U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved NO 2025-07-05

voters

279

voted against

against share

0.0%

top wallet held

9.9%

total weight

23.1M

chain record #13

452154c7f0449fe36ecdce7f8d8925106618cdd7f3c939949fd554d95499f1bc

previous record

4f7198dfe3a985bfaa417391f0b9e95ce0ae04a600a1fe7920bea1a27354969b

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1751342447:112b03afaa307013

the judges

279 with · 0 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	NO	2.3M	9.9%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	NO	2.0M	8.6%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	NO	2.0M	8.6%	✓ with
4	0xfc20..1e1c	NO	1.5M	6.5%	✓ with
5	0xd2a7..9f7f	NO	1.4M	6.0%	✓ with
6	0x95cd..29b8	NO	949k	4.1%	✓ with
7	0xfec2..04a5	NO	935k	4.0%	✓ with
8	0x996d..aff1	NO	918k	4.0%	✓ with
9	0x05d1..f8c4	NO	899k	3.9%	✓ with
10	0x0afc..0b38	NO	644k	2.8%	✓ with
11	0x487a..2538	NO	602k	2.6%	✓ with
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17	0x326c..4205	NO	357k	1.5%	✓ with
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21	0x9b8f..ed2f	NO	289k	1.3%	✓ with
22	0x4863..e44f	NO	269k	1.2%	✓ with
23	0xfe93..9c9d	NO	254k	1.1%	✓ with
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25	0xb731..5790	NO	238k	1.0%	✓ with
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27	0xdc86..821a	NO	225k	1.0%	✓ with
28	0x6c31..7d98	NO	216k	0.9%	✓ with
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33	0x2d51..6f52	NO	165k	0.7%	✓ with
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35	0xfee5..5d78	NO	153k	0.7%	✓ with
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37	0x1a0d..f351	NO	135k	0.6%	✓ with
38	0xc12f..39ee	NO	124k	0.5%	✓ with
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42	0xf018..4069	NO	111k	0.5%	✓ with
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44	0x8b64..96ee	NO	95k	0.4%	✓ with
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46	0xd4c1..6e2e	NO	80k	0.3%	✓ with
47	0x7baa..946a	NO	76k	0.3%	✓ with
48	0xa9b0..c344	NO	74k	0.3%	✓ with
49	0xd431..e9d9	NO	74k	0.3%	✓ with
50	0x69d0..a819	NO	69k	0.3%	✓ with
51	0x5c2e..d55e	NO	69k	0.3%	✓ with
52	0xc9e8..8df5	NO	65k	0.3%	✓ with
53	0x1515..490a	NO	56k	0.2%	✓ with
54	0x18f7..9222	NO	55k	0.2%	✓ with
55	0x4431..9080	NO	52k	0.2%	✓ with
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57	0x3d59..baa2	NO	43k	0.2%	✓ with
58	0x403d..4490	NO	40k	0.2%	✓ with
59	0xa4ef..a5ea	NO	34k	0.1%	✓ with
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70	0x2a6d..7e59	NO	14k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0x9b6f..4ced	NO	12k	0.1%	✓ with
72	0x9497..f769	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
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74	0x4ddd..0cb2	NO	10k	0.0%	✓ with
75	0xe637..9483	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
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90	0xa31c..6020	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
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96	0x1cc9..397e	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
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98	0x9928..8cee	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
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100	0x519e..fb3b	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0x55e0..c952	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x9860..1316	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
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108	0x449f..d1c7	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
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110	0x99bc..2fd9	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0xde26..dad7	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
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113	0xa851..7438	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
114	0xf33e..db10	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
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116	0x098b..666c	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
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129	0xcc50..da38	NO	987	0.0%	✓ with
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131	0x9101..dd9f	NO	984	0.0%	✓ with
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140	0x074f..9d52	NO	949	0.0%	✓ with
141	0x9c1f..0c09	NO	845	0.0%	✓ with
142	0x6fc5..daf1	NO	772	0.0%	✓ with
143	0x2a1b..a08f	NO	749	0.0%	✓ with
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145	0x86cc..273d	NO	680	0.0%	✓ with
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148	0x3b9f..c44f	NO	632	0.0%	✓ with
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150	0x5071..ad7b	NO	617	0.0%	✓ with
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152	0x0b5d..4832	NO	608	0.0%	✓ with
153	0xd8d7..d24e	NO	594	0.0%	✓ with
154	0x104d..e4e9	NO	588	0.0%	✓ with
155	0x5ebc..d55d	NO	580	0.0%	✓ with
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157	0x9fdb..0aea	NO	577	0.0%	✓ with
158	0x56d7..7226	NO	576	0.0%	✓ with
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160	0x3abe..817d	NO	566	0.0%	✓ with
161	0x2b37..83dc	NO	565	0.0%	✓ with
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163	0x785c..2de9	NO	562	0.0%	✓ with
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165	0xe5e7..2f19	NO	558	0.0%	✓ with
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172	0x7c45..6af8	NO	548	0.0%	✓ with
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175	0x36ce..5bc0	NO	546	0.0%	✓ with
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178	0x4821..bdcf	NO	537	0.0%	✓ with
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