Pump.fun market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved NO 2025-07-19

voters

210

voted against

against share

0.0%

top wallet held

10.6%

total weight

22.1M

chain record #58

37bc3b5359a0f7bc4d15cde1965bab189964dd88f625e3d0a62a59a5146d3a0a

previous record

a20d00b57178d9cb48d83dd63a243fb2f3ff74b1c7b66cca3419f8978ef06701

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1752599505:35c4bfa994beb7af

the judges

210 with · 0 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	NO	2.4M	10.6%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	NO	2.0M	9.1%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	NO	2.0M	9.1%	✓ with
4	0xfc20..1e1c	NO	1.5M	6.8%	✓ with
5	0xd2a7..9f7f	NO	1.4M	6.3%	✓ with
6	0x95cd..29b8	NO	955k	4.3%	✓ with
7	0x996d..aff1	NO	914k	4.1%	✓ with
8	0x05d1..f8c4	NO	902k	4.1%	✓ with
9	0x0afc..0b38	NO	651k	2.9%	✓ with
10	0x487a..2538	NO	611k	2.8%	✓ with
11	0x6564..340c	NO	419k	1.9%	✓ with
12	0x2488..7238	NO	411k	1.9%	✓ with
13	0x8548..e67e	NO	371k	1.7%	✓ with
14	0xbd4b..287d	NO	368k	1.7%	✓ with
15	0xbd9e..baa7	NO	356k	1.6%	✓ with
16	0x326c..4205	NO	353k	1.6%	✓ with
17	0x66ca..225a	NO	324k	1.5%	✓ with
18	0x9b8f..ed2f	NO	290k	1.3%	✓ with
19	0x4863..e44f	NO	266k	1.2%	✓ with
20	0xfe93..9c9d	NO	257k	1.2%	✓ with
21	0xb731..5790	NO	241k	1.1%	✓ with
22	0x840b..946f	NO	238k	1.1%	✓ with
23	0xf659..d48b	NO	233k	1.1%	✓ with
24	0xdc86..821a	NO	226k	1.0%	✓ with
25	0x6c31..7d98	NO	217k	1.0%	✓ with
26	0x2bc1..a7e7	NO	217k	1.0%	✓ with
27	0xf002..bfb2	NO	196k	0.9%	✓ with
28	0x6573..8efe	NO	196k	0.9%	✓ with
29	0x3504..ec2b	NO	172k	0.8%	✓ with
30	0x2d51..6f52	NO	167k	0.8%	✓ with
31	0xb738..9472	NO	161k	0.7%	✓ with
32	0x89be..103a	NO	147k	0.7%	✓ with
33	0x92d7..6fc6	NO	145k	0.7%	✓ with
34	0x1a0d..f351	NO	136k	0.6%	✓ with
35	0xc12f..39ee	NO	125k	0.6%	✓ with
36	0x30b2..be50	NO	124k	0.6%	✓ with
37	0xdf67..2de3	NO	122k	0.6%	✓ with
38	0x003a..0577	NO	119k	0.5%	✓ with
39	0xf018..4069	NO	112k	0.5%	✓ with
40	0x5b7e..78a8	NO	104k	0.5%	✓ with
41	0x8b64..96ee	NO	96k	0.4%	✓ with
42	0x8d61..27bc	NO	91k	0.4%	✓ with
43	0x6391..194a	NO	89k	0.4%	✓ with
44	0x53d0..d897	NO	83k	0.4%	✓ with
45	0x65af..2482	NO	83k	0.4%	✓ with
46	0xd4c1..6e2e	NO	81k	0.4%	✓ with
47	0x7baa..946a	NO	76k	0.3%	✓ with
48	0xa9b0..c344	NO	75k	0.3%	✓ with
49	0xd431..e9d9	NO	75k	0.3%	✓ with
50	0x89f9..2a45	NO	74k	0.3%	✓ with
51	0x69d0..a819	NO	70k	0.3%	✓ with
52	0x5c2e..d55e	NO	70k	0.3%	✓ with
53	0xc9e8..8df5	NO	65k	0.3%	✓ with
54	0x04b8..db57	NO	62k	0.3%	✓ with
55	0xc337..0459	NO	61k	0.3%	✓ with
56	0x1515..490a	NO	56k	0.3%	✓ with
57	0x18f7..9222	NO	55k	0.3%	✓ with
58	0x3d59..baa2	NO	42k	0.2%	✓ with
59	0x403d..4490	NO	40k	0.2%	✓ with
60	0xa4ef..a5ea	NO	36k	0.2%	✓ with
61	0xa61b..88a5	NO	33k	0.1%	✓ with
62	0xa7b9..87d0	NO	31k	0.1%	✓ with
63	0x126d..c78e	NO	29k	0.1%	✓ with
64	0xab0c..8b3b	NO	28k	0.1%	✓ with
65	0x1921..efa9	NO	28k	0.1%	✓ with
66	0xa2e5..27f4	NO	28k	0.1%	✓ with
67	0x566f..d9f0	NO	27k	0.1%	✓ with
68	0x7b51..f56b	NO	26k	0.1%	✓ with
69	0x47a4..368b	NO	25k	0.1%	✓ with
70	0x69d0..586c	NO	22k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0x4c0d..ff1d	NO	18k	0.1%	✓ with
72	0x1ab8..64f4	NO	16k	0.1%	✓ with
73	0x336b..d88f	NO	15k	0.1%	✓ with
74	0x2a6d..7e59	NO	13k	0.1%	✓ with
75	0xc29a..c1a6	NO	13k	0.1%	✓ with
76	0x9b6f..4ced	NO	12k	0.1%	✓ with
77	0x4f49..8da9	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
78	0x9497..f769	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
79	0xe748..9a11	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
80	0x4ddd..0cb2	NO	10k	0.0%	✓ with
81	0xe637..9483	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
82	0xd17e..2b36	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
83	0x465c..d022	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
84	0x110f..f6fd	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
85	0x9928..8cee	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
86	0xdb4d..bb4d	NO	8k	0.0%	✓ with
87	0x122b..8aee	NO	7k	0.0%	✓ with
88	0x3939..e4ce	NO	7k	0.0%	✓ with
89	0x1a46..cbc4	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
90	0xcb8c..9937	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
91	0x37c5..6545	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
92	0x8c48..b938	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
93	0xea1e..4f9a	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
94	0x5d54..cc4b	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
95	0xa31c..6020	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
96	0x9baf..0a44	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
97	0xb483..28ab	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
98	0x7e36..0c22	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
99	0x21a7..bce1	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
100	0xc4eb..9946	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0x1cc9..397e	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x55e0..c952	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
103	0xdf50..ffda	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
104	0x2a82..c9d8	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
105	0x519e..fb3b	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
106	0xea8d..558a	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
107	0xa2cf..d7aa	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
108	0x6280..57bb	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
109	0x18fe..3f3b	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
110	0xde0a..75f5	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0x1c80..d09a	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
112	0xd7e6..8b53	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
113	0x449f..d1c7	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
114	0xde26..dad7	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
115	0x99bc..2fd9	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
116	0x48c7..0f91	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
117	0xf8e9..6fe8	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
118	0xa851..7438	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
119	0xf33e..db10	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
120	0xbb1f..fba5	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
121	0xe3b0..1d12	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
122	0x5b01..2ed2	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
123	0x90b9..2464	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
124	0xb362..e683	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
125	0xf1de..7990	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
126	0x7c9c..76ed	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
127	0xa89f..b642	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
128	0x76cc..8829	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
129	0x7d8a..388c	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
130	0x8a74..5d7d	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
131	0x0fad..ef15	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
132	0x49b3..bd78	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
133	0x9a47..4246	NO	998	0.0%	✓ with
134	0x27b0..14d2	NO	998	0.0%	✓ with
135	0xcc50..da38	NO	990	0.0%	✓ with
136	0x0b02..9fee	NO	989	0.0%	✓ with
137	0x9101..dd9f	NO	988	0.0%	✓ with
138	0xac88..5757	NO	988	0.0%	✓ with
139	0xc84f..747b	NO	983	0.0%	✓ with
140	0x06ce..20ea	NO	983	0.0%	✓ with
141	0xa21c..1e3a	NO	983	0.0%	✓ with
142	0xf5df..d5ae	NO	979	0.0%	✓ with
143	0x1306..bc55	NO	972	0.0%	✓ with
144	0x2027..50ff	NO	964	0.0%	✓ with
145	0x50d2..31ef	NO	961	0.0%	✓ with
146	0x074f..9d52	NO	952	0.0%	✓ with
147	0xd32e..bd3f	NO	949	0.0%	✓ with
148	0xd0d1..494d	NO	906	0.0%	✓ with
149	0x9c1f..0c09	NO	851	0.0%	✓ with
150	0xc39c..a14d	NO	830	0.0%	✓ with
151	0x6fc5..daf1	NO	793	0.0%	✓ with
152	0xe6b5..f1fd	NO	750	0.0%	✓ with
153	0x28ec..1675	NO	685	0.0%	✓ with
154	0x86cc..273d	NO	681	0.0%	✓ with
155	0x95af..26fc	NO	677	0.0%	✓ with
156	0x7595..8027	NO	652	0.0%	✓ with
157	0x3b9f..c44f	NO	643	0.0%	✓ with
158	0xdc20..021d	NO	638	0.0%	✓ with
159	0x5071..ad7b	NO	621	0.0%	✓ with
160	0x5a7c..ee4c	NO	620	0.0%	✓ with
161	0x0b5d..4832	NO	612	0.0%	✓ with
162	0x0773..d139	NO	591	0.0%	✓ with
163	0x3e1b..523e	NO	588	0.0%	✓ with
164	0x9fdb..0aea	NO	580	0.0%	✓ with
165	0x101a..b9e5	NO	575	0.0%	✓ with
166	0x3abe..817d	NO	575	0.0%	✓ with
167	0x2b37..83dc	NO	574	0.0%	✓ with
168	0x5ebc..d55d	NO	572	0.0%	✓ with
169	0xc573..09c1	NO	568	0.0%	✓ with
170	0xe5e7..2f19	NO	568	0.0%	✓ with
171	0xd8e4..9d15	NO	561	0.0%	✓ with
172	0xcfb3..400e	NO	560	0.0%	✓ with
173	0x87a7..c1b6	NO	559	0.0%	✓ with
174	0x16d1..597a	NO	559	0.0%	✓ with
175	0x0293..f77e	NO	558	0.0%	✓ with
176	0x601f..7eb5	NO	552	0.0%	✓ with
177	0x6e86..2587	NO	551	0.0%	✓ with
178	0x7c45..6af8	NO	549	0.0%	✓ with
179	0xa8b8..b984	NO	546	0.0%	✓ with
180	0xacb4..dd18	NO	543	0.0%	✓ with
181	0xb67a..6122	NO	541	0.0%	✓ with
182	0x4821..bdcf	NO	540	0.0%	✓ with
183	0x36ce..5bc0	NO	538	0.0%	✓ with
184	0x349e..5168	NO	537	0.0%	✓ with
185	0xc3ac..9d6b	NO	534	0.0%	✓ with
186	0xb538..8b0f	NO	534	0.0%	✓ with
187	0x8782..32db	NO	534	0.0%	✓ with
188	0x8e56..9e77	NO	533	0.0%	✓ with
189	0x24eb..a05a	NO	531	0.0%	✓ with
190	0xaa9e..d624	NO	530	0.0%	✓ with
191	0x0182..399e	NO	530	0.0%	✓ with
192	0x90da..1a73	NO	529	0.0%	✓ with
193	0x9f9a..03be	NO	528	0.0%	✓ with
194	0xf0dc..fe78	NO	526	0.0%	✓ with
195	0xaef6..7b7c	NO	526	0.0%	✓ with
196	0xc6c3..d292	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
197	0x3745..650e	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
198	0xefbc..e22b	NO	521	0.0%	✓ with
199	0xfb1f..a12c	NO	520	0.0%	✓ with
200	0x57cb..0f3e	NO	519	0.0%	✓ with
201	0x8bc1..4230	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
202	0x73cd..af4d	NO	517	0.0%	✓ with
203	0x4be8..0604	NO	516	0.0%	✓ with
204	0x5784..a1ee	NO	516	0.0%	✓ with
205	0xe321..d544	NO	513	0.0%	✓ with
206	0xf025..c7b1	NO	512	0.0%	✓ with
207	0x2947..32a5	NO	511	0.0%	✓ with
208	0x3dd7..1345	NO	506	0.0%	✓ with
209	0x0f44..60dc	NO	504	0.0%	✓ with
210	0x371e..bbd2	NO	49	0.0%	✓ with