Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on July 27?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved YES 2025-07-31

voters

215

voted against

against share

0.9%

top wallet held

10.4%

total weight

22.8M

chain record #129

021b8e04c764dbc83925e3556f78c2774c1ff87f6fa312eb0ed35c1565288020

previous record

8cbbdc1ccb6b3b6a3b35d457f8f47ca74e14f8d928034bb76f6eafe76dec7ee3

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1753649775:7577e1cc37d81231

the judges

213 with · 2 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	YES	2.4M	10.4%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	YES	2.0M	8.9%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	YES	2.0M	8.9%	✓ with
4	0xfc20..1e1c	YES	1.5M	6.6%	✓ with
5	0xd2a7..9f7f	YES	1.4M	6.1%	✓ with
6	0x95cd..29b8	YES	959k	4.2%	✓ with
7	0xfec2..04a5	YES	938k	4.1%	✓ with
8	0x05d1..f8c4	YES	906k	4.0%	✓ with
9	0x996d..aff1	YES	904k	4.0%	✓ with
10	0x0afc..0b38	YES	657k	2.9%	✓ with
11	0x487a..2538	YES	616k	2.7%	✓ with
12	0x6564..340c	YES	421k	1.8%	✓ with
13	0x8548..e67e	YES	375k	1.6%	✓ with
14	0xbd4b..287d	YES	372k	1.6%	✓ with
15	0xbd9e..baa7	YES	366k	1.6%	✓ with
16	0x326c..4205	YES	357k	1.6%	✓ with
17	0x66ca..225a	YES	326k	1.4%	✓ with
18	0x9b8f..ed2f	YES	291k	1.3%	✓ with
19	0x4863..e44f	YES	268k	1.2%	✓ with
20	0x20ec..56c0	YES	261k	1.1%	✓ with
21	0xb731..5790	YES	243k	1.1%	✓ with
22	0x840b..946f	YES	240k	1.1%	✓ with
23	0xf659..d48b	YES	239k	1.0%	✓ with
24	0xfe93..9c9d	YES	238k	1.0%	✓ with
25	0xdc86..821a	YES	229k	1.0%	✓ with
26	0x2bc1..a7e7	YES	225k	1.0%	✓ with
27	0x6c31..7d98	YES	223k	1.0%	✓ with
28	0xf002..bfb2	YES	198k	0.9%	✓ with
29	0x6573..8efe	YES	197k	0.9%	✓ with
30	0x3504..ec2b	YES	173k	0.8%	✓ with
31	0x2d51..6f52	YES	169k	0.7%	✓ with
32	0xfee5..5d78	YES	154k	0.7%	✓ with
33	0x89be..103a	YES	147k	0.6%	✓ with
34	0x1a0d..f351	YES	136k	0.6%	✓ with
35	0xc12f..39ee	YES	126k	0.6%	✓ with
36	0x30b2..be50	YES	125k	0.5%	✓ with
37	0xdf67..2de3	YES	123k	0.5%	✓ with
38	0x003a..0577	YES	120k	0.5%	✓ with
39	0xf018..4069	YES	113k	0.5%	✓ with
40	0x5b7e..78a8	YES	104k	0.5%	✓ with
41	0xb738..9472	YES	101k	0.4%	✓ with
42	0x8b64..96ee	YES	98k	0.4%	✓ with
43	0x9928..8cee	YES	95k	0.4%	✓ with
44	0x8d61..27bc	YES	91k	0.4%	✓ with
45	0x6391..194a	YES	90k	0.4%	✓ with
46	0x53d0..d897	YES	83k	0.4%	✓ with
47	0x65af..2482	YES	83k	0.4%	✓ with
48	0x7baa..946a	YES	77k	0.3%	✓ with
49	0x89f9..2a45	YES	70k	0.3%	✓ with
50	0x5c2e..d55e	YES	70k	0.3%	✓ with
51	0x69d0..a819	YES	67k	0.3%	✓ with
52	0xc9e8..8df5	YES	65k	0.3%	✓ with
53	0xd4c1..6e2e	YES	61k	0.3%	✓ with
54	0xa9b0..c344	YES	58k	0.3%	✓ with
55	0x1515..490a	YES	57k	0.2%	✓ with
56	0x18f7..9222	YES	56k	0.2%	✓ with
57	0x4431..9080	YES	54k	0.2%	✓ with
58	0x3d59..baa2	YES	40k	0.2%	✓ with
59	0x403d..4490	YES	39k	0.2%	✓ with
60	0xa4ef..a5ea	YES	36k	0.2%	✓ with
61	0xa61b..88a5	YES	33k	0.1%	✓ with
62	0xa7b9..87d0	YES	33k	0.1%	✓ with
63	0x126d..c78e	YES	29k	0.1%	✓ with
64	0x1921..efa9	YES	28k	0.1%	✓ with
65	0xa2e5..27f4	YES	26k	0.1%	✓ with
66	0x7b51..f56b	YES	26k	0.1%	✓ with
67	0x47a4..368b	YES	25k	0.1%	✓ with
68	0x69d0..586c	YES	23k	0.1%	✓ with
69	0x4c0d..ff1d	YES	18k	0.1%	✓ with
70	0x336b..d88f	YES	15k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0x2a6d..7e59	YES	13k	0.1%	✓ with
72	0x1ab8..64f4	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
73	0x4f49..8da9	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
74	0x9b6f..4ced	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
75	0x9497..f769	YES	11k	0.0%	✓ with
76	0x122b..8aee	YES	11k	0.0%	✓ with
77	0xe748..9a11	YES	11k	0.0%	✓ with
78	0x4ddd..0cb2	YES	10k	0.0%	✓ with
79	0xe637..9483	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
80	0x465c..d022	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
81	0x110f..f6fd	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
82	0xc5af..a671	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
83	0xdb4d..bb4d	YES	8k	0.0%	✓ with
84	0xd7e6..8b53	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
85	0x3939..e4ce	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
86	0x8ce7..0337	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
87	0x1a46..cbc4	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
88	0xcb8c..9937	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
89	0xea1e..4f9a	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
90	0x5d54..cc4b	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
91	0xa31c..6020	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
92	0x9baf..0a44	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
93	0xb483..28ab	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
94	0x7e36..0c22	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
95	0xf445..376e	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
96	0xc4eb..9946	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
97	0x1cc9..397e	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
98	0x55e0..c952	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
99	0xdf50..ffda	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
100	0x2a82..c9d8	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0x519e..fb3b	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x9860..1316	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
103	0xea8d..558a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
104	0xa2cf..d7aa	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
105	0x6280..57bb	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
106	0xde0a..75f5	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
107	0x1c80..d09a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
108	0x449f..d1c7	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
109	0x08bb..2be1	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
110	0x48c7..0f91	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0xf8e9..6fe8	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
112	0xa851..7438	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
113	0xbb1f..fba5	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
114	0x93a6..ced4	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
115	0xe3b0..1d12	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
116	0x27b0..14d2	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
117	0x49b3..bd78	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
118	0x9a47..4246	YES	1000	0.0%	✓ with
119	0x5f4f..39d1	YES	995	0.0%	✓ with
120	0x1306..bc55	YES	976	0.0%	✓ with
121	0xd32e..bd3f	YES	951	0.0%	✓ with
122	0xd0d1..494d	YES	910	0.0%	✓ with
123	0xc39c..a14d	YES	834	0.0%	✓ with
124	0x2c49..6ada	YES	814	0.0%	✓ with
125	0x6fc5..daf1	YES	796	0.0%	✓ with
126	0xe6b5..f1fd	YES	753	0.0%	✓ with
127	0x7bae..cbdc	YES	753	0.0%	✓ with
128	0x2a1b..a08f	YES	747	0.0%	✓ with
129	0x2723..bc10	YES	717	0.0%	✓ with
130	0x86cc..273d	YES	715	0.0%	✓ with
131	0xacb1..6272	YES	697	0.0%	✓ with
132	0x28ec..1675	YES	687	0.0%	✓ with
133	0x95af..26fc	YES	679	0.0%	✓ with
134	0x7595..8027	YES	655	0.0%	✓ with
135	0x5a7c..ee4c	YES	647	0.0%	✓ with
136	0x3b9f..c44f	YES	646	0.0%	✓ with
137	0x5071..ad7b	YES	624	0.0%	✓ with
138	0x0b5d..4832	YES	615	0.0%	✓ with
139	0x0773..d139	YES	598	0.0%	✓ with
140	0x5e19..0c0c	YES	596	0.0%	✓ with
141	0x37c5..6545	YES	596	0.0%	✓ with
142	0x9fdb..0aea	YES	593	0.0%	✓ with
143	0x3e1b..523e	YES	590	0.0%	✓ with
144	0xbd73..e578	YES	589	0.0%	✓ with
145	0x5ebc..d55d	YES	584	0.0%	✓ with
146	0x56d7..7226	YES	579	0.0%	✓ with
147	0x3abe..817d	YES	577	0.0%	✓ with
148	0x2b37..83dc	YES	576	0.0%	✓ with
149	0x101a..b9e5	YES	575	0.0%	✓ with
150	0x16d1..597a	YES	573	0.0%	✓ with
151	0xc573..09c1	YES	571	0.0%	✓ with
152	0xe5e7..2f19	YES	570	0.0%	✓ with
153	0x0293..f77e	YES	570	0.0%	✓ with
154	0x68c1..859a	YES	570	0.0%	✓ with
155	0x5689..82b0	YES	566	0.0%	✓ with
156	0xd8e4..9d15	YES	563	0.0%	✓ with
157	0x6e86..2587	YES	562	0.0%	✓ with
158	0x87a7..c1b6	YES	561	0.0%	✓ with
159	0xb205..6143	50/50	558	0.0%	✗ against
160	0x785c..2de9	YES	557	0.0%	✓ with
161	0x1049..c8e5	YES	555	0.0%	✓ with
162	0xb67a..6122	YES	554	0.0%	✓ with
163	0x7c45..6af8	YES	551	0.0%	✓ with
164	0xa8b8..b984	YES	548	0.0%	✓ with
165	0x6c87..ca76	YES	546	0.0%	✓ with
166	0xacb4..dd18	YES	546	0.0%	✓ with
167	0x4821..bdcf	YES	543	0.0%	✓ with
168	0x36ce..5bc0	YES	541	0.0%	✓ with
169	0x349e..5168	YES	540	0.0%	✓ with
170	0xcb4b..0caa	YES	539	0.0%	✓ with
171	0x5784..a1ee	YES	537	0.0%	✓ with
172	0xc3ac..9d6b	YES	537	0.0%	✓ with
173	0x8782..32db	YES	536	0.0%	✓ with
174	0xd521..7329	YES	536	0.0%	✓ with
175	0x8e56..9e77	YES	535	0.0%	✓ with
176	0xb538..8b0f	YES	534	0.0%	✓ with
177	0x24eb..a05a	YES	534	0.0%	✓ with
178	0xf3c1..2329	YES	533	0.0%	✓ with
179	0x0182..399e	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
180	0x9f9a..03be	YES	530	0.0%	✓ with
181	0xbd9d..98eb	YES	530	0.0%	✓ with
182	0x90da..1a73	YES	529	0.0%	✓ with
183	0xaef6..7b7c	YES	529	0.0%	✓ with
184	0xf0dc..fe78	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
185	0x72b5..3236	YES	525	0.0%	✓ with
186	0xc6c3..d292	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
187	0x3745..650e	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
188	0xfb1f..a12c	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
189	0x57cb..0f3e	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
190	0xcfb3..400e	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
191	0x7a40..be8a	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
192	0x8bc1..4230	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
193	0x73cd..af4d	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
194	0x80cc..ca98	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
195	0xe321..d544	YES	515	0.0%	✓ with
196	0x9e43..b563	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
197	0xf025..c7b1	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
198	0xf3b6..99bf	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
199	0x34d4..6ab2	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
200	0x52b8..31f9	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
201	0x2947..32a5	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
202	0x0939..befb	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
203	0xfb04..110c	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
204	0x0f44..60dc	YES	510	0.0%	✓ with
205	0x3dd7..1345	YES	507	0.0%	✓ with
206	0xb568..f97e	YES	502	0.0%	✓ with
207	0x3b45..3008	YES	494	0.0%	✓ with
208	0xf08c..35f9	YES	488	0.0%	✓ with
209	0xd7c7..ff8f	YES	407	0.0%	✓ with
210	0x93d4..bd2f	YES	223	0.0%	✓ with
211	0xf548..da63	YES	108	0.0%	✓ with
212	0xeb20..5dd3	YES	104	0.0%	✓ with
213	0xb607..86ea	50/50	49	0.0%	✗ against
214	0xef9e..1a66	YES	44	0.0%	✓ with
215	0xfd5e..b71c	YES	11	0.0%	✓ with