voters / rap sheet
0x27f42e7aa2f4e8bd758c10db4bf0e7dcd23564cc
uma dvm voter · ethereum mainnet etherscan →
votes revealed
238
graded
132
matched outcome
126
rate
95.5%
total weight
223k

voting history

correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth
resolvedmarketvoted outcomeweightvs outcome
2026-01-11Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?YESYES883✓ with
2026-01-11Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?YESYES883✓ with
2026-01-11Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?YESYES883✓ with
2026-01-11Sasnovich vs. Samsonova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5NONO883✓ with
2026-01-11Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?YESYES883✓ with
2026-01-11Solana Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ETYESYES883✓ with
2026-01-11ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21YESYES883✓ with
2026-01-11Will Faustin-Archange Touadéra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential electioTOO EARLYearly?883ungraded
2026-01-11Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?TOO EARLYearly?883ungraded
2026-01-11Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?TOO EARLYearly?883ungraded
2026-01-11Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-07?TOO EARLYearly?883ungraded
2026-01-11Kraus vs. Jones: Total Sets O/U 2.5TOO EARLYearly?883ungraded
2026-01-09Games Total: O/U 2.5YESYES884✓ with
2026-01-09Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynoteNONO884✓ with
2026-01-09Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynoteNONO884✓ with
2026-01-09US stagflation in 2025?TOO EARLYNO884✗ early
2026-01-09US stagflation in 2025?TOO EARLYNO884✗ early
2026-01-09Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?YESYES884✓ with
2026-01-09Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5NONO884✓ with
2026-01-09ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21YESYES884✓ with
2026-01-09Will the New England Patriots finish with the best record in the NFL?YESYES884✓ with
2026-01-09Will the Denver Broncos finish with the best record in the NFL?NONO884✓ with
2026-01-09ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21YESYES884✓ with
2026-01-09Will Henri-Marie Dondra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?TOO EARLYearly?884ungraded
2026-01-09Will Faustin-Archange Touadéra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential electioTOO EARLYearly?884ungraded
2026-01-09ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21YESYES884✓ with
2026-01-09Will the SPX opening price on January 5 be between 6,721.30 and 6,789.89?TOO EARLYearly?884ungraded
2026-01-09Will the SPX opening price on January 5 be between 6,858.47 and 6,927.05?TOO EARLYearly?884ungraded
2026-01-09Will the SPX opening price on January 5 be less than 6,721.30?TOO EARLYearly?884ungraded
2026-01-09Games Total: O/U 2.5TOO EARLYearly?884ungraded
2026-01-09Games Total: O/U 2.5TOO EARLYearly?884ungraded
2026-01-07Dota 2: Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner50/5050/50881✓ with
2026-01-07Dota 2: Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner50/5050/50881✓ with
2026-01-07Will "Idiot" or "Dumb" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?NONO881✓ with
2026-01-07Will Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 29 - January 4)YESYES881✓ with
2026-01-07Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-04?YESYES881✓ with
2026-01-07Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?YESYES881✓ with
2026-01-07Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-07Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on January 3?TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-07Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on January 3?TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-07Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 70°F or higher on January 3?TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-07Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on January 3?TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-07Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on January 4?TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-07Erjavec vs. Costoulas: Match O/U 23.5TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-07Erjavec vs. Costoulas: Match O/U 22.5TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-07Erjavec vs. Costoulas: Match O/U 21.5TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-07Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-07Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-07US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-07US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-07Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on January 2?TOO EARLYearly?881ungraded
2026-01-05Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05Will Justin Bieber be on New Year's Rockin' Eve?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05US strikes Yemen by December 31?YESYES877✓ with
2026-01-05MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?YESYES877✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?YESYES877✓ with
2026-01-05Ukraine strike in Russia on 25 November 2025?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05US strikes Yemen by December 31?YESYES877✓ with
2026-01-05Will there be exactly four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 2, 2026?YESYES877✓ with
2026-01-05Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 2, 2026?YESYES877✓ with
2026-01-05Jon Stewart cancelled by December 31?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-05U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by December 31?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by December 31?TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-05Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?YESYES877✓ with
2026-01-05Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?YESYES877✓ with
2026-01-05Spread: Georgia (-6.5)TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Ole Miss vs. GeorgiaTOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will Captain America: New World Order be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will Wicked: For Good be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Axiom daily fees above $5M in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?TOO EARLYearly?877ungraded
2026-01-05Jon Stewart cancelled by December 31?NONO877✓ with
2026-01-03Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?YESYES858✓ with
2026-01-03Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?YESYES858✓ with
2026-01-03Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?YESYES858✓ with
2026-01-03Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?YESYES858✓ with
2026-01-03Will EdgeX launch a token in 2025?NOYES858✗ against
2026-01-03Will EdgeX launch a token in 2025?NOYES858✗ against
2026-01-03U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by December 31?NOYES858✗ against
2026-01-03Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?YESYES858✓ with
2026-01-03Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?YESYES858✓ with
2026-01-03Ryan Rollins: Rebounds Over 3.5NONO858✓ with
2026-01-03Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 31?NONO858✓ with
2026-01-03Will SZA release a new song in 2025?YESYES858✓ with
2026-01-03Will SZA release a new song in 2025?YESYES858✓ with
2026-01-03Chet Holmgren: Rebounds Over 9.5YESYES858✓ with
2026-01-03Chet Holmgren: Rebounds Over 9.5YESYES858✓ with
2026-01-03Kyle Kuzma: Assists Over 2.5NONO858✓ with
2026-01-03Cavaliers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-03Cavaliers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineTOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-03Cavaliers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-03Cavaliers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 117.5TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-031H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-031H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-03Will "Ford v. Ferrari" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-03Will "Pitch Perfect" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-03Will "Man on Fire" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-03Will "12 Years A Slave" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-03Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on December 30?TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-03Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 30?TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-03Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 30?TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2026-01-03Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on December 30?TOO EARLYearly?858ungraded
2025-12-06Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-06Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?TOO EARLYYES1k✗ early
2025-12-06ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-06ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-06Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?NONO1k✓ with
2025-12-06Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?NONO1k✓ with
2025-12-06Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?NONO1k✓ with
2025-12-06Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5NONO1k✓ with
2025-12-06Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-06UMIP-191 ASSERT_TRUTH2 new identifierYESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-06Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on December 2?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-06Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-06Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-06Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 2?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-12-06Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House press briefing?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-12-04Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-04Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-04Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-04Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-04Mason Taylor: Anytime TouchdownNONO1k✓ with
2025-12-04Over $10M committed to the Makina public sale?NONO1k✓ with
2025-12-04Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?NONO1k✓ with
2025-12-04Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-04AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Manitoba MooseTOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-12-04Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-12-04Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-12-04Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-12-04Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-12-04Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2025-11-30?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-12-02Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?NONO1k✓ with
2025-12-02Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?NONO1k✓ with
2025-12-02Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-02Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-02Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-02Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-8.5)YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-02Will Tesla reach $430 in Nov 25-28?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-02Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-9.5)YESYES1k✓ with
2025-12-02Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?NOearly?1kungraded
2025-12-02Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-12-02Will Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC win on 2025-11-29?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-12-02Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-12-02Derby County FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-12-02Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-12-02Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-30Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-30Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-30Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-30Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-30Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-11-27?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-28Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-28Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-28ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-28Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9AM ETYESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-28Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-28Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?NOearly?1kungraded
2025-11-28Will Alchemised (SenLinYu) win Readers’ Favorite Audiobook in the 2025 Goodreads Choice TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-28Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 236.5TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-28Will My Friends (Fredrik Backman) win Readers’ Favorite Audiobook in the 2025 Goodreads TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-26Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-26Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-23?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-26Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-26Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-26Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-26Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-26Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-26Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-26Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-26Will Franco Colapinto achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas GrandTOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-24Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in November 2025?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-24Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in November 2025?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-24Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-24Dota 2: Passion UA vs Runa Team (BO3)50/5050/501k✓ with
2025-11-24Dota 2: Passion UA vs Runa Team (BO3)50/5050/501k✓ with
2025-11-24Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-24Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-24Will Country 6 win Miss Universe 2025?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-24Will Country 1 win Miss Universe 2025?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-22Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-22Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-22Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-22Will at least 95 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-22Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-22FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Yi vs Erigaisi (Advances)YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-22Games Total: O/U 2.5NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-22Games Total: O/U 2.5NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-22Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs K27 (BO3)YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 3 Pablo Picasso’s “Trois personnages” sell for 700k or more?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-22Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED (BO3)YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-22George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Longwood Lancers (W)NONO1k✓ with
2025-11-22Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-22Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs K27 (BO3)TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-22Games Total: O/U 2.5TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-22Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-20MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 11-17?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-20Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?YESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-20Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 17?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 17?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-20Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-20Lee Jong-seop in jail by November 15?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-20Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-20Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 17?TOO EARLYearly?1kungraded
2025-11-18Solana Up or Down - November 13, 3PM ETYESYES1k✓ with
2025-11-18Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.5 on November 14 2025?YESYES1k✓ with