| 2026-03-04 | Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | YES | YES | 1k | ✓ with |
| 2026-03-04 | Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | NO | YES | 1k | ✗ against |
| 2026-03-04 | Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | NO | YES | 1k | ✗ against |
| 2026-03-04 | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | 50/50 | 50/50 | 1k | ✓ with |
| 2026-03-04 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | NO | NO | 1k | ✓ with |
| 2026-03-04 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | YES | YES | 1k | ✓ with |
| 2026-03-04 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | YES | YES | 1k | ✓ with |
| 2026-03-04 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | YES | YES | 1k | ✓ with |
| 2026-03-04 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | YES | early? | 1k | ungraded |
| 2026-03-04 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | YES | early? | 1k | ungraded |
| 2026-03-04 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)? | NO | early? | 1k | ungraded |
| 2026-03-04 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)? | NO | early? | 1k | ungraded |
| 2026-03-04 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | YES | YES | 1k | ✓ with |