| resolved | market | voted | outcome | weight | vs outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | US strikes Yemen by December 31? | NO | YES | 12 | ✗ against |
| 2026-01-05 | US strikes Yemen by December 31? | NO | YES | 12 | ✗ against |
| 2025-12-16 | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? | NO | YES | 13 | ✗ against |
| 2025-12-16 | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? | NO | YES | 13 | ✗ against |