245	0xd1cd..6df1	NO	520	0.0%	✓ with
246	0xd2ad..7dff	NO	520	0.0%	✓ with
247	0x8b99..ee24	NO	520	0.0%	✓ with
248	0xe321..d544	NO	519	0.0%	✓ with
249	0xf025..c7b1	NO	519	0.0%	✓ with
250	0x4010..2528	NO	519	0.0%	✓ with
251	0x5060..8cb7	NO	519	0.0%	✓ with
252	0xf3c1..cf9c	NO	519	0.0%	✓ with
253	0xa463..d01c	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
254	0x1f12..f16e	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
255	0x40bf..389b	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
256	0x2947..32a5	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
257	0xbb68..3e3c	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
258	0x28cc..7c61	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
259	0xc428..867c	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
260	0x4241..f563	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
261	0xde72..82d9	NO	517	0.0%	✓ with
262	0x630a..42f5	NO	517	0.0%	✓ with
263	0x3367..02c4	NO	517	0.0%	✓ with
264	0x92bd..20ea	NO	516	0.0%	✓ with
265	0x54d6..ae04	NO	516	0.0%	✓ with
266	0xab0e..a340	NO	515	0.0%	✓ with
267	0xd8c3..30f6	NO	515	0.0%	✓ with
268	0x3bd0..2f8e	NO	515	0.0%	✓ with
269	0x216b..d812	NO	514	0.0%	✓ with
270	0xe7ff..6f47	NO	514	0.0%	✓ with
271	0x6748..2d1b	NO	514	0.0%	✓ with
272	0x4289..9bdc	NO	514	0.0%	✓ with
273	0x26fd..ebf5	NO	513	0.0%	✓ with
274	0x58cf..5ba9	NO	513	0.0%	✓ with
275	0x3dd7..1345	NO	512	0.0%	✓ with
276	0x2f96..e491	NO	512	0.0%	✓ with
277	0x6137..5467	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
278	0xdb6d..a527	NO	510	0.0%	✓ with
279	0x858f..c13c	NO	509	0.0%	✓ with
280	0x4af8..cb7c	NO	509	0.0%	✓ with
281	0x3b45..3008	NO	509	0.0%	✓ with
282	0xa1df..f4a8	NO	507	0.0%	✓ with
283	0xcd6d..e2e0	NO	505	0.0%	✓ with
284	0x5a01..e9e0	NO	489	0.0%	✓ with
285	0xd7c7..ff8f	NO	442	0.0%	✓ with
286	0xf948..6032	NO	152	0.0%	✓ with
287	0xf548..da63	NO	107	0.0%	✓ with
288	0x2071..390a	NO	78	0.0%	✓ with
289	0xc607..c1ca	NO	11	0.0%	✓ with
290	0x3376..7472	NO	10	0.0%	✓ with
291	0x3378..db4f	NO	10	0.0%	✓ with
292	0xe847..67b1	NO	10	0.0%	✓ with
293	0x4528..2c8e	NO	10	0.0%	✓ with
294	0x922c..2db4	NO	1	0.0%	✓ with
295	0x80ba..c681	NO	1	0.0%	✓ with
296	0x2dad..00fe	NO	1	0.0%	✓ with
297	0xc420..0252	NO	1	0.0%	✓ with
298	0x3d6a..070f	NO	1	0.0%	✓ with
299	0x72ee..7799	NO	1	0.0%	✓ with
300	0x110a..e9b7	NO	1	0.0%	✓ with
301	0x0179..7724	NO	1	0.0%	✓ with
302	0x6305..efb1	NO	1	0.0%	✓ with
303	0x1cae..fcb3	NO	1	0.0%	✓ with