Israel strikes Syria by August 31?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved early? 2025-07-27

voters

203

voted against

against share

0.0%

top wallet held

10.5%

total weight

22.7M

chain record #123

cb43cde370157a0f8a70a29c88477bb5940aaa067405651044d01359cc351cef

previous record

48e2c0632a9de5d5fa0ccc7833ccdb078326521753223762c3cd85b88f7f3015

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1753236945:8e4e74a1bc15b71c

the judges

203 with · 0 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	TOO EARLY	2.4M	10.5%	ungraded
2	0x8e34..c97a	TOO EARLY	2.0M	9.0%	ungraded
3	0xc60a..fea0	TOO EARLY	2.0M	8.9%	ungraded
4	0xfc20..1e1c	TOO EARLY	1.5M	6.6%	ungraded
5	0xd2a7..9f7f	TOO EARLY	1.4M	6.1%	ungraded
6	0x95cd..29b8	TOO EARLY	958k	4.2%	ungraded
7	0xfec2..04a5	YES	940k	4.1%	ungraded
8	0x996d..aff1	YES	907k	4.0%	ungraded
9	0x05d1..f8c4	TOO EARLY	905k	4.0%	ungraded
10	0x0afc..0b38	TOO EARLY	654k	2.9%	ungraded
11	0x487a..2538	TOO EARLY	612k	2.7%	ungraded
12	0x6564..340c	TOO EARLY	420k	1.9%	ungraded
13	0xdb28..b80a	YES	395k	1.7%	ungraded
14	0x8548..e67e	TOO EARLY	374k	1.6%	ungraded
15	0xbd4b..287d	TOO EARLY	371k	1.6%	ungraded
16	0xbd9e..baa7	TOO EARLY	357k	1.6%	ungraded
17	0x326c..4205	TOO EARLY	356k	1.6%	ungraded
18	0x66ca..225a	YES	326k	1.4%	ungraded
19	0x9b8f..ed2f	TOO EARLY	291k	1.3%	ungraded
20	0x4863..e44f	TOO EARLY	268k	1.2%	ungraded
21	0xb731..5790	TOO EARLY	242k	1.1%	ungraded
22	0x840b..946f	YES	240k	1.1%	ungraded
23	0xfe93..9c9d	TOO EARLY	238k	1.0%	ungraded
24	0xf659..d48b	TOO EARLY	234k	1.0%	ungraded
25	0xdc86..821a	TOO EARLY	229k	1.0%	ungraded
26	0x2bc1..a7e7	TOO EARLY	225k	1.0%	ungraded
27	0x6c31..7d98	TOO EARLY	218k	1.0%	ungraded
28	0xf002..bfb2	TOO EARLY	198k	0.9%	ungraded
29	0x6573..8efe	YES	197k	0.9%	ungraded
30	0x3504..ec2b	YES	173k	0.8%	ungraded
31	0x2d51..6f52	TOO EARLY	168k	0.7%	ungraded
32	0xfee5..5d78	YES	153k	0.7%	ungraded
33	0x92d7..6fc6	TOO EARLY	146k	0.6%	ungraded
34	0x1a0d..f351	YES	136k	0.6%	ungraded
35	0xc12f..39ee	TOO EARLY	126k	0.6%	ungraded
36	0x30b2..be50	TOO EARLY	125k	0.6%	ungraded
37	0xdf67..2de3	TOO EARLY	123k	0.5%	ungraded
38	0x003a..0577	TOO EARLY	120k	0.5%	ungraded
39	0x5b7e..78a8	YES	104k	0.5%	ungraded
40	0xb738..9472	TOO EARLY	100k	0.4%	ungraded
41	0x8b64..96ee	TOO EARLY	96k	0.4%	ungraded
42	0x8d61..27bc	TOO EARLY	90k	0.4%	ungraded
43	0x6391..194a	TOO EARLY	90k	0.4%	ungraded
44	0x53d0..d897	YES	83k	0.4%	ungraded
45	0xd4c1..6e2e	TOO EARLY	81k	0.4%	ungraded
46	0x7baa..946a	TOO EARLY	77k	0.3%	ungraded
47	0xa9b0..c344	TOO EARLY	75k	0.3%	ungraded
48	0xd278..5a26	TOO EARLY	71k	0.3%	ungraded
49	0x5c2e..d55e	YES	70k	0.3%	ungraded
50	0x69d0..a819	YES	67k	0.3%	ungraded
51	0x04b8..db57	YES	66k	0.3%	ungraded
52	0xc9e8..8df5	YES	65k	0.3%	ungraded
53	0x1515..490a	TOO EARLY	57k	0.2%	ungraded
54	0x18f7..9222	TOO EARLY	56k	0.2%	ungraded
55	0x9928..8cee	TOO EARLY	44k	0.2%	ungraded
56	0x403d..4490	YES	39k	0.2%	ungraded
57	0xa4ef..a5ea	TOO EARLY	36k	0.2%	ungraded
58	0xa61b..88a5	YES	33k	0.1%	ungraded
59	0xa7b9..87d0	YES	33k	0.1%	ungraded
60	0x126d..c78e	TOO EARLY	29k	0.1%	ungraded
61	0x566f..d9f0	YES	28k	0.1%	ungraded
62	0x1921..efa9	TOO EARLY	28k	0.1%	ungraded
63	0xa2e5..27f4	YES	26k	0.1%	ungraded
64	0x7b51..f56b	YES	26k	0.1%	ungraded
65	0x47a4..368b	TOO EARLY	25k	0.1%	ungraded
66	0x69d0..586c	TOO EARLY	23k	0.1%	ungraded
67	0x4c0d..ff1d	TOO EARLY	18k	0.1%	ungraded
68	0x1ab8..64f4	TOO EARLY	16k	0.1%	ungraded
69	0x336b..d88f	YES	15k	0.1%	ungraded
70	0x2a6d..7e59	YES	13k	0.1%	ungraded
71	0x4f49..8da9	TOO EARLY	12k	0.1%	ungraded
72	0x9b6f..4ced	TOO EARLY	12k	0.1%	ungraded
73	0x9497..f769	TOO EARLY	11k	0.0%	ungraded
74	0x122b..8aee	TOO EARLY	11k	0.0%	ungraded
75	0xe748..9a11	TOO EARLY	11k	0.0%	ungraded
76	0x4ddd..0cb2	TOO EARLY	10k	0.0%	ungraded
77	0x465c..d022	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
78	0x110f..f6fd	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
79	0xd17e..2b36	YES	9k	0.0%	ungraded
80	0xdb4d..bb4d	TOO EARLY	8k	0.0%	ungraded
81	0x3939..e4ce	YES	7k	0.0%	ungraded
82	0x8ce7..0337	TOO EARLY	7k	0.0%	ungraded
83	0x1a46..cbc4	TOO EARLY	7k	0.0%	ungraded
84	0xcb8c..9937	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
85	0x37c5..6545	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
86	0xea1e..4f9a	YES	5k	0.0%	ungraded
87	0x5d54..cc4b	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
88	0xa31c..6020	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
89	0x9baf..0a44	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
90	0xb483..28ab	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
91	0x7e36..0c22	TOO EARLY	4k	0.0%	ungraded
92	0xc4eb..9946	TOO EARLY	4k	0.0%	ungraded
93	0x1cc9..397e	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
94	0x55e0..c952	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
95	0xdf50..ffda	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
96	0x2a82..c9d8	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
97	0x519e..fb3b	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
98	0x9860..1316	YES	2k	0.0%	ungraded
99	0xd7e6..8b53	YES	2k	0.0%	ungraded
100	0xea8d..558a	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
101	0xa2cf..d7aa	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
102	0x6280..57bb	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
103	0xde0a..75f5	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
104	0x18fe..3f3b	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
105	0x1c80..d09a	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
106	0x449f..d1c7	YES	2k	0.0%	ungraded
107	0x08bb..2be1	YES	1k	0.0%	ungraded
108	0x99bc..2fd9	YES	1k	0.0%	ungraded
109	0x48c7..0f91	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
110	0xf8e9..6fe8	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
111	0xa851..7438	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
112	0xbb1f..fba5	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
113	0xe3b0..1d12	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
114	0x49b3..bd78	YES	1k	0.0%	ungraded
115	0x27b0..14d2	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
116	0x9a47..4246	YES	1k	0.0%	ungraded
117	0x1306..bc55	TOO EARLY	976	0.0%	ungraded
118	0xd32e..bd3f	TOO EARLY	952	0.0%	ungraded
119	0xd0d1..494d	TOO EARLY	909	0.0%	ungraded
120	0xc39c..a14d	TOO EARLY	833	0.0%	ungraded
121	0x2c49..6ada	YES	816	0.0%	ungraded
122	0x6fc5..daf1	TOO EARLY	796	0.0%	ungraded
123	0xe6b5..f1fd	TOO EARLY	752	0.0%	ungraded
124	0x2a1b..a08f	YES	747	0.0%	ungraded
125	0x28ec..1675	YES	688	0.0%	ungraded
126	0x86cc..273d	TOO EARLY	684	0.0%	ungraded
127	0x95af..26fc	YES	680	0.0%	ungraded
128	0x7595..8027	TOO EARLY	654	0.0%	ungraded
129	0x5a7c..ee4c	TOO EARLY	647	0.0%	ungraded
130	0x3b9f..c44f	TOO EARLY	645	0.0%	ungraded
131	0x5071..ad7b	TOO EARLY	623	0.0%	ungraded
132	0x0b5d..4832	TOO EARLY	614	0.0%	ungraded
133	0x0773..d139	TOO EARLY	597	0.0%	ungraded
134	0x9fdb..0aea	TOO EARLY	592	0.0%	ungraded
135	0x104d..e4e9	YES	592	0.0%	ungraded
136	0xbd73..e578	YES	590	0.0%	ungraded
137	0x3e1b..523e	TOO EARLY	590	0.0%	ungraded
138	0x5ebc..d55d	TOO EARLY	583	0.0%	ungraded
139	0x56d7..7226	TOO EARLY	579	0.0%	ungraded
140	0x3abe..817d	TOO EARLY	577	0.0%	ungraded
141	0x2b37..83dc	TOO EARLY	576	0.0%	ungraded
142	0x101a..b9e5	TOO EARLY	575	0.0%	ungraded
143	0x16d1..597a	TOO EARLY	572	0.0%	ungraded
144	0xc573..09c1	TOO EARLY	570	0.0%	ungraded
145	0xe5e7..2f19	TOO EARLY	570	0.0%	ungraded
146	0x0293..f77e	TOO EARLY	570	0.0%	ungraded
147	0x5689..82b0	TOO EARLY	565	0.0%	ungraded
148	0xd8e4..9d15	TOO EARLY	563	0.0%	ungraded
149	0x6e86..2587	TOO EARLY	561	0.0%	ungraded
150	0x87a7..c1b6	TOO EARLY	561	0.0%	ungraded
151	0x1049..c8e5	TOO EARLY	554	0.0%	ungraded
152	0x785c..2de9	YES	551	0.0%	ungraded
153	0x7c45..6af8	TOO EARLY	550	0.0%	ungraded
154	0xa8b8..b984	TOO EARLY	548	0.0%	ungraded
155	0x6c87..ca76	TOO EARLY	547	0.0%	ungraded
156	0xacb4..dd18	TOO EARLY	545	0.0%	ungraded
157	0xb67a..6122	TOO EARLY	543	0.0%	ungraded
158	0x4821..bdcf	TOO EARLY	542	0.0%	ungraded
159	0x36ce..5bc0	TOO EARLY	540	0.0%	ungraded
160	0xcb4b..0caa	YES	539	0.0%	ungraded
161	0x349e..5168	TOO EARLY	539	0.0%	ungraded
162	0x68c1..859a	TOO EARLY	537	0.0%	ungraded
163	0xd521..7329	YES	536	0.0%	ungraded
164	0xc3ac..9d6b	TOO EARLY	536	0.0%	ungraded
165	0x8782..32db	TOO EARLY	536	0.0%	ungraded
166	0x8e56..9e77	TOO EARLY	535	0.0%	ungraded
167	0xf3c1..2329	YES	533	0.0%	ungraded
168	0x24eb..a05a	TOO EARLY	533	0.0%	ungraded
169	0x0182..399e	TOO EARLY	531	0.0%	ungraded
170	0xbd9d..98eb	YES	530	0.0%	ungraded
171	0x9f9a..03be	TOO EARLY	530	0.0%	ungraded
172	0x90da..1a73	YES	529	0.0%	ungraded
173	0xaef6..7b7c	TOO EARLY	528	0.0%	ungraded
174	0xf0dc..fe78	YES	527	0.0%	ungraded
175	0x72b5..3236	YES	525	0.0%	ungraded
176	0xc6c3..d292	TOO EARLY	523	0.0%	ungraded
177	0x3745..650e	TOO EARLY	523	0.0%	ungraded
178	0xfb1f..a12c	YES	522	0.0%	ungraded
179	0x57cb..0f3e	TOO EARLY	521	0.0%	ungraded
180	0xcfb3..400e	TOO EARLY	521	0.0%	ungraded
181	0x8bc1..4230	YES	520	0.0%	ungraded
182	0x7a40..be8a	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
183	0x73cd..af4d	TOO EARLY	519	0.0%	ungraded
184	0x5784..a1ee	TOO EARLY	518	0.0%	ungraded
185	0x80cc..ca98	TOO EARLY	516	0.0%	ungraded
186	0xe321..d544	TOO EARLY	514	0.0%	ungraded
187	0xf025..c7b1	YES	514	0.0%	ungraded
188	0xf3b6..99bf	YES	514	0.0%	ungraded
189	0x9e43..b563	TOO EARLY	513	0.0%	ungraded
190	0x34d4..6ab2	YES	513	0.0%	ungraded
191	0x2947..32a5	YES	513	0.0%	ungraded
192	0x52b8..31f9	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	ungraded
193	0x0939..befb	YES	512	0.0%	ungraded
194	0x4be8..0604	YES	512	0.0%	ungraded
195	0xfb04..110c	YES	511	0.0%	ungraded
196	0x0f44..60dc	YES	510	0.0%	ungraded
197	0x3dd7..1345	YES	507	0.0%	ungraded
198	0xb568..f97e	YES	503	0.0%	ungraded
199	0xf08c..35f9	YES	489	0.0%	ungraded
200	0x4611..ed87	YES	487	0.0%	ungraded
201	0xd7c7..ff8f	YES	408	0.0%	ungraded
202	0xd431..e9d9	TOO EARLY	108	0.0%	ungraded
203	0xc64e..ef3e	TOO EARLY	100	0.0%	ungraded