Will Tesla launch a driverless Robtotaxi service in 2025?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved YES 2025-09-11

voters

339

voted against

against share

0.6%

top wallet held

10.8%

total weight

22.7M

chain record #263

a375ebbf83fb54954d5c14c153ef8b332398a20181e18e52a07ab86f694c33e4

previous record

d1266cbde2253e61748c30b2b0a4dd9c05c75a1777ae01687080842270a848ff

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1757207558:ea4128bfd572a101

the judges

337 with · 2 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	YES	2.5M	10.8%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	YES	2.1M	9.3%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	YES	2.1M	9.2%	✓ with
4	0xd2a7..9f7f	YES	1.4M	6.2%	✓ with
5	0xfc20..1e1c	YES	1.3M	5.8%	✓ with
6	0x95cd..29b8	YES	962k	4.2%	✓ with
7	0xfec2..04a5	YES	950k	4.2%	✓ with
8	0x05d1..f8c4	YES	903k	4.0%	✓ with
9	0x996d..aff1	YES	886k	3.9%	✓ with
10	0x0afc..0b38	YES	676k	3.0%	✓ with
11	0x487a..2538	YES	631k	2.8%	✓ with
12	0x6564..340c	YES	418k	1.8%	✓ with
13	0x8548..e67e	YES	387k	1.7%	✓ with
14	0xdb28..b80a	YES	385k	1.7%	✓ with
15	0xbd9e..baa7	YES	375k	1.6%	✓ with
16	0x326c..4205	YES	367k	1.6%	✓ with
17	0x66ca..225a	YES	336k	1.5%	✓ with
18	0x9b8f..ed2f	YES	295k	1.3%	✓ with
19	0x4863..e44f	YES	268k	1.2%	✓ with
20	0x20ec..56c0	YES	261k	1.1%	✓ with
21	0xb731..5790	YES	248k	1.1%	✓ with
22	0xf659..d48b	YES	245k	1.1%	✓ with
23	0x840b..946f	YES	241k	1.1%	✓ with
24	0x2bc1..a7e7	YES	230k	1.0%	✓ with
25	0xfe93..9c9d	YES	223k	1.0%	✓ with
26	0xf002..bfb2	YES	205k	0.9%	✓ with
27	0x6573..8efe	YES	199k	0.9%	✓ with
28	0x9928..8cee	YES	184k	0.8%	✓ with
29	0x9e30..0d35	YES	183k	0.8%	✓ with
30	0x3504..ec2b	YES	178k	0.8%	✓ with
31	0x2d51..6f52	YES	173k	0.8%	✓ with
32	0x89be..103a	YES	151k	0.7%	✓ with
33	0x92d7..6fc6	YES	150k	0.7%	✓ with
34	0x1a0d..f351	YES	142k	0.6%	✓ with
35	0x30b2..be50	YES	128k	0.6%	✓ with
36	0xdf67..2de3	YES	127k	0.6%	✓ with
37	0x003a..0577	YES	123k	0.5%	✓ with
38	0xf018..4069	YES	115k	0.5%	✓ with
39	0x5b7e..78a8	YES	107k	0.5%	✓ with
40	0x8b64..96ee	YES	101k	0.4%	✓ with
41	0x8d61..27bc	YES	91k	0.4%	✓ with
42	0x6391..194a	YES	88k	0.4%	✓ with
43	0x53d0..d897	YES	86k	0.4%	✓ with
44	0x65af..2482	YES	86k	0.4%	✓ with
45	0x7baa..946a	YES	79k	0.3%	✓ with
46	0x5c2e..d55e	YES	72k	0.3%	✓ with
47	0xa0ff..3d3d	YES	70k	0.3%	✓ with
48	0x69d0..a819	YES	69k	0.3%	✓ with
49	0xd278..5a26	YES	69k	0.3%	✓ with
50	0xc9e8..8df5	YES	67k	0.3%	✓ with
51	0xd4c1..6e2e	YES	60k	0.3%	✓ with
52	0x1515..490a	YES	59k	0.3%	✓ with
53	0xa9b0..c344	YES	58k	0.3%	✓ with
54	0x4431..9080	YES	51k	0.2%	✓ with
55	0xb738..9472	YES	50k	0.2%	✓ with
56	0xa4ef..a5ea	YES	37k	0.2%	✓ with
57	0xa61b..88a5	YES	34k	0.1%	✓ with
58	0xa7b9..87d0	YES	32k	0.1%	✓ with
59	0x126d..c78e	YES	30k	0.1%	✓ with
60	0x3d59..baa2	YES	29k	0.1%	✓ with
61	0x1921..efa9	YES	29k	0.1%	✓ with
62	0x060b..81fa	YES	28k	0.1%	✓ with
63	0x7b51..f56b	YES	27k	0.1%	✓ with
64	0xa2e5..27f4	YES	26k	0.1%	✓ with
65	0x47a4..368b	YES	25k	0.1%	✓ with
66	0xa119..d55d	YES	25k	0.1%	✓ with
67	0x69d0..586c	YES	25k	0.1%	✓ with
68	0x4c0d..ff1d	YES	19k	0.1%	✓ with
69	0x3939..e4ce	YES	15k	0.1%	✓ with
70	0x336b..d88f	YES	15k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0xe748..9a11	YES	13k	0.1%	✓ with
72	0x4f49..8da9	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
73	0x9b6f..4ced	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
74	0x9497..f769	YES	11k	0.0%	✓ with
75	0x122b..8aee	YES	11k	0.0%	✓ with
76	0x4ddd..0cb2	YES	10k	0.0%	✓ with
77	0xe637..9483	YES	10k	0.0%	✓ with
78	0x110f..f6fd	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
79	0x23bb..183b	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
80	0xea1e..4f9a	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
81	0xdb4d..bb4d	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
82	0xc5af..a671	YES	8k	0.0%	✓ with
83	0xd7e6..8b53	YES	8k	0.0%	✓ with
84	0x8ce7..0337	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
85	0x1a46..cbc4	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
86	0xcb8c..9937	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
87	0x09ea..73fd	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
88	0xa31c..6020	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
89	0x5d54..cc4b	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
90	0x9baf..0a44	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
91	0xb483..28ab	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
92	0x7e36..0c22	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
93	0x465c..d022	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
94	0xc4eb..9946	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
95	0x6e86..2587	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
96	0xf445..376e	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
97	0x1cc9..397e	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
98	0x55e0..c952	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
99	0x6280..57bb	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
100	0xdf50..ffda	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0x2a82..c9d8	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x519e..fb3b	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
103	0xa2cf..d7aa	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
104	0x9860..1316	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
105	0x558c..4808	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
106	0xea8d..558a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
107	0xde0a..75f5	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
108	0x18fe..3f3b	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
109	0x1c80..d09a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
110	0x449f..d1c7	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0x08bb..2be1	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
112	0xf8e9..6fe8	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
113	0x99bc..2fd9	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
114	0x48c7..0f91	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
115	0xa851..7438	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
116	0xbb1f..fba5	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
117	0xe3b0..1d12	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
118	0x2fbb..aefd	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
119	0x5870..b44c	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
120	0x49b3..bd78	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
121	0xdae5..746b	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
122	0x4846..e93c	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
123	0xd043..007e	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
124	0xf8c9..46cb	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
125	0x3800..e5fc	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
126	0xc56d..bb33	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
127	0x9b5d..877f	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
128	0x929c..f881	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
129	0x27b0..14d2	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
130	0xa65e..c3c6	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
131	0x00b6..22c7	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
132	0x4a19..c839	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
133	0x44c6..4df5	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
134	0xa363..0278	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
135	0x1306..bc55	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
136	0xa7a5..9c28	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
137	0x9a47..4246	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
138	0x574c..86d7	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
139	0xe86a..8132	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
140	0x467c..f6b9	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
141	0x62a1..8f01	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
142	0xf882..c333	YES	962	0.0%	✓ with
143	0x9c1f..0c09	YES	877	0.0%	✓ with
144	0xc39c..a14d	YES	862	0.0%	✓ with
145	0x6fc5..daf1	YES	827	0.0%	✓ with
146	0x1fd9..0ec8	YES	789	0.0%	✓ with
147	0xe6b5..f1fd	YES	775	0.0%	✓ with
148	0x2a1b..a08f	YES	730	0.0%	✓ with
149	0x86cc..273d	YES	720	0.0%	✓ with
150	0x2723..bc10	YES	689	0.0%	✓ with
151	0x7595..8027	YES	681	0.0%	✓ with
152	0x28ec..1675	YES	678	0.0%	✓ with
153	0x967b..1277	YES	676	0.0%	✓ with
154	0x95af..26fc	YES	670	0.0%	✓ with
155	0x3b9f..c44f	YES	665	0.0%	✓ with
156	0x5a7c..ee4c	YES	662	0.0%	✓ with
157	0x0ab3..ea53	YES	650	0.0%	✓ with
158	0x5071..ad7b	YES	643	0.0%	✓ with
159	0x0b5d..4832	YES	620	0.0%	✓ with
160	0x9fdb..0aea	YES	612	0.0%	✓ with
161	0xc0af..560d	YES	608	0.0%	✓ with
162	0x3e1b..523e	YES	604	0.0%	✓ with
163	0x37c5..6545	YES	602	0.0%	✓ with
164	0xf3e5..ab0a	YES	601	0.0%	✓ with
165	0x2b37..83dc	YES	600	0.0%	✓ with
166	0x5ebc..d55d	YES	599	0.0%	✓ with
167	0x0773..d139	YES	596	0.0%	✓ with
168	0x3abe..817d	YES	595	0.0%	✓ with
169	0xc573..09c1	YES	589	0.0%	✓ with
170	0xe5e7..2f19	YES	588	0.0%	✓ with
171	0x16d1..597a	YES	582	0.0%	✓ with
172	0x5e19..0c0c	YES	577	0.0%	✓ with
173	0x0293..f77e	YES	577	0.0%	✓ with
174	0x104d..e4e9	YES	573	0.0%	✓ with
175	0xa02b..d6eb	YES	572	0.0%	✓ with
176	0x24eb..a05a	YES	572	0.0%	✓ with
177	0x785c..2de9	YES	571	0.0%	✓ with
178	0xb67a..6122	YES	569	0.0%	✓ with
179	0xd8e4..9d15	YES	569	0.0%	✓ with
180	0x87a7..c1b6	YES	568	0.0%	✓ with
181	0x7643..594b	YES	566	0.0%	✓ with
182	0xeb20..5dd3	YES	563	0.0%	✓ with
183	0xacb4..dd18	YES	562	0.0%	✓ with
184	0xa8b8..b984	YES	561	0.0%	✓ with
185	0x36ce..5bc0	YES	558	0.0%	✓ with
186	0x0f44..60dc	YES	557	0.0%	✓ with
187	0x7975..2c86	YES	556	0.0%	✓ with
188	0xd521..7329	YES	555	0.0%	✓ with
189	0xc3ac..9d6b	YES	554	0.0%	✓ with
190	0x8e56..9e77	YES	551	0.0%	✓ with
191	0x4821..bdcf	YES	549	0.0%	✓ with
192	0xfb04..110c	YES	548	0.0%	✓ with
193	0xaef6..7b7c	YES	546	0.0%	✓ with
194	0x1d46..9dee	YES	546	0.0%	✓ with
195	0xcb4b..0caa	YES	545	0.0%	✓ with
196	0x1b96..c1e1	YES	545	0.0%	✓ with
197	0x0182..399e	YES	545	0.0%	✓ with
198	0x349e..5168	YES	545	0.0%	✓ with
199	0x5784..a1ee	YES	544	0.0%	✓ with
200	0x7c45..6af8	YES	544	0.0%	✓ with
201	0x8782..32db	YES	543	0.0%	✓ with
202	0x340b..3740	YES	541	0.0%	✓ with
203	0xda6d..c4b3	YES	537	0.0%	✓ with
204	0x0fb0..5be0	YES	536	0.0%	✓ with
205	0x9f9a..03be	YES	536	0.0%	✓ with
206	0x5d21..36a5	YES	535	0.0%	✓ with
207	0x73cd..af4d	YES	535	0.0%	✓ with
208	0x6c87..ca76	YES	534	0.0%	✓ with
209	0x90da..1a73	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
210	0x634a..0ebc	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
211	0xf0dc..fe78	YES	530	0.0%	✓ with
212	0x114d..3303	YES	530	0.0%	✓ with
213	0x2071..390a	YES	530	0.0%	✓ with
214	0x5022..df9e	YES	529	0.0%	✓ with
215	0x3745..650e	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
216	0x57cb..0f3e	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
217	0x34d4..6ab2	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
218	0x4be8..0604	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
219	0x8e5f..1e4a	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
220	0x0bb9..b81d	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
221	0x8bc1..4230	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
222	0x590a..43f6	YES	525	0.0%	✓ with
223	0x4876..0a9b	YES	525	0.0%	✓ with
224	0x0215..3d40	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
225	0x430c..2e5f	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
226	0xc4e7..b4d9	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
227	0xc590..d510	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
228	0x4151..097c	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
229	0xd273..e3c6	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
230	0xcfb3..400e	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
231	0x3b84..a587	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
232	0x4913..d50a	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
233	0x9cf0..f4c8	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
234	0xd2ad..7dff	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
235	0x2f55..5866	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
236	0x8b99..ee24	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
237	0x7ca4..619c	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
238	0x1edb..ca66	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
239	0xca64..c51b	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
240	0xe321..d544	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
241	0x63d4..959e	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
242	0x5bc3..3942	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
243	0xfa8c..97f6	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
244	0xec2b..4e9c	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
245	0xc0dc..9fb4	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
246	0x3895..9f79	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
247	0xf025..c7b1	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
248	0xb4c9..9d09	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
249	0x3b59..4444	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
250	0x09a1..2913	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
251	0x2947..32a5	YES	518	0.0%	✓ with
252	0xd1cd..6df1	YES	518	0.0%	✓ with
253	0x4010..2528	YES	517	0.0%	✓ with
254	0x5060..8cb7	YES	517	0.0%	✓ with
255	0xf3c1..cf9c	YES	517	0.0%	✓ with
256	0xa463..d01c	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
257	0x1f12..f16e	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
258	0x40bf..389b	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
259	0xbb68..3e3c	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
260	0x28cc..7c61	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
261	0xc428..867c	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
262	0x4241..f563	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
263	0xde72..82d9	YES	515	0.0%	✓ with
264	0x630a..42f5	YES	515	0.0%	✓ with
265	0x3367..02c4	YES	515	0.0%	✓ with
266	0x92bd..20ea	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
267	0x54d6..ae04	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
268	0x858f..c13c	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
269	0xab0e..a340	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
270	0xd8c3..30f6	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
271	0x3bd0..2f8e	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
272	0x216b..d812	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
273	0x3dd7..1345	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
274	0xe7ff..6f47	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
275	0x6748..2d1b	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
276	0x4289..9bdc	YES	512	0.0%	✓ with
277	0x26fd..ebf5	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
278	0x58cf..5ba9	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
279	0xccd9..cef6	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
280	0x2f96..e491	YES	510	0.0%	✓ with
281	0x6137..5467	YES	510	0.0%	✓ with
282	0xdb6d..a527	YES	509	0.0%	✓ with
283	0xa1df..f4a8	YES	508	0.0%	✓ with
284	0x4af8..cb7c	YES	507	0.0%	✓ with
285	0xcd6d..e2e0	YES	505	0.0%	✓ with
286	0x81b7..9330	YES	505	0.0%	✓ with
287	0x935e..f97f	YES	505	0.0%	✓ with
288	0x0045..501d	YES	504	0.0%	✓ with
289	0x72de..9d8b	YES	109	0.0%	✓ with
290	0x3815..78d9	YES	54	0.0%	✓ with
291	0x1ce5..e6bb	YES	30	0.0%	✓ with
292	0x2753..b0d3	YES	28	0.0%	✓ with
293	0xc2ff..b2d3	YES	25	0.0%	✓ with
294	0x4db7..3826	YES	25	0.0%	✓ with
295	0x6b20..991f	YES	24	0.0%	✓ with
296	0x6207..99fc	YES	23	0.0%	✓ with
297	0x8742..6185	YES	22	0.0%	✓ with
298	0x68bc..6ba8	TOO EARLY	21	0.0%	✗ early
299	0x3e6e..1010	YES	21	0.0%	✓ with
300	0x78ac..0494	YES	21	0.0%	✓ with
301	0x76c5..5f12	YES	20	0.0%	✓ with
302	0x1fc7..05cb	YES	19	0.0%	✓ with
303	0xd2fb..24a3	YES	18	0.0%	✓ with
304	0x9c0b..f4e6	YES	16	0.0%	✓ with
305	0xe3dd..489c	YES	15	0.0%	✓ with
306	0x2fec..c4e6	YES	14	0.0%	✓ with
307	0x1c97..2108	YES	14	0.0%	✓ with
308	0xf745..70a3	YES	13	0.0%	✓ with
309	0xc607..c1ca	YES	11	0.0%	✓ with
310	0x35a6..25d6	YES	11	0.0%	✓ with
311	0xb76e..4ab9	YES	11	0.0%	✓ with
312	0xf49d..9507	YES	11	0.0%	✓ with
313	0xc309..ace1	YES	11	0.0%	✓ with
314	0x9446..b3b1	YES	10	0.0%	✓ with
315	0x3378..db4f	YES	10	0.0%	✓ with
316	0xe847..67b1	YES	10	0.0%	✓ with
317	0x4528..2c8e	YES	10	0.0%	✓ with
318	0x4fa4..218f	YES	2	0.0%	✓ with
319	0xce63..4d13	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
320	0xdd56..6486	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
321	0x99f0..fec2	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
322	0x5782..4cdd	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
323	0xf978..7518	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
324	0xed26..c291	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
325	0xc2c6..be20	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
326	0x7b14..3aa4	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
327	0xce1d..eb1c	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
328	0x2e2f..54d0	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
329	0x3fd8..25f0	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
330	0x0877..1673	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
331	0xe981..b833	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
332	0xf66c..2425	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
333	0xf8a6..0f80	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
334	0x0b9a..c3e9	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
335	0x70ac..ffe0	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
336	0xfe93..dbdc	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
337	0x3a88..8c44	YES	1	0.0%	✓ with
338	0x7c61..0cf5	TOO EARLY	1	0.0%	✗ early
339	0xf6c9..c02c	YES	0	0.0%	✓ with