Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on July 11?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved early? 2025-07-15

voters

291

voted against

against share

0.0%

top wallet held

10.5%

total weight

22.4M

chain record #52

29b0813982b1709ae587b9db47bcf3480346a21ee63ee23b119b6e19f7027c6d

previous record

3a7d4cae426d8ef22b32c5b3cee516f8288effa8efa6dad0a1ba9f0ac8ae00d6

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1752253710:78cbff5d4c944170

the judges

291 with · 0 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	TOO EARLY	2.3M	10.5%	ungraded
2	0x8e34..c97a	TOO EARLY	2.0M	9.0%	ungraded
3	0xc60a..fea0	TOO EARLY	2.0M	8.9%	ungraded
4	0xfc20..1e1c	TOO EARLY	1.5M	6.7%	ungraded
5	0xd2a7..9f7f	TOO EARLY	1.4M	6.2%	ungraded
6	0x95cd..29b8	TOO EARLY	954k	4.3%	ungraded
7	0xfec2..04a5	TOO EARLY	938k	4.2%	ungraded
8	0x05d1..f8c4	TOO EARLY	901k	4.0%	ungraded
9	0x0afc..0b38	TOO EARLY	648k	2.9%	ungraded
10	0x487a..2538	TOO EARLY	610k	2.7%	ungraded
11	0x6564..340c	TOO EARLY	418k	1.9%	ungraded
12	0x2488..7238	TOO EARLY	410k	1.8%	ungraded
13	0xdb28..b80a	TOO EARLY	394k	1.8%	ungraded
14	0x8548..e67e	TOO EARLY	371k	1.7%	ungraded
15	0xbd4b..287d	TOO EARLY	367k	1.6%	ungraded
16	0xbd9e..baa7	TOO EARLY	356k	1.6%	ungraded
17	0x326c..4205	TOO EARLY	353k	1.6%	ungraded
18	0x66ca..225a	TOO EARLY	323k	1.4%	ungraded
19	0x9b8f..ed2f	TOO EARLY	290k	1.3%	ungraded
20	0x4863..e44f	TOO EARLY	264k	1.2%	ungraded
21	0x20ec..56c0	TOO EARLY	261k	1.2%	ungraded
22	0xfe93..9c9d	TOO EARLY	257k	1.1%	ungraded
23	0xb731..5790	TOO EARLY	240k	1.1%	ungraded
24	0x840b..946f	TOO EARLY	238k	1.1%	ungraded
25	0xf659..d48b	TOO EARLY	233k	1.0%	ungraded
26	0xdc86..821a	TOO EARLY	226k	1.0%	ungraded
27	0x6c31..7d98	TOO EARLY	217k	1.0%	ungraded
28	0x2bc1..a7e7	TOO EARLY	217k	1.0%	ungraded
29	0xf002..bfb2	TOO EARLY	196k	0.9%	ungraded
30	0x6573..8efe	TOO EARLY	195k	0.9%	ungraded
31	0x2d51..6f52	TOO EARLY	167k	0.7%	ungraded
32	0xb738..9472	TOO EARLY	161k	0.7%	ungraded
33	0xfee5..5d78	TOO EARLY	155k	0.7%	ungraded
34	0x89be..103a	TOO EARLY	147k	0.7%	ungraded
35	0x92d7..6fc6	TOO EARLY	144k	0.6%	ungraded
36	0x1a0d..f351	TOO EARLY	135k	0.6%	ungraded
37	0x30b2..be50	TOO EARLY	124k	0.6%	ungraded
38	0xdf67..2de3	TOO EARLY	122k	0.5%	ungraded
39	0x003a..0577	TOO EARLY	119k	0.5%	ungraded
40	0xf018..4069	TOO EARLY	112k	0.5%	ungraded
41	0x5b7e..78a8	TOO EARLY	103k	0.5%	ungraded
42	0x8b64..96ee	TOO EARLY	96k	0.4%	ungraded
43	0x53d0..d897	TOO EARLY	83k	0.4%	ungraded
44	0x65af..2482	TOO EARLY	83k	0.4%	ungraded
45	0xd4c1..6e2e	TOO EARLY	80k	0.4%	ungraded
46	0x7baa..946a	TOO EARLY	76k	0.3%	ungraded
47	0xa9b0..c344	TOO EARLY	75k	0.3%	ungraded
48	0xd431..e9d9	TOO EARLY	75k	0.3%	ungraded
49	0x89f9..2a45	TOO EARLY	73k	0.3%	ungraded
50	0x69d0..a819	TOO EARLY	70k	0.3%	ungraded
51	0x5c2e..d55e	TOO EARLY	69k	0.3%	ungraded
52	0x04b8..db57	TOO EARLY	62k	0.3%	ungraded
53	0xc337..0459	TOO EARLY	60k	0.3%	ungraded
54	0x1515..490a	TOO EARLY	56k	0.3%	ungraded
55	0x4431..9080	TOO EARLY	54k	0.2%	ungraded
56	0xd9f9..7598	TOO EARLY	50k	0.2%	ungraded
57	0x403d..4490	TOO EARLY	40k	0.2%	ungraded
58	0xa4ef..a5ea	TOO EARLY	36k	0.2%	ungraded
59	0xa61b..88a5	TOO EARLY	33k	0.1%	ungraded
60	0xa7b9..87d0	TOO EARLY	31k	0.1%	ungraded
61	0x126d..c78e	TOO EARLY	29k	0.1%	ungraded
62	0xab0c..8b3b	TOO EARLY	28k	0.1%	ungraded
63	0x1921..efa9	TOO EARLY	28k	0.1%	ungraded
64	0xa2e5..27f4	TOO EARLY	28k	0.1%	ungraded
65	0x566f..d9f0	TOO EARLY	27k	0.1%	ungraded
66	0x7b51..f56b	TOO EARLY	26k	0.1%	ungraded
67	0x47a4..368b	TOO EARLY	25k	0.1%	ungraded
68	0x69d0..586c	TOO EARLY	22k	0.1%	ungraded
69	0x74e4..9053	TOO EARLY	22k	0.1%	ungraded
70	0x4c0d..ff1d	TOO EARLY	18k	0.1%	ungraded
71	0x1ab8..64f4	TOO EARLY	16k	0.1%	ungraded
72	0x336b..d88f	TOO EARLY	15k	0.1%	ungraded
73	0x2a6d..7e59	TOO EARLY	13k	0.1%	ungraded
74	0x9b6f..4ced	TOO EARLY	12k	0.1%	ungraded
75	0x4f49..8da9	TOO EARLY	11k	0.0%	ungraded
76	0x9497..f769	TOO EARLY	11k	0.0%	ungraded
77	0xe748..9a11	TOO EARLY	11k	0.0%	ungraded
78	0x4ddd..0cb2	TOO EARLY	10k	0.0%	ungraded
79	0x196f..7ff6	TOO EARLY	10k	0.0%	ungraded
80	0xe637..9483	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
81	0xd17e..2b36	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
82	0x465c..d022	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
83	0x110f..f6fd	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
84	0x9928..8cee	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
85	0xdb4d..bb4d	TOO EARLY	8k	0.0%	ungraded
86	0x3939..e4ce	TOO EARLY	7k	0.0%	ungraded
87	0x1a46..cbc4	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
88	0xcb8c..9937	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
89	0x37c5..6545	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
90	0x8c48..b938	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
91	0xea1e..4f9a	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
92	0x5d54..cc4b	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
93	0xa31c..6020	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
94	0x9baf..0a44	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
95	0xb483..28ab	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
96	0x7e36..0c22	TOO EARLY	4k	0.0%	ungraded
97	0xc4eb..9946	TOO EARLY	4k	0.0%	ungraded
98	0x1cc9..397e	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
99	0xdf50..ffda	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
100	0x2a82..c9d8	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
101	0x519e..fb3b	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
102	0x122b..8aee	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
103	0x55e0..c952	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
104	0x9860..1316	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
105	0xea8d..558a	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
106	0x6280..57bb	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
107	0x18fe..3f3b	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
108	0xde0a..75f5	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
109	0x1c80..d09a	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
110	0x449f..d1c7	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
111	0x08bb..2be1	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
112	0xde26..dad7	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
113	0x99bc..2fd9	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
114	0x48c7..0f91	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
115	0xf8e9..6fe8	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
116	0xa851..7438	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
117	0xf33e..db10	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
118	0xbb1f..fba5	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
119	0xe3b0..1d12	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
120	0xb425..1d8e	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
121	0xb362..e683	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
122	0x5b01..2ed2	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
123	0x90b9..2464	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
124	0xf1de..7990	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
125	0x7c9c..76ed	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
126	0xa89f..b642	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
127	0x76cc..8829	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
128	0x7d8a..388c	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
129	0x0fad..ef15	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
130	0x8a74..5d7d	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
131	0x49b3..bd78	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
132	0x9a47..4246	TOO EARLY	997	0.0%	ungraded
133	0xcc50..da38	TOO EARLY	990	0.0%	ungraded
134	0x0b02..9fee	TOO EARLY	988	0.0%	ungraded
135	0x9101..dd9f	TOO EARLY	987	0.0%	ungraded
136	0xac88..5757	TOO EARLY	986	0.0%	ungraded
137	0xc84f..747b	TOO EARLY	982	0.0%	ungraded
138	0x06ce..20ea	TOO EARLY	982	0.0%	ungraded
139	0xa21c..1e3a	TOO EARLY	982	0.0%	ungraded
140	0xf5df..d5ae	TOO EARLY	978	0.0%	ungraded
141	0x1306..bc55	TOO EARLY	971	0.0%	ungraded
142	0x2027..50ff	TOO EARLY	963	0.0%	ungraded
143	0x50d2..31ef	TOO EARLY	960	0.0%	ungraded
144	0x074f..9d52	TOO EARLY	951	0.0%	ungraded
145	0x2c49..6ada	TOO EARLY	858	0.0%	ungraded
146	0x9c1f..0c09	TOO EARLY	850	0.0%	ungraded
147	0xa2cf..d7aa	TOO EARLY	816	0.0%	ungraded
148	0xd0d1..494d	TOO EARLY	800	0.0%	ungraded
149	0x6fc5..daf1	TOO EARLY	792	0.0%	ungraded
150	0x2a1b..a08f	TOO EARLY	750	0.0%	ungraded
151	0xe6b5..f1fd	TOO EARLY	749	0.0%	ungraded
152	0x28ec..1675	TOO EARLY	686	0.0%	ungraded
153	0x86cc..273d	TOO EARLY	682	0.0%	ungraded
154	0x95af..26fc	TOO EARLY	678	0.0%	ungraded
155	0x7595..8027	TOO EARLY	651	0.0%	ungraded
156	0x3b9f..c44f	TOO EARLY	642	0.0%	ungraded
157	0xdc20..021d	TOO EARLY	637	0.0%	ungraded
158	0x5071..ad7b	TOO EARLY	620	0.0%	ungraded
159	0x5a7c..ee4c	TOO EARLY	619	0.0%	ungraded
160	0x0b5d..4832	TOO EARLY	611	0.0%	ungraded
161	0xd8d7..d24e	TOO EARLY	598	0.0%	ungraded
162	0x0773..d139	TOO EARLY	591	0.0%	ungraded
163	0x104d..e4e9	TOO EARLY	591	0.0%	ungraded
164	0xbd73..e578	TOO EARLY	590	0.0%	ungraded
165	0x3e1b..523e	TOO EARLY	587	0.0%	ungraded
166	0x9fdb..0aea	TOO EARLY	580	0.0%	ungraded
167	0x56d7..7226	TOO EARLY	577	0.0%	ungraded
168	0x101a..b9e5	TOO EARLY	575	0.0%	ungraded
169	0x3abe..817d	TOO EARLY	574	0.0%	ungraded
170	0x2b37..83dc	TOO EARLY	573	0.0%	ungraded
171	0x5ebc..d55d	TOO EARLY	571	0.0%	ungraded
172	0xc573..09c1	TOO EARLY	567	0.0%	ungraded
173	0xe5e7..2f19	TOO EARLY	567	0.0%	ungraded
174	0x5689..82b0	TOO EARLY	564	0.0%	ungraded
175	0xd8e4..9d15	TOO EARLY	560	0.0%	ungraded
176	0xcfb3..400e	TOO EARLY	559	0.0%	ungraded
177	0x87a7..c1b6	TOO EARLY	558	0.0%	ungraded
178	0x16d1..597a	TOO EARLY	558	0.0%	ungraded
179	0x0293..f77e	TOO EARLY	557	0.0%	ungraded
180	0x1049..c8e5	TOO EARLY	553	0.0%	ungraded
181	0x601f..7eb5	TOO EARLY	551	0.0%	ungraded
182	0x6e86..2587	TOO EARLY	551	0.0%	ungraded
183	0x785c..2de9	TOO EARLY	550	0.0%	ungraded
184	0x7c45..6af8	TOO EARLY	549	0.0%	ungraded
185	0x6c87..ca76	TOO EARLY	547	0.0%	ungraded
186	0xa8b8..b984	TOO EARLY	545	0.0%	ungraded
187	0xacb4..dd18	TOO EARLY	543	0.0%	ungraded
188	0xb67a..6122	TOO EARLY	540	0.0%	ungraded
189	0x4821..bdcf	TOO EARLY	540	0.0%	ungraded
190	0xcb4b..0caa	TOO EARLY	538	0.0%	ungraded
191	0x36ce..5bc0	TOO EARLY	538	0.0%	ungraded
192	0x349e..5168	TOO EARLY	537	0.0%	ungraded
193	0x68c1..859a	TOO EARLY	536	0.0%	ungraded
194	0xd521..7329	TOO EARLY	536	0.0%	ungraded
195	0xc3ac..9d6b	TOO EARLY	534	0.0%	ungraded
196	0xb538..8b0f	TOO EARLY	533	0.0%	ungraded
197	0x8782..32db	TOO EARLY	533	0.0%	ungraded
198	0x8e56..9e77	TOO EARLY	532	0.0%	ungraded
199	0xf3c1..2329	TOO EARLY	532	0.0%	ungraded
200	0x24eb..a05a	TOO EARLY	531	0.0%	ungraded
201	0xaa9e..d624	TOO EARLY	530	0.0%	ungraded
202	0xbd9d..98eb	TOO EARLY	529	0.0%	ungraded
203	0x0182..399e	TOO EARLY	529	0.0%	ungraded
204	0xb568..f97e	TOO EARLY	529	0.0%	ungraded
205	0x90da..1a73	TOO EARLY	529	0.0%	ungraded
206	0x9f9a..03be	TOO EARLY	527	0.0%	ungraded
207	0xf0dc..fe78	TOO EARLY	526	0.0%	ungraded
208	0xaef6..7b7c	TOO EARLY	526	0.0%	ungraded
209	0x72b5..3236	TOO EARLY	524	0.0%	ungraded
210	0x3b45..3008	TOO EARLY	523	0.0%	ungraded
211	0x5d21..36a5	TOO EARLY	522	0.0%	ungraded
212	0xc6c3..d292	TOO EARLY	521	0.0%	ungraded
213	0x7a40..be8a	TOO EARLY	521	0.0%	ungraded
214	0x3745..650e	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
215	0xefbc..e22b	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
216	0xfb1f..a12c	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
217	0x57cb..0f3e	TOO EARLY	519	0.0%	ungraded
218	0x8bc1..4230	TOO EARLY	518	0.0%	ungraded
219	0x73cd..af4d	TOO EARLY	517	0.0%	ungraded
220	0x4be8..0604	TOO EARLY	516	0.0%	ungraded
221	0x5784..a1ee	TOO EARLY	515	0.0%	ungraded
222	0x80cc..ca98	TOO EARLY	515	0.0%	ungraded
223	0xf08c..35f9	TOO EARLY	515	0.0%	ungraded
224	0xf3b6..99bf	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	ungraded
225	0x9e43..b563	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	ungraded
226	0xe321..d544	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	ungraded
227	0xf025..c7b1	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	ungraded
228	0x52b8..31f9	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	ungraded
229	0x0939..befb	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	ungraded
230	0x2947..32a5	TOO EARLY	511	0.0%	ungraded
231	0xfb04..110c	TOO EARLY	510	0.0%	ungraded
232	0xd1cd..6df1	TOO EARLY	510	0.0%	ungraded
233	0x1f12..f16e	TOO EARLY	510	0.0%	ungraded
234	0xab0e..a340	TOO EARLY	510	0.0%	ungraded
235	0x7ca4..619c	TOO EARLY	509	0.0%	ungraded
236	0x3b84..a587	TOO EARLY	509	0.0%	ungraded
237	0xc0dc..9fb4	TOO EARLY	509	0.0%	ungraded
238	0xc4e7..b4d9	TOO EARLY	509	0.0%	ungraded
239	0x1edb..ca66	TOO EARLY	509	0.0%	ungraded
240	0x4241..f563	TOO EARLY	509	0.0%	ungraded
241	0x34d4..6ab2	TOO EARLY	509	0.0%	ungraded
242	0xb4c9..9d09	TOO EARLY	508	0.0%	ungraded
243	0x430c..2e5f	TOO EARLY	508	0.0%	ungraded
244	0x54d6..ae04	TOO EARLY	508	0.0%	ungraded
245	0x3b59..4444	TOO EARLY	508	0.0%	ungraded
246	0xd8c3..30f6	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
247	0xd273..e3c6	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
248	0x4151..097c	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
249	0xde72..82d9	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
250	0x09a1..2913	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
251	0x630a..42f5	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
252	0x3bd0..2f8e	TOO EARLY	506	0.0%	ungraded
253	0x4876..0a9b	TOO EARLY	506	0.0%	ungraded
254	0x3895..9f79	TOO EARLY	506	0.0%	ungraded
255	0x3dd7..1345	TOO EARLY	506	0.0%	ungraded
256	0x5060..8cb7	TOO EARLY	506	0.0%	ungraded
257	0x28cc..7c61	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
258	0x6748..2d1b	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
259	0x92bd..20ea	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
260	0xbb68..3e3c	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
261	0x40bf..389b	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
262	0x58cf..5ba9	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
263	0x63d4..959e	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
264	0x26fd..ebf5	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
265	0x4af8..cb7c	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
266	0xe7ff..6f47	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
267	0x6137..5467	TOO EARLY	504	0.0%	ungraded
268	0xdb6d..a527	TOO EARLY	504	0.0%	ungraded
269	0x4010..2528	TOO EARLY	504	0.0%	ungraded
270	0x0f44..60dc	TOO EARLY	503	0.0%	ungraded
271	0x9cf0..f4c8	TOO EARLY	503	0.0%	ungraded
272	0xf3c1..cf9c	TOO EARLY	503	0.0%	ungraded
273	0x4289..9bdc	TOO EARLY	502	0.0%	ungraded
274	0xca64..c51b	TOO EARLY	502	0.0%	ungraded
275	0x4913..d50a	TOO EARLY	502	0.0%	ungraded
276	0xc590..d510	TOO EARLY	501	0.0%	ungraded
277	0x216b..d812	TOO EARLY	501	0.0%	ungraded
278	0xc428..867c	TOO EARLY	501	0.0%	ungraded
279	0x5bc3..3942	TOO EARLY	501	0.0%	ungraded
280	0x0bb9..b81d	TOO EARLY	501	0.0%	ungraded
281	0xfa8c..97f6	TOO EARLY	501	0.0%	ungraded
282	0xec2b..4e9c	TOO EARLY	501	0.0%	ungraded
283	0x2f96..e491	TOO EARLY	501	0.0%	ungraded
284	0xa463..d01c	TOO EARLY	501	0.0%	ungraded
285	0x3367..02c4	TOO EARLY	501	0.0%	ungraded
286	0x8e5f..1e4a	TOO EARLY	500	0.0%	ungraded
287	0x2f55..5866	TOO EARLY	500	0.0%	ungraded
288	0x590a..43f6	TOO EARLY	500	0.0%	ungraded
289	0xd7c7..ff8f	TOO EARLY	429	0.0%	ungraded
290	0x5a94..97ee	TOO EARLY	411	0.0%	ungraded
291	0x2071..390a	TOO EARLY	79	0.0%	ungraded