Will Trump deploy National Guard in D.C. by Monday?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved YES 2025-08-16

voters

267

voted against

against share

3.7%

top wallet held

10.6%

total weight

22.7M

chain record #172

b5c2d006350f766386663909376c0714d57474217be6ee5816709dbefd904d5a

previous record

084491d7f84bb2aa79e3129f1a0a9aaf85bd891c6dc376556fd6b008cf7b4103

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1754971272:3d382119f617d063

the judges

257 with · 10 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	YES	2.4M	10.6%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	YES	2.1M	9.1%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	YES	2.1M	9.0%	✓ with
4	0xfc20..1e1c	YES	1.5M	6.7%	✓ with
5	0xd2a7..9f7f	YES	1.4M	6.2%	✓ with
6	0x95cd..29b8	YES	963k	4.2%	✓ with
7	0xfec2..04a5	YES	943k	4.1%	✓ with
8	0x05d1..f8c4	YES	903k	4.0%	✓ with
9	0x0afc..0b38	YES	665k	2.9%	✓ with
10	0x487a..2538	YES	615k	2.7%	✓ with
11	0x6564..340c	YES	427k	1.9%	✓ with
12	0xdb28..b80a	YES	386k	1.7%	✓ with
13	0x8548..e67e	YES	379k	1.7%	✓ with
14	0xbd4b..287d	YES	376k	1.7%	✓ with
15	0xbd9e..baa7	YES	367k	1.6%	✓ with
16	0x326c..4205	YES	360k	1.6%	✓ with
17	0x66ca..225a	YES	330k	1.5%	✓ with
18	0x9b8f..ed2f	YES	293k	1.3%	✓ with
19	0x4863..e44f	YES	267k	1.2%	✓ with
20	0x20ec..56c0	YES	260k	1.1%	✓ with
21	0xb731..5790	YES	244k	1.1%	✓ with
22	0x840b..946f	YES	243k	1.1%	✓ with
23	0xf659..d48b	YES	240k	1.1%	✓ with
24	0xfe93..9c9d	YES	238k	1.0%	✓ with
25	0xdc86..821a	YES	230k	1.0%	✓ with
26	0x2bc1..a7e7	YES	224k	1.0%	✓ with
27	0x6c31..7d98	YES	221k	1.0%	✓ with
28	0xf002..bfb2	YES	201k	0.9%	✓ with
29	0x6573..8efe	YES	197k	0.9%	✓ with
30	0x3504..ec2b	YES	175k	0.8%	✓ with
31	0x2d51..6f52	YES	171k	0.8%	✓ with
32	0x89be..103a	YES	149k	0.7%	✓ with
33	0x92d7..6fc6	YES	148k	0.7%	✓ with
34	0x1a0d..f351	YES	140k	0.6%	✓ with
35	0xb738..9472	YES	132k	0.6%	✓ with
36	0x9928..8cee	YES	132k	0.6%	✓ with
37	0xc12f..39ee	YES	127k	0.6%	✓ with
38	0x30b2..be50	YES	126k	0.6%	✓ with
39	0xdf67..2de3	YES	125k	0.5%	✓ with
40	0x003a..0577	YES	122k	0.5%	✓ with
41	0xf018..4069	YES	113k	0.5%	✓ with
42	0x5b7e..78a8	YES	105k	0.5%	✓ with
43	0x8b64..96ee	YES	99k	0.4%	✓ with
44	0x8d61..27bc	YES	90k	0.4%	✓ with
45	0x6391..194a	YES	89k	0.4%	✓ with
46	0x53d0..d897	YES	84k	0.4%	✓ with
47	0x65af..2482	YES	83k	0.4%	✓ with
48	0x7baa..946a	YES	78k	0.3%	✓ with
49	0x5c2e..d55e	YES	71k	0.3%	✓ with
50	0x89f9..2a45	YES	69k	0.3%	✓ with
51	0xd278..5a26	YES	69k	0.3%	✓ with
52	0x69d0..a819	YES	68k	0.3%	✓ with
53	0xc9e8..8df5	YES	66k	0.3%	✓ with
54	0x04b8..db57	YES	64k	0.3%	✓ with
55	0xd4c1..6e2e	YES	61k	0.3%	✓ with
56	0xa9b0..c344	YES	58k	0.3%	✓ with
57	0x1515..490a	YES	57k	0.3%	✓ with
58	0x18f7..9222	YES	56k	0.2%	✓ with
59	0x4431..9080	NO	53k	0.2%	✗ against
60	0x403d..4490	YES	39k	0.2%	✓ with
61	0xa4ef..a5ea	YES	36k	0.2%	✓ with
62	0xa61b..88a5	YES	33k	0.1%	✓ with
63	0x126d..c78e	YES	30k	0.1%	✓ with
64	0x3d59..baa2	YES	30k	0.1%	✓ with
65	0x1921..efa9	YES	28k	0.1%	✓ with
66	0x566f..d9f0	YES	27k	0.1%	✓ with
67	0x060b..81fa	YES	27k	0.1%	✓ with
68	0xa2e5..27f4	YES	26k	0.1%	✓ with
69	0x7b51..f56b	YES	26k	0.1%	✓ with
70	0x47a4..368b	YES	25k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0x69d0..586c	YES	23k	0.1%	✓ with
72	0x4c0d..ff1d	YES	19k	0.1%	✓ with
73	0x336b..d88f	YES	15k	0.1%	✓ with
74	0x3939..e4ce	YES	15k	0.1%	✓ with
75	0x2a6d..7e59	YES	14k	0.1%	✓ with
76	0x4f49..8da9	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
77	0x1ab8..64f4	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
78	0xe748..9a11	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
79	0x9b6f..4ced	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
80	0x9497..f769	YES	11k	0.0%	✓ with
81	0x122b..8aee	YES	11k	0.0%	✓ with
82	0x4ddd..0cb2	YES	10k	0.0%	✓ with
83	0xe637..9483	YES	10k	0.0%	✓ with
84	0x465c..d022	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
85	0x110f..f6fd	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
86	0x23bb..183b	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
87	0xd17e..2b36	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
88	0xdb4d..bb4d	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
89	0xd7e6..8b53	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
90	0x8ce7..0337	TOO EARLY	7k	0.0%	✗ early
91	0x1a46..cbc4	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
92	0xcb8c..9937	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
93	0x09ea..73fd	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
94	0xa31c..6020	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
95	0xea1e..4f9a	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
96	0x5d54..cc4b	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
97	0x9baf..0a44	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
98	0xb483..28ab	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
99	0x7e36..0c22	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
100	0xc4eb..9946	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0xf445..376e	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x6e86..2587	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
103	0x1cc9..397e	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
104	0x55e0..c952	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
105	0xdf50..ffda	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
106	0x2a82..c9d8	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
107	0x519e..fb3b	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
108	0xa2cf..d7aa	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
109	0x9860..1316	NO	2k	0.0%	✗ against
110	0xea8d..558a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0x6280..57bb	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
112	0xde0a..75f5	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
113	0x18fe..3f3b	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
114	0x1c80..d09a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
115	0x449f..d1c7	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
116	0x08bb..2be1	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
117	0x99bc..2fd9	NO	1k	0.0%	✗ against
118	0x48c7..0f91	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
119	0xf8e9..6fe8	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
120	0xa851..7438	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
121	0xbb1f..fba5	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
122	0x93a6..ced4	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
123	0xe3b0..1d12	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
124	0x49b3..bd78	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
125	0x27b0..14d2	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
126	0x9a47..4246	YES	993	0.0%	✓ with
127	0x5f4f..39d1	YES	990	0.0%	✓ with
128	0x1306..bc55	YES	981	0.0%	✓ with
129	0xd32e..bd3f	YES	921	0.0%	✓ with
130	0xd0d1..494d	YES	914	0.0%	✓ with
131	0x9c1f..0c09	YES	856	0.0%	✓ with
132	0xc39c..a14d	YES	845	0.0%	✓ with
133	0x6fc5..daf1	YES	810	0.0%	✓ with
134	0xe6b5..f1fd	YES	771	0.0%	✓ with
135	0x2a1b..a08f	YES	739	0.0%	✓ with
136	0x86cc..273d	YES	717	0.0%	✓ with
137	0x28ec..1675	YES	685	0.0%	✓ with
138	0x95af..26fc	YES	677	0.0%	✓ with
139	0x7595..8027	YES	669	0.0%	✓ with
140	0x5a7c..ee4c	YES	657	0.0%	✓ with
141	0x3b9f..c44f	YES	649	0.0%	✓ with
142	0x0ab3..ea53	YES	646	0.0%	✓ with
143	0x5071..ad7b	YES	627	0.0%	✓ with
144	0x0b5d..4832	YES	617	0.0%	✓ with
145	0x3e1b..523e	YES	602	0.0%	✓ with
146	0x9fdb..0aea	YES	601	0.0%	✓ with
147	0x0773..d139	YES	600	0.0%	✓ with
148	0x37c5..6545	YES	598	0.0%	✓ with
149	0x5ebc..d55d	YES	587	0.0%	✓ with
150	0x104d..e4e9	YES	585	0.0%	✓ with
151	0x3abe..817d	YES	580	0.0%	✓ with
152	0x2b37..83dc	YES	579	0.0%	✓ with
153	0x16d1..597a	YES	576	0.0%	✓ with
154	0xc573..09c1	YES	573	0.0%	✓ with
155	0xe5e7..2f19	YES	573	0.0%	✓ with
156	0x0293..f77e	YES	573	0.0%	✓ with
157	0x68c1..859a	YES	571	0.0%	✓ with
158	0x5689..82b0	YES	568	0.0%	✓ with
159	0xd8e4..9d15	YES	566	0.0%	✓ with
160	0x87a7..c1b6	YES	564	0.0%	✓ with
161	0x6c87..ca76	YES	563	0.0%	✓ with
162	0x785c..2de9	NO	560	0.0%	✗ against
163	0xb67a..6122	YES	556	0.0%	✓ with
164	0x7c45..6af8	YES	553	0.0%	✓ with
165	0xa8b8..b984	YES	551	0.0%	✓ with
166	0xacb4..dd18	YES	548	0.0%	✓ with
167	0xd521..7329	NO	547	0.0%	✗ against
168	0x4821..bdcf	YES	545	0.0%	✓ with
169	0x5d21..36a5	YES	544	0.0%	✓ with
170	0x36ce..5bc0	YES	543	0.0%	✓ with
171	0x349e..5168	YES	542	0.0%	✓ with
172	0xcb4b..0caa	YES	541	0.0%	✓ with
173	0x0182..399e	YES	541	0.0%	✓ with
174	0x5784..a1ee	YES	540	0.0%	✓ with
175	0xc3ac..9d6b	YES	539	0.0%	✓ with
176	0x8782..32db	YES	539	0.0%	✓ with
177	0x8e56..9e77	YES	538	0.0%	✓ with
178	0xb538..8b0f	YES	536	0.0%	✓ with
179	0x24eb..a05a	YES	536	0.0%	✓ with
180	0x8e5f..1e4a	YES	535	0.0%	✓ with
181	0x590a..43f6	YES	534	0.0%	✓ with
182	0x0bb9..b81d	YES	533	0.0%	✓ with
183	0x4876..0a9b	YES	533	0.0%	✓ with
184	0x0fb0..5be0	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
185	0xbd9d..98eb	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
186	0x9f9a..03be	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
187	0xc4e7..b4d9	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
188	0xd273..e3c6	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
189	0x430c..2e5f	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
190	0x4151..097c	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
191	0xc590..d510	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
192	0x73cd..af4d	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
193	0xaef6..7b7c	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
194	0x4be8..0604	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
195	0x90da..1a73	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
196	0x3b84..a587	YES	530	0.0%	✓ with
197	0x4913..d50a	YES	529	0.0%	✓ with
198	0x9cf0..f4c8	YES	529	0.0%	✓ with
199	0x63d4..959e	YES	529	0.0%	✓ with
200	0x2f55..5866	YES	529	0.0%	✓ with
201	0xf0dc..fe78	YES	529	0.0%	✓ with
202	0x7ca4..619c	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
203	0x1edb..ca66	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
204	0x5bc3..3942	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
205	0xfa8c..97f6	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
206	0xec2b..4e9c	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
207	0xc0dc..9fb4	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
208	0xca64..c51b	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
209	0x3895..9f79	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
210	0xb4c9..9d09	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
211	0x3b59..4444	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
212	0x09a1..2913	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
213	0xd1cd..6df1	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
214	0x72b5..3236	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
215	0x3745..650e	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
216	0x5022..df9e	YES	525	0.0%	✓ with
217	0x4010..2528	YES	525	0.0%	✓ with
218	0x5060..8cb7	YES	525	0.0%	✓ with
219	0xf3c1..cf9c	YES	525	0.0%	✓ with
220	0xa463..d01c	YES	525	0.0%	✓ with
221	0x1f12..f16e	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
222	0x40bf..389b	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
223	0xfb1f..a12c	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
224	0x28cc..7c61	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
225	0xc428..867c	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
226	0x57cb..0f3e	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
227	0x4241..f563	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
228	0xbb68..3e3c	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
229	0xde72..82d9	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
230	0x630a..42f5	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
231	0x3367..02c4	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
232	0x92bd..20ea	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
233	0x7a40..be8a	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
234	0x8bc1..4230	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
235	0x54d6..ae04	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
236	0xab0e..a340	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
237	0xd8c3..30f6	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
238	0x3bd0..2f8e	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
239	0x216b..d812	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
240	0xe7ff..6f47	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
241	0x6748..2d1b	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
242	0x4289..9bdc	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
243	0x26fd..ebf5	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
244	0x58cf..5ba9	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
245	0xcfb3..400e	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
246	0x80cc..ca98	YES	518	0.0%	✓ with
247	0x2f96..e491	YES	518	0.0%	✓ with
248	0x6137..5467	YES	518	0.0%	✓ with
249	0xe321..d544	YES	517	0.0%	✓ with
250	0xdb6d..a527	YES	517	0.0%	✓ with
251	0xf025..c7b1	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
252	0x34d4..6ab2	NO	515	0.0%	✗ against
253	0x4af8..cb7c	YES	515	0.0%	✓ with
254	0x2947..32a5	YES	515	0.0%	✓ with
255	0x0939..befb	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
256	0xfb04..110c	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
257	0x3b45..3008	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
258	0x0f44..60dc	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
259	0x52b8..31f9	YES	509	0.0%	✓ with
260	0x3dd7..1345	YES	509	0.0%	✓ with
261	0x0045..501d	YES	505	0.0%	✓ with
262	0xccd9..cef6	YES	504	0.0%	✓ with
263	0x858f..c13c	YES	503	0.0%	✓ with
264	0xf548..da63	YES	108	0.0%	✓ with
265	0x2071..390a	NO	77	0.0%	✗ against
266	0xc372..fd03	NO	4	0.0%	✗ against
267	0xc5dc..4a6c	NO	4	0.0%	✗ against