Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4PM ET

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved early? 2025-09-15

voters

248

voted against

against share

0.0%

top wallet held

11.1%

total weight

22.1M

chain record #274

edec3b13310476314f37d38a35d44d6f68a9df836fa98ff1e0b290b3241fd384

previous record

16cffa25271c10a4c6b121ca59f3ecc488f7ddad431e0ceee4cfbfaf6a3125dd

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1757624869:529c55a4d2b6b268

the judges

248 with · 0 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	TOO EARLY	2.5M	11.1%	ungraded
2	0x8e34..c97a	TOO EARLY	2.1M	9.5%	ungraded
3	0xc60a..fea0	TOO EARLY	2.1M	9.5%	ungraded
4	0xd2a7..9f7f	TOO EARLY	1.4M	6.4%	ungraded
5	0xfc20..1e1c	TOO EARLY	1.3M	6.0%	ungraded
6	0x95cd..29b8	TOO EARLY	963k	4.4%	ungraded
7	0xfec2..04a5	TOO EARLY	951k	4.3%	ungraded
8	0x05d1..f8c4	TOO EARLY	903k	4.1%	ungraded
9	0x996d..aff1	TOO EARLY	887k	4.0%	ungraded
10	0x0afc..0b38	TOO EARLY	677k	3.1%	ungraded
11	0x487a..2538	TOO EARLY	632k	2.9%	ungraded
12	0x6564..340c	TOO EARLY	418k	1.9%	ungraded
13	0x8548..e67e	TOO EARLY	388k	1.8%	ungraded
14	0xdb28..b80a	TOO EARLY	384k	1.7%	ungraded
15	0xbd9e..baa7	TOO EARLY	375k	1.7%	ungraded
16	0x326c..4205	TOO EARLY	369k	1.7%	ungraded
17	0x66ca..225a	TOO EARLY	337k	1.5%	ungraded
18	0x20ec..56c0	TOO EARLY	261k	1.2%	ungraded
19	0xb731..5790	TOO EARLY	249k	1.1%	ungraded
20	0xf659..d48b	TOO EARLY	245k	1.1%	ungraded
21	0x840b..946f	TOO EARLY	241k	1.1%	ungraded
22	0x2bc1..a7e7	TOO EARLY	230k	1.0%	ungraded
23	0xfe93..9c9d	TOO EARLY	223k	1.0%	ungraded
24	0xf002..bfb2	TOO EARLY	205k	0.9%	ungraded
25	0x6573..8efe	TOO EARLY	199k	0.9%	ungraded
26	0x9928..8cee	TOO EARLY	184k	0.8%	ungraded
27	0x9e30..0d35	TOO EARLY	183k	0.8%	ungraded
28	0x3504..ec2b	TOO EARLY	178k	0.8%	ungraded
29	0x2d51..6f52	TOO EARLY	174k	0.8%	ungraded
30	0x89be..103a	TOO EARLY	151k	0.7%	ungraded
31	0x92d7..6fc6	TOO EARLY	150k	0.7%	ungraded
32	0x1a0d..f351	TOO EARLY	143k	0.6%	ungraded
33	0x30b2..be50	TOO EARLY	128k	0.6%	ungraded
34	0xdf67..2de3	TOO EARLY	128k	0.6%	ungraded
35	0xc12f..39ee	TOO EARLY	126k	0.6%	ungraded
36	0x003a..0577	TOO EARLY	125k	0.6%	ungraded
37	0xf018..4069	TOO EARLY	115k	0.5%	ungraded
38	0x5b7e..78a8	TOO EARLY	107k	0.5%	ungraded
39	0x8b64..96ee	TOO EARLY	101k	0.5%	ungraded
40	0x53d0..d897	TOO EARLY	86k	0.4%	ungraded
41	0x65af..2482	TOO EARLY	86k	0.4%	ungraded
42	0x7baa..946a	TOO EARLY	79k	0.4%	ungraded
43	0x5c2e..d55e	TOO EARLY	73k	0.3%	ungraded
44	0xa0ff..3d3d	TOO EARLY	70k	0.3%	ungraded
45	0x69d0..a819	TOO EARLY	69k	0.3%	ungraded
46	0xd278..5a26	TOO EARLY	69k	0.3%	ungraded
47	0xc9e8..8df5	TOO EARLY	67k	0.3%	ungraded
48	0x1515..490a	TOO EARLY	59k	0.3%	ungraded
49	0xa9b0..c344	TOO EARLY	58k	0.3%	ungraded
50	0x18f7..9222	TOO EARLY	56k	0.3%	ungraded
51	0x4431..9080	TOO EARLY	53k	0.2%	ungraded
52	0xb738..9472	TOO EARLY	50k	0.2%	ungraded
53	0x9b8f..ed2f	TOO EARLY	45k	0.2%	ungraded
54	0xa4ef..a5ea	TOO EARLY	37k	0.2%	ungraded
55	0xa61b..88a5	TOO EARLY	34k	0.2%	ungraded
56	0xa7b9..87d0	TOO EARLY	32k	0.1%	ungraded
57	0x126d..c78e	TOO EARLY	30k	0.1%	ungraded
58	0x3d59..baa2	TOO EARLY	29k	0.1%	ungraded
59	0x060b..81fa	TOO EARLY	28k	0.1%	ungraded
60	0x7b51..f56b	TOO EARLY	27k	0.1%	ungraded
61	0xa2e5..27f4	TOO EARLY	26k	0.1%	ungraded
62	0x47a4..368b	TOO EARLY	25k	0.1%	ungraded
63	0xa119..d55d	TOO EARLY	25k	0.1%	ungraded
64	0x69d0..586c	TOO EARLY	25k	0.1%	ungraded
65	0x4c0d..ff1d	TOO EARLY	19k	0.1%	ungraded
66	0x6e86..2587	TOO EARLY	18k	0.1%	ungraded
67	0x3939..e4ce	TOO EARLY	15k	0.1%	ungraded
68	0x336b..d88f	TOO EARLY	15k	0.1%	ungraded
69	0x2a6d..7e59	TOO EARLY	14k	0.1%	ungraded
70	0xe748..9a11	TOO EARLY	13k	0.1%	ungraded
71	0x4f49..8da9	TOO EARLY	12k	0.1%	ungraded
72	0x9497..f769	TOO EARLY	11k	0.1%	ungraded
73	0x122b..8aee	TOO EARLY	11k	0.0%	ungraded
74	0x4ddd..0cb2	TOO EARLY	10k	0.0%	ungraded
75	0xe637..9483	TOO EARLY	10k	0.0%	ungraded
76	0x110f..f6fd	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
77	0x23bb..183b	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
78	0xea1e..4f9a	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
79	0xdb4d..bb4d	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
80	0xd7e6..8b53	TOO EARLY	8k	0.0%	ungraded
81	0x1ab8..64f4	TOO EARLY	7k	0.0%	ungraded
82	0x1a46..cbc4	TOO EARLY	7k	0.0%	ungraded
83	0x5a01..e9e0	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
84	0xcb8c..9937	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
85	0x09ea..73fd	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
86	0xa31c..6020	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
87	0x5d54..cc4b	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
88	0x9baf..0a44	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
89	0xb483..28ab	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
90	0x7e36..0c22	TOO EARLY	4k	0.0%	ungraded
91	0x465c..d022	TOO EARLY	4k	0.0%	ungraded
92	0xc4eb..9946	TOO EARLY	4k	0.0%	ungraded
93	0x1cc9..397e	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
94	0x55e0..c952	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
95	0x6280..57bb	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
96	0xdf50..ffda	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
97	0x2a82..c9d8	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
98	0x519e..fb3b	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
99	0xa2cf..d7aa	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
100	0x9860..1316	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
101	0x558c..4808	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
102	0xea8d..558a	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
103	0xde0a..75f5	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
104	0x18fe..3f3b	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
105	0x1c80..d09a	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
106	0x449f..d1c7	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
107	0x08bb..2be1	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
108	0xf8e9..6fe8	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
109	0x99bc..2fd9	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
110	0x48c7..0f91	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
111	0xa851..7438	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
112	0xbb1f..fba5	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
113	0xe3b0..1d12	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
114	0x2fbb..aefd	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
115	0x5870..b44c	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
116	0x49b3..bd78	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
117	0xdae5..746b	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
118	0x4846..e93c	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
119	0xd043..007e	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
120	0xf8c9..46cb	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
121	0x3800..e5fc	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
122	0xc56d..bb33	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
123	0x9b5d..877f	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
124	0x929c..f881	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
125	0x27b0..14d2	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
126	0xa65e..c3c6	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
127	0x00b6..22c7	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
128	0x4a19..c839	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
129	0x44c6..4df5	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
130	0xa363..0278	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
131	0x1306..bc55	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
132	0xa7a5..9c28	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
133	0x9a47..4246	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
134	0x574c..86d7	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
135	0xe86a..8132	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
136	0x467c..f6b9	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
137	0x62a1..8f01	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
138	0xf882..c333	TOO EARLY	963	0.0%	ungraded
139	0x9c1f..0c09	TOO EARLY	878	0.0%	ungraded
140	0xc39c..a14d	TOO EARLY	862	0.0%	ungraded
141	0x6fc5..daf1	TOO EARLY	828	0.0%	ungraded
142	0x1fd9..0ec8	TOO EARLY	789	0.0%	ungraded
143	0xe6b5..f1fd	TOO EARLY	775	0.0%	ungraded
144	0x2a1b..a08f	TOO EARLY	730	0.0%	ungraded
145	0x86cc..273d	TOO EARLY	721	0.0%	ungraded
146	0xaf1f..55e7	TOO EARLY	690	0.0%	ungraded
147	0x7595..8027	TOO EARLY	681	0.0%	ungraded
148	0x967b..1277	TOO EARLY	676	0.0%	ungraded
149	0x28ec..1675	TOO EARLY	673	0.0%	ungraded
150	0x3b9f..c44f	TOO EARLY	666	0.0%	ungraded
151	0x95af..26fc	TOO EARLY	665	0.0%	ungraded
152	0x5a7c..ee4c	TOO EARLY	662	0.0%	ungraded
153	0x5071..ad7b	TOO EARLY	652	0.0%	ungraded
154	0x0ab3..ea53	TOO EARLY	650	0.0%	ungraded
155	0x0b5d..4832	TOO EARLY	621	0.0%	ungraded
156	0x9fdb..0aea	TOO EARLY	612	0.0%	ungraded
157	0xc0af..560d	TOO EARLY	609	0.0%	ungraded
158	0x3e1b..523e	TOO EARLY	605	0.0%	ungraded
159	0x37c5..6545	TOO EARLY	602	0.0%	ungraded
160	0xf3e5..ab0a	TOO EARLY	601	0.0%	ungraded
161	0x2b37..83dc	TOO EARLY	601	0.0%	ungraded
162	0x5ebc..d55d	TOO EARLY	599	0.0%	ungraded
163	0x3abe..817d	TOO EARLY	596	0.0%	ungraded
164	0x0773..d139	TOO EARLY	592	0.0%	ungraded
165	0xc573..09c1	TOO EARLY	589	0.0%	ungraded
166	0xe5e7..2f19	TOO EARLY	589	0.0%	ungraded
167	0x16d1..597a	TOO EARLY	582	0.0%	ungraded
168	0x0293..f77e	TOO EARLY	577	0.0%	ungraded
169	0x104d..e4e9	TOO EARLY	573	0.0%	ungraded
170	0xa02b..d6eb	TOO EARLY	573	0.0%	ungraded
171	0x785c..2de9	TOO EARLY	570	0.0%	ungraded
172	0xb67a..6122	TOO EARLY	570	0.0%	ungraded
173	0xd8e4..9d15	TOO EARLY	569	0.0%	ungraded
174	0x87a7..c1b6	TOO EARLY	569	0.0%	ungraded
175	0x7643..594b	TOO EARLY	566	0.0%	ungraded
176	0xeb20..5dd3	TOO EARLY	566	0.0%	ungraded
177	0xacb4..dd18	TOO EARLY	562	0.0%	ungraded
178	0xa8b8..b984	TOO EARLY	562	0.0%	ungraded
179	0x36ce..5bc0	TOO EARLY	559	0.0%	ungraded
180	0x0f44..60dc	TOO EARLY	558	0.0%	ungraded
181	0x7975..2c86	TOO EARLY	557	0.0%	ungraded
182	0xd521..7329	TOO EARLY	555	0.0%	ungraded
183	0xc3ac..9d6b	TOO EARLY	554	0.0%	ungraded
184	0x4821..bdcf	TOO EARLY	550	0.0%	ungraded
185	0xfb04..110c	TOO EARLY	549	0.0%	ungraded
186	0xaef6..7b7c	TOO EARLY	547	0.0%	ungraded
187	0x1d46..9dee	TOO EARLY	547	0.0%	ungraded
188	0xcb4b..0caa	TOO EARLY	546	0.0%	ungraded
189	0x1b96..c1e1	TOO EARLY	546	0.0%	ungraded
190	0x0182..399e	TOO EARLY	545	0.0%	ungraded
191	0x349e..5168	TOO EARLY	545	0.0%	ungraded
192	0x5784..a1ee	TOO EARLY	544	0.0%	ungraded
193	0xb538..8b0f	TOO EARLY	544	0.0%	ungraded
194	0x8782..32db	TOO EARLY	543	0.0%	ungraded
195	0x340b..3740	TOO EARLY	541	0.0%	ungraded
196	0x6c87..ca76	TOO EARLY	539	0.0%	ungraded
197	0xda6d..c4b3	TOO EARLY	538	0.0%	ungraded
198	0x0fb0..5be0	TOO EARLY	537	0.0%	ungraded
199	0x9f9a..03be	TOO EARLY	537	0.0%	ungraded
200	0x73cd..af4d	TOO EARLY	536	0.0%	ungraded
201	0x90da..1a73	TOO EARLY	532	0.0%	ungraded
202	0x634a..0ebc	TOO EARLY	531	0.0%	ungraded
203	0x114d..3303	TOO EARLY	530	0.0%	ungraded
204	0xf0dc..fe78	TOO EARLY	530	0.0%	ungraded
205	0x2071..390a	TOO EARLY	530	0.0%	ungraded
206	0x5022..df9e	TOO EARLY	530	0.0%	ungraded
207	0x3745..650e	TOO EARLY	529	0.0%	ungraded
208	0x57cb..0f3e	TOO EARLY	528	0.0%	ungraded
209	0x4be8..0604	TOO EARLY	527	0.0%	ungraded
210	0x34d4..6ab2	TOO EARLY	527	0.0%	ungraded
211	0x8bc1..4230	TOO EARLY	526	0.0%	ungraded
212	0x0215..3d40	TOO EARLY	525	0.0%	ungraded
213	0xd2ad..7dff	TOO EARLY	522	0.0%	ungraded
214	0x8b99..ee24	TOO EARLY	521	0.0%	ungraded
215	0xe321..d544	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
216	0xf025..c7b1	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
217	0x2947..32a5	TOO EARLY	519	0.0%	ungraded
218	0xcfb3..400e	TOO EARLY	516	0.0%	ungraded
219	0x858f..c13c	TOO EARLY	514	0.0%	ungraded
220	0x3dd7..1345	TOO EARLY	513	0.0%	ungraded
221	0xccd9..cef6	TOO EARLY	511	0.0%	ungraded
222	0xa1df..f4a8	TOO EARLY	509	0.0%	ungraded
223	0x52b8..31f9	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
224	0xcd6d..e2e0	TOO EARLY	506	0.0%	ungraded
225	0x81b7..9330	TOO EARLY	506	0.0%	ungraded
226	0x935e..f97f	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
227	0xc46b..33f8	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
228	0x0045..501d	TOO EARLY	504	0.0%	ungraded
229	0xf548..da63	TOO EARLY	108	0.0%	ungraded
230	0x3815..78d9	TOO EARLY	54	0.0%	ungraded
231	0x3f3e..0919	TOO EARLY	50	0.0%	ungraded
232	0x1ce5..e6bb	TOO EARLY	30	0.0%	ungraded
233	0x2753..b0d3	TOO EARLY	28	0.0%	ungraded
234	0x1927..5cc4	TOO EARLY	26	0.0%	ungraded
235	0x4db7..3826	TOO EARLY	25	0.0%	ungraded
236	0x94b5..5a1a	TOO EARLY	24	0.0%	ungraded
237	0x6b20..991f	TOO EARLY	24	0.0%	ungraded
238	0x4125..6242	TOO EARLY	21	0.0%	ungraded
239	0x78ac..0494	TOO EARLY	21	0.0%	ungraded
240	0x68bc..6ba8	TOO EARLY	21	0.0%	ungraded
241	0x76c5..5f12	TOO EARLY	20	0.0%	ungraded
242	0x0c80..795b	TOO EARLY	20	0.0%	ungraded
243	0x1fed..54d0	TOO EARLY	17	0.0%	ungraded
244	0x9c0b..f4e6	TOO EARLY	16	0.0%	ungraded
245	0x1137..3e49	TOO EARLY	14	0.0%	ungraded
246	0x1c97..2108	TOO EARLY	14	0.0%	ungraded
247	0xb76e..4ab9	TOO EARLY	11	0.0%	ungraded
248	0x7c61..0cf5	TOO EARLY	1	0.0%	ungraded