voters / rap sheet
0xbca2a5fa6d2a3a0672beceff9c7f269d2a5f3095
uma dvm voter · ethereum mainnet etherscan →
votes revealed
147
graded
64
matched outcome
57
rate
89.1%
total weight
14k

voting history

correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth
resolvedmarketvoted outcomeweightvs outcome
2026-01-05Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?YESNO90✗ against
2026-01-05Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?NONO90✓ with
2026-01-05Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?YESNO90✗ against
2026-01-05US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?NONO90✓ with
2026-01-05Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?NONO90✓ with
2026-01-05Will Justin Bieber be on New Year's Rockin' Eve?YESNO90✗ against
2026-01-05US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?NONO90✓ with
2026-01-05US strikes Yemen by December 31?YESYES90✓ with
2026-01-05MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?NONO90✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?NONO90✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?NONO90✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?YESYES90✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?YESYES90✓ with
2026-01-05Ukraine strike in Russia on 25 November 2025?NONO90✓ with
2026-01-05US strikes Yemen by December 31?YESYES90✓ with
2026-01-05Will there be exactly four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2NONO90✓ with
2026-01-05MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?NONO90✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 2, 2026?YESYES90✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 2, 2026?YESYES90✓ with
2026-01-05Jon Stewart cancelled by December 31?NONO90✓ with
2026-01-05U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by December 31?YESearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?YESYES90✓ with
2026-01-05Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?YESYES90✓ with
2026-01-05Spread: Georgia (-6.5)YESearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Ole Miss vs. GeorgiaNOearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will Captain America: New World Order be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will Wicked: For Good be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?YESearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?YESearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Axiom daily fees above $5M in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?TOO EARLYearly?90ungraded
2026-01-05Jon Stewart cancelled by December 31?NONO90✓ with
2025-12-26Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 22?NOYES96✗ against
2025-12-26Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 22?NOYES96✗ against
2025-12-26Will Leonard Gates win the PDC World Darts Championship?NONO96✓ with
2025-12-26Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?NOYES96✗ against
2025-12-26Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?NOYES96✗ against
2025-12-26TikTok sale announced by March 31?YESYES96✓ with
2025-12-26TikTok sale announced by March 31?YESYES96✓ with
2025-12-26Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Mousquetaires (BO3)YESYES96✓ with
2025-12-26Terance Mann: Assists Over 3.5YESYES96✓ with
2025-12-26Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 15-21 be between 17,750,000 and 18,00NONO96✓ with
2025-12-26TikTok sale announced in 2025?YESYES96✓ with
2025-12-26Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?YESYES96✓ with
2025-12-26Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?YESYES96✓ with
2025-12-26Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 26?YESYES96✓ with
2025-12-26Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 26?YESYES96✓ with
2025-12-26Will Drake release a new song in 2025?YESYES96✓ with
2025-12-26Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on December 22?NOearly?96ungraded
2025-12-26Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on December 22?YESearly?96ungraded
2025-12-26Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on December 21?NOearly?96ungraded
2025-12-26Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?TOO EARLYearly?96ungraded
2025-12-26Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?TOO EARLYearly?96ungraded
2025-12-26Will Leonard Gates win the PDC World Darts Championship?NOearly?96ungraded
2025-12-22Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on December 18?NONO97✓ with
2025-12-22Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?NONO97✓ with
2025-12-22Will another app be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?YESYES97✓ with
2025-12-22Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 18?YESYES97✓ with
2025-12-22Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 3PM ETNONO97✓ with
2025-12-22Bryan College Lions vs. Samford BulldogsNONO97✓ with
2025-12-22Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 59°F or below on December 18?TOO EARLYearly?97ungraded
2025-12-22Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on December 18?TOO EARLYearly?97ungraded
2025-12-22Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on December 18?TOO EARLYearly?97ungraded
2025-12-14Will Adobe say "3D" during earnings call?YESYES103✓ with
2025-12-14Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 4AM ETYESYES103✓ with
2025-12-14Will Demis Hassabis be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Vladimir Putin be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Elon Musk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Jerome Powell be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will ChatGPT be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Xi Jinping be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Maggie Kang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Sundar Pichai be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Geoffrey Hinton be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Zohran Mamdani be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or higher on December 10?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on December 11?YESearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Giorgia Meloni be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Sam Altman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Ursula von der Leyen be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Mustafa Suleyman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Bad Bunny be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Dario Amodei be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Sanae Takaichi be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Ariana Grande be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Kendrick Lamar be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Christine Lagarde be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Shohei Ohtani be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will María Corina Machado be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Charlie Kirk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will JD Vance be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Javier Milei be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-14Will Benjamin Netanyahu be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-12-06Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?YESYES109✓ with
2025-12-04Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?YESYES109✓ with
2025-12-04Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?YESYES109✓ with
2025-12-04Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?YESYES109✓ with
2025-12-04Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?YESYES109✓ with
2025-12-04Mason Taylor: Anytime TouchdownNONO109✓ with
2025-12-04Over $10M committed to the Makina public sale?NONO109✓ with
2025-12-04Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?NONO109✓ with
2025-12-04Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?YESYES109✓ with
2025-12-04AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Manitoba MooseNOearly?109ungraded
2025-12-04Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?NOearly?109ungraded
2025-12-04Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?NOearly?109ungraded
2025-12-04Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?NOearly?109ungraded
2025-12-04Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?NOearly?109ungraded
2025-12-04Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2025-11-30?NOearly?109ungraded
2025-12-02Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?NONO109✓ with
2025-12-02Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?NONO109✓ with
2025-12-02Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?YESYES109✓ with
2025-12-02Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?YESYES109✓ with
2025-12-02Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?YESYES109✓ with
2025-12-02Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-8.5)YESYES109✓ with
2025-12-02Will Tesla reach $430 in Nov 25-28?YESYES109✓ with
2025-12-02Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-9.5)YESYES109✓ with
2025-12-02Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?NOearly?109ungraded
2025-12-02Will Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC win on 2025-11-29?TOO EARLYearly?109ungraded
2025-12-02Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?109ungraded
2025-12-02Derby County FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5TOO EARLYearly?109ungraded
2025-12-02Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?YESearly?109ungraded
2025-12-02Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?YESearly?109ungraded