Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved YES 2025-07-27

voters

204

voted against

against share

0.5%

top wallet held

10.5%

total weight

22.7M

chain record #120

d1af6e14984da15184f85796e4e8d71ed19fd4e8489b709631fc26d6c8ac5a9f

previous record

0b78fa4644a815d86e427db1db1ae5ea1731fbe4de2b20ea84b467a4b8ec4892

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1753239281:bd044a65eb13d562

the judges

203 with · 1 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	YES	2.4M	10.5%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	YES	2.0M	9.0%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	YES	2.0M	8.9%	✓ with
4	0xfc20..1e1c	YES	1.5M	6.6%	✓ with
5	0xd2a7..9f7f	YES	1.4M	6.1%	✓ with
6	0x95cd..29b8	YES	958k	4.2%	✓ with
7	0xfec2..04a5	YES	940k	4.1%	✓ with
8	0x996d..aff1	YES	907k	4.0%	✓ with
9	0x05d1..f8c4	YES	905k	4.0%	✓ with
10	0x0afc..0b38	YES	654k	2.9%	✓ with
11	0x487a..2538	YES	612k	2.7%	✓ with
12	0x6564..340c	YES	420k	1.9%	✓ with
13	0xdb28..b80a	YES	395k	1.7%	✓ with
14	0x8548..e67e	YES	374k	1.6%	✓ with
15	0xbd4b..287d	YES	371k	1.6%	✓ with
16	0xbd9e..baa7	YES	357k	1.6%	✓ with
17	0x326c..4205	YES	356k	1.6%	✓ with
18	0x66ca..225a	YES	326k	1.4%	✓ with
19	0x9b8f..ed2f	YES	291k	1.3%	✓ with
20	0x4863..e44f	YES	268k	1.2%	✓ with
21	0xb731..5790	YES	242k	1.1%	✓ with
22	0x840b..946f	YES	240k	1.1%	✓ with
23	0xfe93..9c9d	YES	238k	1.0%	✓ with
24	0xf659..d48b	YES	234k	1.0%	✓ with
25	0xdc86..821a	YES	229k	1.0%	✓ with
26	0x2bc1..a7e7	YES	225k	1.0%	✓ with
27	0x6c31..7d98	YES	218k	1.0%	✓ with
28	0xf002..bfb2	YES	198k	0.9%	✓ with
29	0x6573..8efe	YES	197k	0.9%	✓ with
30	0x3504..ec2b	YES	173k	0.8%	✓ with
31	0x2d51..6f52	YES	168k	0.7%	✓ with
32	0xfee5..5d78	YES	153k	0.7%	✓ with
33	0x92d7..6fc6	YES	146k	0.6%	✓ with
34	0x1a0d..f351	YES	136k	0.6%	✓ with
35	0xc12f..39ee	YES	126k	0.6%	✓ with
36	0x30b2..be50	YES	125k	0.6%	✓ with
37	0xdf67..2de3	YES	123k	0.5%	✓ with
38	0x003a..0577	YES	120k	0.5%	✓ with
39	0x5b7e..78a8	YES	104k	0.5%	✓ with
40	0xb738..9472	YES	100k	0.4%	✓ with
41	0x8b64..96ee	YES	96k	0.4%	✓ with
42	0x8d61..27bc	YES	90k	0.4%	✓ with
43	0x6391..194a	YES	90k	0.4%	✓ with
44	0x53d0..d897	YES	83k	0.4%	✓ with
45	0xd4c1..6e2e	YES	81k	0.4%	✓ with
46	0x7baa..946a	YES	77k	0.3%	✓ with
47	0xa9b0..c344	YES	75k	0.3%	✓ with
48	0xd278..5a26	YES	71k	0.3%	✓ with
49	0x5c2e..d55e	YES	70k	0.3%	✓ with
50	0x69d0..a819	YES	67k	0.3%	✓ with
51	0x04b8..db57	YES	66k	0.3%	✓ with
52	0xc9e8..8df5	YES	65k	0.3%	✓ with
53	0x1515..490a	YES	57k	0.2%	✓ with
54	0x18f7..9222	YES	56k	0.2%	✓ with
55	0x9928..8cee	YES	44k	0.2%	✓ with
56	0x403d..4490	YES	39k	0.2%	✓ with
57	0xa4ef..a5ea	YES	36k	0.2%	✓ with
58	0xa61b..88a5	YES	33k	0.1%	✓ with
59	0xa7b9..87d0	YES	33k	0.1%	✓ with
60	0x126d..c78e	YES	29k	0.1%	✓ with
61	0x566f..d9f0	YES	28k	0.1%	✓ with
62	0x1921..efa9	YES	28k	0.1%	✓ with
63	0xa2e5..27f4	YES	26k	0.1%	✓ with
64	0x7b51..f56b	YES	26k	0.1%	✓ with
65	0x47a4..368b	YES	25k	0.1%	✓ with
66	0x69d0..586c	YES	23k	0.1%	✓ with
67	0x4c0d..ff1d	YES	18k	0.1%	✓ with
68	0x1ab8..64f4	YES	16k	0.1%	✓ with
69	0x336b..d88f	YES	15k	0.1%	✓ with
70	0x2a6d..7e59	YES	13k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0x4f49..8da9	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
72	0x9b6f..4ced	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
73	0x9497..f769	YES	11k	0.0%	✓ with
74	0x122b..8aee	YES	11k	0.0%	✓ with
75	0xe748..9a11	YES	11k	0.0%	✓ with
76	0x4ddd..0cb2	YES	10k	0.0%	✓ with
77	0x465c..d022	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
78	0x110f..f6fd	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
79	0xd17e..2b36	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
80	0xdb4d..bb4d	YES	8k	0.0%	✓ with
81	0x3939..e4ce	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
82	0x8ce7..0337	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
83	0x1a46..cbc4	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
84	0xcb8c..9937	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
85	0x37c5..6545	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
86	0xea1e..4f9a	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
87	0x5d54..cc4b	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
88	0xa31c..6020	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
89	0x9baf..0a44	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
90	0xb483..28ab	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
91	0x7e36..0c22	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
92	0xc4eb..9946	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
93	0x1cc9..397e	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
94	0x55e0..c952	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
95	0xdf50..ffda	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
96	0x2a82..c9d8	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
97	0x519e..fb3b	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
98	0x9860..1316	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
99	0xd7e6..8b53	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
100	0xea8d..558a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0xa2cf..d7aa	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x6280..57bb	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
103	0xde0a..75f5	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
104	0x18fe..3f3b	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	✗ early
105	0x1c80..d09a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
106	0x449f..d1c7	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
107	0x08bb..2be1	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
108	0x99bc..2fd9	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
109	0x48c7..0f91	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
110	0xf8e9..6fe8	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0xa851..7438	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
112	0xbb1f..fba5	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
113	0xe3b0..1d12	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
114	0x49b3..bd78	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
115	0x27b0..14d2	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
116	0x9a47..4246	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
117	0x1306..bc55	YES	976	0.0%	✓ with
118	0xd32e..bd3f	YES	952	0.0%	✓ with
119	0xd0d1..494d	YES	909	0.0%	✓ with
120	0xc39c..a14d	YES	833	0.0%	✓ with
121	0x2c49..6ada	YES	816	0.0%	✓ with
122	0x6fc5..daf1	YES	796	0.0%	✓ with
123	0xe6b5..f1fd	YES	752	0.0%	✓ with
124	0x2a1b..a08f	YES	747	0.0%	✓ with
125	0x28ec..1675	YES	688	0.0%	✓ with
126	0x86cc..273d	YES	684	0.0%	✓ with
127	0x95af..26fc	YES	680	0.0%	✓ with
128	0x7595..8027	YES	654	0.0%	✓ with
129	0x5a7c..ee4c	YES	647	0.0%	✓ with
130	0x3b9f..c44f	YES	645	0.0%	✓ with
131	0x5071..ad7b	YES	623	0.0%	✓ with
132	0x0b5d..4832	YES	614	0.0%	✓ with
133	0x0773..d139	YES	597	0.0%	✓ with
134	0x9fdb..0aea	YES	592	0.0%	✓ with
135	0x104d..e4e9	YES	592	0.0%	✓ with
136	0xbd73..e578	YES	590	0.0%	✓ with
137	0x3e1b..523e	YES	590	0.0%	✓ with
138	0x5ebc..d55d	YES	583	0.0%	✓ with
139	0x56d7..7226	YES	579	0.0%	✓ with
140	0x3abe..817d	YES	577	0.0%	✓ with
141	0x2b37..83dc	YES	576	0.0%	✓ with
142	0x101a..b9e5	YES	575	0.0%	✓ with
143	0x16d1..597a	YES	572	0.0%	✓ with
144	0xc573..09c1	YES	570	0.0%	✓ with
145	0xe5e7..2f19	YES	570	0.0%	✓ with
146	0x0293..f77e	YES	570	0.0%	✓ with
147	0x5689..82b0	YES	565	0.0%	✓ with
148	0xd8e4..9d15	YES	563	0.0%	✓ with
149	0x6e86..2587	YES	561	0.0%	✓ with
150	0x87a7..c1b6	YES	561	0.0%	✓ with
151	0x1049..c8e5	YES	554	0.0%	✓ with
152	0x785c..2de9	YES	551	0.0%	✓ with
153	0x7c45..6af8	YES	550	0.0%	✓ with
154	0xa8b8..b984	YES	548	0.0%	✓ with
155	0x6c87..ca76	YES	547	0.0%	✓ with
156	0xacb4..dd18	YES	545	0.0%	✓ with
157	0xb67a..6122	YES	543	0.0%	✓ with
158	0x4821..bdcf	YES	542	0.0%	✓ with
159	0x36ce..5bc0	YES	540	0.0%	✓ with
160	0xcb4b..0caa	YES	539	0.0%	✓ with
161	0x349e..5168	YES	539	0.0%	✓ with
162	0x68c1..859a	YES	537	0.0%	✓ with
163	0xd521..7329	YES	536	0.0%	✓ with
164	0xc3ac..9d6b	YES	536	0.0%	✓ with
165	0x8782..32db	YES	536	0.0%	✓ with
166	0x8e56..9e77	YES	535	0.0%	✓ with
167	0xf3c1..2329	YES	533	0.0%	✓ with
168	0x24eb..a05a	YES	533	0.0%	✓ with
169	0x0182..399e	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
170	0xbd9d..98eb	YES	530	0.0%	✓ with
171	0x9f9a..03be	YES	530	0.0%	✓ with
172	0x90da..1a73	YES	529	0.0%	✓ with
173	0xaef6..7b7c	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
174	0xf0dc..fe78	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
175	0x72b5..3236	YES	525	0.0%	✓ with
176	0xc6c3..d292	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
177	0x3745..650e	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
178	0xfb1f..a12c	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
179	0x57cb..0f3e	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
180	0xcfb3..400e	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
181	0x8bc1..4230	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
182	0x7a40..be8a	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
183	0x73cd..af4d	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
184	0x5784..a1ee	YES	518	0.0%	✓ with
185	0x80cc..ca98	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
186	0xe321..d544	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
187	0xf025..c7b1	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
188	0xf3b6..99bf	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
189	0x9e43..b563	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
190	0x34d4..6ab2	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
191	0x2947..32a5	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
192	0x52b8..31f9	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
193	0x0939..befb	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
194	0x4be8..0604	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
195	0xfb04..110c	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
196	0x0f44..60dc	YES	510	0.0%	✓ with
197	0x3dd7..1345	YES	507	0.0%	✓ with
198	0xb568..f97e	YES	503	0.0%	✓ with
199	0xf08c..35f9	YES	489	0.0%	✓ with
200	0x4611..ed87	YES	487	0.0%	✓ with
201	0xd7c7..ff8f	YES	408	0.0%	✓ with
202	0xd431..e9d9	YES	108	0.0%	✓ with
203	0xf548..da63	YES	107	0.0%	✓ with
204	0xc64e..ef3e	YES	100	0.0%	✓ with