voters / rap sheet
0x4dccf1fd9bcda76638e8d2cbfacacc5c8d01801d
uma dvm voter · ethereum mainnet etherscan →
votes revealed
166
graded
106
matched outcome
97
rate
91.5%
total weight
2k

voting history

correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth
resolvedmarketvoted outcomeweightvs outcome
2026-01-05Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?YESNO10✗ against
2026-01-05Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?NONO10✓ with
2026-01-05Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?YESNO10✗ against
2026-01-05US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?NONO10✓ with
2026-01-05Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?NONO10✓ with
2026-01-05Will Justin Bieber be on New Year's Rockin' Eve?YESNO10✗ against
2026-01-05US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?NONO10✓ with
2026-01-05US strikes Yemen by December 31?YESYES10✓ with
2026-01-05MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?NONO10✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?NONO10✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?NONO10✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?YESYES10✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?YESYES10✓ with
2026-01-05Ukraine strike in Russia on 25 November 2025?NONO10✓ with
2026-01-05US strikes Yemen by December 31?YESYES10✓ with
2026-01-05Will there be exactly four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2NONO10✓ with
2026-01-05MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?NONO10✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 2, 2026?YESYES10✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 2, 2026?YESYES10✓ with
2026-01-05Jon Stewart cancelled by December 31?NONO10✓ with
2026-01-05U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by December 31?YESearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?YESYES10✓ with
2026-01-05Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?YESYES10✓ with
2026-01-05Spread: Georgia (-6.5)YESearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Ole Miss vs. GeorgiaNOearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will Captain America: New World Order be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will Wicked: For Good be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?YESearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?YESearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Axiom daily fees above $5M in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2026-01-05Jon Stewart cancelled by December 31?NONO10✓ with
2025-12-26Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 22?NOYES10✗ against
2025-12-26Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 22?NOYES10✗ against
2025-12-26Will Leonard Gates win the PDC World Darts Championship?NONO10✓ with
2025-12-26Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?NOYES10✗ against
2025-12-26Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?NOYES10✗ against
2025-12-26TikTok sale announced by March 31?YESYES10✓ with
2025-12-26TikTok sale announced by March 31?YESYES10✓ with
2025-12-26Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Mousquetaires (BO3)YESYES10✓ with
2025-12-26Terance Mann: Assists Over 3.5YESYES10✓ with
2025-12-26Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 15-21 be between 17,750,000 and 18,00NONO10✓ with
2025-12-26TikTok sale announced in 2025?YESYES10✓ with
2025-12-26Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?YESYES10✓ with
2025-12-26Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?YESYES10✓ with
2025-12-26Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 26?YESYES10✓ with
2025-12-26Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 26?YESYES10✓ with
2025-12-26Will Drake release a new song in 2025?YESYES10✓ with
2025-12-26Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on December 22?NOearly?10ungraded
2025-12-26Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on December 22?YESearly?10ungraded
2025-12-26Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on December 21?NOearly?10ungraded
2025-12-26Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2025-12-26Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?TOO EARLYearly?10ungraded
2025-12-26Will Leonard Gates win the PDC World Darts Championship?NOearly?10ungraded
2025-12-06Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-06Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-06Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?NONO12✓ with
2025-12-06Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?NONO12✓ with
2025-12-06Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?NONO12✓ with
2025-12-06Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5NONO12✓ with
2025-12-06Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-06Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on December 2?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-06Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-06Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-06Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 2?YESearly?12ungraded
2025-12-06Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House press briefing?TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-12-04Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-04Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-04Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-04Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-04Mason Taylor: Anytime TouchdownNONO12✓ with
2025-12-04Over $10M committed to the Makina public sale?NONO12✓ with
2025-12-04Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?NONO12✓ with
2025-12-04Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-04AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Manitoba MooseNOearly?12ungraded
2025-12-04Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?NOearly?12ungraded
2025-12-04Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?NOearly?12ungraded
2025-12-04Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?NOearly?12ungraded
2025-12-04Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?NOearly?12ungraded
2025-12-04Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2025-11-30?NOearly?12ungraded
2025-12-02Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?NONO12✓ with
2025-12-02Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?NONO12✓ with
2025-12-02Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-02Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-02Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-02Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-8.5)YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-02Will Tesla reach $430 in Nov 25-28?YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-02Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-9.5)YESYES12✓ with
2025-12-02Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?NOearly?12ungraded
2025-12-02Will Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC win on 2025-11-29?TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-12-02Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-12-02Derby County FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-12-02Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?YESearly?12ungraded
2025-12-02Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?YESearly?12ungraded
2025-11-24Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in November 2025?TOO EARLYNO12✗ early
2025-11-24Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in November 2025?TOO EARLYNO12✗ early
2025-11-24Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-24Dota 2: Passion UA vs Runa Team (BO3)50/5050/5012✓ with
2025-11-24Dota 2: Passion UA vs Runa Team (BO3)50/5050/5012✓ with
2025-11-24Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-24Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-24Will Country 6 win Miss Universe 2025?NONO12✓ with
2025-11-24Will Country 1 win Miss Universe 2025?NONO12✓ with
2025-11-22Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-22Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-22Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-22Will at least 95 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-22Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?NONO12✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?NONO12✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?NONO12✓ with
2025-11-22FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Yi vs Erigaisi (Advances)YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?NONO12✓ with
2025-11-22Games Total: O/U 2.5NONO12✓ with
2025-11-22Games Total: O/U 2.5NONO12✓ with
2025-11-22Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs K27 (BO3)YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?NONO12✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 3 Pablo Picasso’s “Trois personnages” sell for 700k or more?YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-22Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED (BO3)YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-22George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Longwood Lancers (W)NONO12✓ with
2025-11-22Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-22Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs K27 (BO3)TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-11-22Games Total: O/U 2.5TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-11-22Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-11-12Will Le Havre AC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-12Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-08?NONO12✓ with
2025-11-12Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-08?NONO12✓ with
2025-11-12Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerYESYES12✓ with
2025-11-12Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-11-12Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-11-12Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-11-12Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-11-12Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-11-12Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-11-10Will Trump say "Eight wars" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-10Games Total: O/U 2.5NONO12✓ with
2025-11-10Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 6?NONO12✓ with
2025-11-10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?YESYES12✓ with
2025-11-10Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-11-10Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?TOO EARLYearly?12ungraded
2025-11-02Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?YESYES13✓ with
2025-11-02Will CD Atlético Tordesillas vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?YESYES13✓ with
2025-11-02Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?YESYES13✓ with
2025-11-02Will Burgos CF win on 2025-10-28?NONO13✓ with
2025-11-02Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on October 28?NONO13✓ with
2025-11-02Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?YESYES13✓ with
2025-11-02Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?YESYES13✓ with
2025-11-02Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?YESearly?13ungraded
2025-11-02Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?YESearly?13ungraded
2025-11-02Xi Jinping out in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?13ungraded
2025-11-02Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?TOO EARLYearly?13ungraded