Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 2?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved YES 2025-11-06

voters

355

voted against

against share

0.8%

top wallet held

11.2%

total weight

22.7M

chain record #471

8ce9559ed87556da80c18c85bdcbf5c19a3135619e6ccd874925a8d6de7a115b

previous record

c1964fe3a780338107185c25f1f46bd290e3dacd9522363bf7390f5447d02d86

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1762102861:2bc34eea92333267

the judges

352 with · 3 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	YES	2.5M	11.2%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	YES	2.2M	9.5%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	YES	2.1M	9.4%	✓ with
4	0xd2a7..9f7f	YES	1.4M	6.3%	✓ with
5	0x95cd..29b8	NO	987k	4.4%	✗ against
6	0xfec2..04a5	YES	950k	4.2%	✓ with
7	0x05d1..f8c4	YES	925k	4.1%	✓ with
8	0x996d..aff1	YES	883k	3.9%	✓ with
9	0x0afc..0b38	YES	708k	3.1%	✓ with
10	0x487a..2538	YES	634k	2.8%	✓ with
11	0x6564..340c	YES	421k	1.9%	✓ with
12	0x8548..e67e	YES	397k	1.7%	✓ with
13	0x326c..4205	YES	387k	1.7%	✓ with
14	0xbd9e..baa7	YES	384k	1.7%	✓ with
15	0x66ca..225a	YES	353k	1.6%	✓ with
16	0xdb28..b80a	YES	299k	1.3%	✓ with
17	0x4863..e44f	YES	275k	1.2%	✓ with
18	0x20ec..56c0	YES	269k	1.2%	✓ with
19	0xb731..5790	YES	260k	1.1%	✓ with
20	0xf659..d48b	YES	251k	1.1%	✓ with
21	0x840b..946f	YES	241k	1.1%	✓ with
22	0x2bc1..a7e7	YES	236k	1.0%	✓ with
23	0xfe93..9c9d	YES	233k	1.0%	✓ with
24	0xf002..bfb2	YES	214k	0.9%	✓ with
25	0x6573..8efe	YES	204k	0.9%	✓ with
26	0x9928..8cee	YES	201k	0.9%	✓ with
27	0x0e5f..0049	YES	196k	0.9%	✓ with
28	0xbec3..0ff4	YES	194k	0.9%	✓ with
29	0x9e30..0d35	YES	189k	0.8%	✓ with
30	0x2d51..6f52	YES	183k	0.8%	✓ with
31	0x3504..ec2b	YES	179k	0.8%	✓ with
32	0x9b8f..ed2f	YES	153k	0.7%	✓ with
33	0x92d7..6fc6	YES	153k	0.7%	✓ with
34	0x89be..103a	YES	152k	0.7%	✓ with
35	0x1a0d..f351	YES	149k	0.7%	✓ with
36	0x30b2..be50	YES	134k	0.6%	✓ with
37	0xdf67..2de3	YES	134k	0.6%	✓ with
38	0x003a..0577	YES	131k	0.6%	✓ with
39	0xc12f..39ee	YES	125k	0.6%	✓ with
40	0x48f8..79be	YES	124k	0.5%	✓ with
41	0xf018..4069	YES	114k	0.5%	✓ with
42	0x5b7e..78a8	YES	112k	0.5%	✓ with
43	0x8b64..96ee	YES	103k	0.5%	✓ with
44	0x1c89..8a1b	YES	100k	0.4%	✓ with
45	0xed92..a7b0	YES	90k	0.4%	✓ with
46	0x53d0..d897	YES	89k	0.4%	✓ with
47	0x8d61..27bc	YES	88k	0.4%	✓ with
48	0xea3c..e38e	YES	86k	0.4%	✓ with
49	0x6391..194a	YES	85k	0.4%	✓ with
50	0x7baa..946a	YES	82k	0.4%	✓ with
51	0x69d0..a819	YES	72k	0.3%	✓ with
52	0x8425..d627	YES	71k	0.3%	✓ with
53	0xc9e8..8df5	YES	71k	0.3%	✓ with
54	0xd278..5a26	YES	66k	0.3%	✓ with
55	0x1515..490a	YES	61k	0.3%	✓ with
56	0x3542..3849	YES	60k	0.3%	✓ with
57	0x04b8..db57	YES	57k	0.3%	✓ with
58	0x18f7..9222	YES	55k	0.2%	✓ with
59	0xa9b0..c344	YES	55k	0.2%	✓ with
60	0xb738..9472	YES	53k	0.2%	✓ with
61	0x4431..9080	YES	50k	0.2%	✓ with
62	0xc065..f1e0	YES	46k	0.2%	✓ with
63	0xa4ef..a5ea	YES	38k	0.2%	✓ with
64	0xa7b9..87d0	YES	34k	0.1%	✓ with
65	0x126d..c78e	YES	30k	0.1%	✓ with
66	0x060b..81fa	YES	29k	0.1%	✓ with
67	0x7b51..f56b	YES	28k	0.1%	✓ with
68	0x69d0..586c	YES	27k	0.1%	✓ with
69	0xa2e5..27f4	YES	27k	0.1%	✓ with
70	0x47a4..368b	YES	27k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0xe6a5..6f2a	YES	26k	0.1%	✓ with
72	0xa61b..88a5	YES	26k	0.1%	✓ with
73	0xa119..d55d	YES	25k	0.1%	✓ with
74	0x566f..d9f0	YES	24k	0.1%	✓ with
75	0x4c0d..ff1d	YES	20k	0.1%	✓ with
76	0x17b7..673c	YES	19k	0.1%	✓ with
77	0x6e86..2587	YES	18k	0.1%	✓ with
78	0x3939..e4ce	YES	16k	0.1%	✓ with
79	0x336b..d88f	YES	15k	0.1%	✓ with
80	0xe748..9a11	YES	14k	0.1%	✓ with
81	0x2a6d..7e59	YES	14k	0.1%	✓ with
82	0x9497..f769	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
83	0x9b6f..4ced	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
84	0x122b..8aee	YES	11k	0.0%	✓ with
85	0xf99c..b760	YES	10k	0.0%	✓ with
86	0x4ddd..0cb2	YES	10k	0.0%	✓ with
87	0xe637..9483	YES	10k	0.0%	✓ with
88	0x465c..d022	YES	10k	0.0%	✓ with
89	0x110f..f6fd	YES	10k	0.0%	✓ with
90	0xea1e..4f9a	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
91	0xdb4d..bb4d	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
92	0x23bb..183b	YES	8k	0.0%	✓ with
93	0xd7e6..8b53	YES	8k	0.0%	✓ with
94	0xd17e..2b36	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
95	0x1a46..cbc4	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
96	0x8ce7..0337	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
97	0x09ea..73fd	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
98	0xa31c..6020	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
99	0x5d54..cc4b	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
100	0xaf72..0e60	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0x3944..6762	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x9baf..0a44	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
103	0xb483..28ab	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
104	0xc4eb..9946	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
105	0x1ab8..64f4	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
106	0x1cc9..397e	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
107	0x55e0..c952	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
108	0x6280..57bb	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
109	0xa2cf..d7aa	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
110	0xdf50..ffda	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0x519e..fb3b	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
112	0x2a82..c9d8	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
113	0xde3d..0c72	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
114	0x9860..1316	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
115	0xea8d..558a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
116	0xcb8c..9937	NO	2k	0.0%	✗ against
117	0x7f3b..4520	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
118	0x9247..6a81	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
119	0xde0a..75f5	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
120	0x4821..bdcf	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
121	0x28ec..1675	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
122	0x95af..26fc	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
123	0x08bb..2be1	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
124	0x7dba..f167	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
125	0x75a0..37c7	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
126	0x2ce9..9867	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
127	0x1c80..d09a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
128	0x449f..d1c7	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
129	0x2071..390a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
130	0xf8e9..6fe8	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
131	0x99bc..2fd9	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
132	0x48c7..0f91	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
133	0xa851..7438	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
134	0x0f44..60dc	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
135	0xd828..b58a	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
136	0x1dbb..92a2	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
137	0xbb1f..fba5	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
138	0xe3b0..1d12	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
139	0x87a7..c1b6	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
140	0x37c5..6545	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
141	0xc02d..c00e	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
142	0x49b3..bd78	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
143	0x2c3b..d6e6	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
144	0x27b0..14d2	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
145	0x0182..399e	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
146	0x0c62..876b	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
147	0xe35c..22a6	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
148	0xc0c1..c9d4	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
149	0x2352..0485	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
150	0xe08a..766b	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
151	0x1306..bc55	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
152	0x24eb..a05a	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
153	0x06aa..109c	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
154	0x8e5f..1e4a	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
155	0x0bb9..b81d	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
156	0x07e9..d4cc	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
157	0x0861..85e7	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
158	0x4876..0a9b	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
159	0xd273..e3c6	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
160	0x79f7..7958	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
161	0x9cf0..f4c8	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
162	0x63d4..959e	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
163	0x2f55..5866	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
164	0x4151..097c	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
165	0x7ca4..619c	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
166	0x1edb..ca66	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
167	0xbb68..3e3c	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
168	0xc0dc..9fb4	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
169	0x430c..2e5f	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
170	0x5060..8cb7	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
171	0x5dc0..6d39	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
172	0x92bd..20ea	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
173	0x4010..2528	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
174	0xca64..c51b	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
175	0x40bf..389b	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
176	0xec92..3c46	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
177	0xecf8..13cc	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
178	0xe240..4337	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
179	0x0449..5821	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
180	0x1b96..c1e1	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
181	0x9952..996e	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
182	0xccd9..946e	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
183	0x9258..798e	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
184	0xbd12..2611	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
185	0x2a1b..a08f	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
186	0x0f8a..0469	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
187	0x6b2b..69c5	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
188	0xa656..4433	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
189	0xe1ed..56cb	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
190	0xe281..e999	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
191	0x86cc..273d	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
192	0x9566..c1f3	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
193	0x590a..43f6	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
194	0xaafa..72df	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
195	0x6f19..7f70	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
196	0x6fc5..daf1	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
197	0x8b99..caa1	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
198	0x930c..a34d	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
199	0xab16..48f8	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
200	0xb93e..02fc	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
201	0x9a47..4246	YES	987	0.0%	✓ with
202	0x2745..8c3a	YES	969	0.0%	✓ with
203	0xc39c..a14d	YES	906	0.0%	✓ with
204	0x9f64..a7c4	YES	830	0.0%	✓ with
205	0x1fd9..0ec8	YES	829	0.0%	✓ with
206	0xe6b5..f1fd	YES	821	0.0%	✓ with
207	0x7595..8027	YES	705	0.0%	✓ with
208	0x5a7c..ee4c	YES	696	0.0%	✓ with
209	0x5c2e..d55e	YES	686	0.0%	✓ with
210	0x967b..1277	YES	683	0.0%	✓ with
211	0x0ab3..ea53	YES	676	0.0%	✓ with
212	0x5071..ad7b	YES	674	0.0%	✓ with
213	0x3e1b..523e	YES	640	0.0%	✓ with
214	0x0b5d..4832	YES	636	0.0%	✓ with
215	0x9fdb..0aea	YES	633	0.0%	✓ with
216	0x3abe..817d	YES	630	0.0%	✓ with
217	0x2b37..83dc	YES	625	0.0%	✓ with
218	0x5ebc..d55d	YES	624	0.0%	✓ with
219	0xe5e7..2f19	YES	621	0.0%	✓ with
220	0xc573..09c1	YES	620	0.0%	✓ with
221	0xf3e5..ab0a	YES	616	0.0%	✓ with
222	0xc0af..560d	YES	612	0.0%	✓ with
223	0x104d..e4e9	YES	609	0.0%	✓ with
224	0x16d1..597a	YES	607	0.0%	✓ with
225	0x6f09..c527	YES	604	0.0%	✓ with
226	0xb67a..6122	YES	602	0.0%	✓ with
227	0xacb4..dd18	YES	597	0.0%	✓ with
228	0xa8b8..b984	YES	596	0.0%	✓ with
229	0x0293..f77e	YES	592	0.0%	✓ with
230	0x36ce..5bc0	YES	590	0.0%	✓ with
231	0xc3ac..9d6b	YES	589	0.0%	✓ with
232	0xd8e4..9d15	YES	584	0.0%	✓ with
233	0x8e56..9e77	YES	582	0.0%	✓ with
234	0xaef6..7b7c	YES	581	0.0%	✓ with
235	0x7975..2c86	YES	579	0.0%	✓ with
236	0xa02b..d6eb	YES	578	0.0%	✓ with
237	0xcb4b..0caa	YES	578	0.0%	✓ with
238	0x2ea9..5377	YES	572	0.0%	✓ with
239	0x7643..594b	YES	571	0.0%	✓ with
240	0x9f9a..03be	YES	571	0.0%	✓ with
241	0x73cd..af4d	YES	568	0.0%	✓ with
242	0x349e..5168	YES	559	0.0%	✓ with
243	0x5784..a1ee	YES	558	0.0%	✓ with
244	0x8782..32db	YES	557	0.0%	✓ with
245	0xb538..8b0f	YES	556	0.0%	✓ with
246	0xfb04..110c	YES	553	0.0%	✓ with
247	0x1d46..9dee	YES	551	0.0%	✓ with
248	0x3785..cfae	YES	548	0.0%	✓ with
249	0x634a..0ebc	YES	547	0.0%	✓ with
250	0x340b..3740	YES	546	0.0%	✓ with
251	0x0215..3d40	YES	545	0.0%	✓ with
252	0x7c45..6af8	YES	544	0.0%	✓ with
253	0x5d21..36a5	YES	543	0.0%	✓ with
254	0x3745..650e	YES	542	0.0%	✓ with
255	0x57cb..0f3e	YES	541	0.0%	✓ with
256	0x858f..c13c	YES	541	0.0%	✓ with
257	0x0fb0..5be0	YES	541	0.0%	✓ with
258	0xa72f..dcbb	YES	538	0.0%	✓ with
259	0x73f2..92b5	YES	536	0.0%	✓ with
260	0x114d..3303	YES	535	0.0%	✓ with
261	0x5022..df9e	YES	535	0.0%	✓ with
262	0xe321..d544	YES	533	0.0%	✓ with
263	0xc590..d510	YES	533	0.0%	✓ with
264	0x2d29..b6a2	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
265	0xc4e7..b4d9	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
266	0xa1d2..ab8d	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
267	0x4913..d50a	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
268	0x0045..501d	YES	530	0.0%	✓ with
269	0x3b84..a587	YES	529	0.0%	✓ with
270	0x81b7..9330	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
271	0x5bc3..3942	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
272	0xfa8c..97f6	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
273	0xec2b..4e9c	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
274	0xabcc..f962	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
275	0xcd6d..e2e0	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
276	0xc46b..33f8	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
277	0xa7df..e1c6	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
278	0x3895..9f79	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
279	0xb4c9..9d09	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
280	0x3b59..4444	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
281	0x09a1..2913	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
282	0xd2ad..7dff	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
283	0xd1cd..6df1	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
284	0xf3c1..cf9c	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
285	0xdce3..1c15	YES	525	0.0%	✓ with
286	0xbb28..2cc0	YES	525	0.0%	✓ with
287	0xa463..d01c	YES	525	0.0%	✓ with
288	0x0d87..c085	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
289	0xc428..867c	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
290	0xfbe0..966b	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
291	0x3367..02c4	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
292	0x4241..f563	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
293	0xde72..82d9	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
294	0x630a..42f5	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
295	0x3b72..ad14	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
296	0x216b..d812	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
297	0x54d6..ae04	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
298	0x4289..9bdc	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
299	0xab0e..a340	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
300	0x8833..80fb	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
301	0xcfb3..400e	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
302	0x3bd0..2f8e	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
303	0xd8c3..30f6	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
304	0x1f12..f16e	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
305	0xa432..3011	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
306	0x3009..9adb	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
307	0x88f3..8e80	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
308	0xe7ff..6f47	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
309	0x6748..2d1b	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
310	0x26fd..ebf5	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
311	0x58cf..5ba9	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
312	0x2f96..e491	YES	518	0.0%	✓ with
313	0x6137..5467	YES	517	0.0%	✓ with
314	0x52b8..31f9	YES	517	0.0%	✓ with
315	0x4a37..3f7d	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
316	0xb870..13b1	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
317	0x935e..f97f	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
318	0xdb6d..a527	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
319	0x90da..1a73	YES	515	0.0%	✓ with
320	0x28cc..7c61	YES	515	0.0%	✓ with
321	0x4af8..cb7c	YES	515	0.0%	✓ with
322	0xac66..0ea9	YES	515	0.0%	✓ with
323	0x9cdf..4143	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
324	0x3f18..70b8	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
325	0xf0dc..fe78	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
326	0xa1df..f4a8	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
327	0xfd0b..2b5a	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
328	0x3c56..9b33	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
329	0x9a0e..9c56	YES	508	0.0%	✓ with
330	0xa6cf..4b68	YES	508	0.0%	✓ with
331	0xe545..1370	YES	507	0.0%	✓ with
332	0x3b9f..c44f	YES	506	0.0%	✓ with
333	0xe5cc..ab90	YES	505	0.0%	✓ with
334	0x35ac..ecac	YES	505	0.0%	✓ with
335	0x0dd9..64eb	YES	504	0.0%	✓ with
336	0x172d..46a9	YES	504	0.0%	✓ with
337	0xfc27..62a1	YES	503	0.0%	✓ with
338	0xc899..00d1	YES	501	0.0%	✓ with
339	0xccd9..cef6	YES	501	0.0%	✓ with
340	0x8cf3..4a1c	YES	157	0.0%	✓ with
341	0xf548..da63	YES	107	0.0%	✓ with
342	0xce4b..a9da	YES	99	0.0%	✓ with
343	0x7809..84ee	YES	90	0.0%	✓ with
344	0xc992..ad12	YES	49	0.0%	✓ with
345	0x6207..99fc	YES	20	0.0%	✓ with
346	0x6636..a1b8	YES	18	0.0%	✓ with
347	0x13de..6682	NO	17	0.0%	✗ against
348	0x2709..a93b	YES	15	0.0%	✓ with
349	0x2fec..c4e6	YES	12	0.0%	✓ with
350	0x96f4..f130	YES	12	0.0%	✓ with
351	0xaa30..6d7f	YES	12	0.0%	✓ with
352	0x69ae..1e0d	YES	11	0.0%	✓ with
353	0xfd88..1d13	YES	11	0.0%	✓ with
354	0x302a..96da	YES	5	0.0%	✓ with
355	0x7dae..9caa	YES	4	0.0%	✓ with